If you're familiar with Sports Insights»
contrarian betting strategies, you've likely been anxiously awaiting the 2018 MLB Betting Against the Public Report ™.
For those of you unfamiliar with the column, the underlying theme is the idea of using
contrarian betting strategies to find value in the NFL.
Looking ahead to Week 5's slate of games, not much jumped out at me in terms of classic
contrarian betting strategies.
Our contrarian betting strategies typically involves taking favorites and unders since the betting public has a tendency to pound favorites and overs.
We still haven't seen sharp money take a side, but this free line value is a hallmark of
the contrarian betting strategy.
As you can see from the table below, the return on investment (ROI) of
our contrarian betting strategy continues to improve as we look at increasingly lop - sided bet games.
Last year was a banner year for Sports Insights»
contrarian betting strategy using college football betting trends in the college football marketplace — with our 2010 College Football Square Plays winning 63.6 % of its plays.
To find out, we immediately sought help from our Bet Labs software to determine whether there was an edge to betting against the public on MLB totals, and if so, where was the sweet spot for
this contrarian betting strategy.
This ideology is exemplified by our betting against the public systems, but there are countless ways to employ
a contrarian betting strategy.
At Sports Insights, we constantly advocate the importance of implementing
a contrarian betting strategy.
Betting on lines that have been artificially inflated based on popular sentiment is one of the hallmarks of
a contrarian betting strategy.
Most of these silly props come with inflated juice and fall in direct contrast with
our contrarian betting strategy, but the Super Bowl is the one day of the year where many sharp bettors let themselves go and fall into the square category.
In the article, Sports Insights president Daniel Fabrizio expands on
the contrarian betting strategy pointing out:
It can be difficult for many bettors to fade an undefeated team against the league's worst defense, but that's part and parcel with following
a contrarian betting strategy.
Our contrarian betting strategy had a slow Week 4, finishing 1 - 2 against the spread (ATS), dropping our overall season record to 9 - 7 ATS.
Without getting too crazy, here are some simple situational systems, all based on
contrarian betting strategy:
Live Odds 3.0 combines live updates for public betting trends, sports odds, and breaking injuries with Sports Insights» innovative
contrarian betting strategy which has caught the attention of The Wall Street Journal and ESPN within the last year.
This is a simple
contrarian betting strategy that has proven profitable year to year.
This contrarian betting strategy takes bowl teams from the previous season in Week 1 when the line has moved against them.
Not exact matches
In fact, our
contrarian strategy isn't limited solely to
betting against the public; it also includes fading the opinions of hype machines like the mothership.
Even at the optimal level of
contrarian betting, this
strategy doesn't cover the spread at a high enough rate to overcome the standard juice charged by sportsbooks.
In Week 5, the importance of focusing on heavily
bet games when implementing a
contrarian strategy was quite evident.
SportsInsights.com is a leader in the sports information industry and has pioneered the usage of sports investing analytics and
contrarian value in developing winning sports
betting strategies and
betting trends.
Since we subscribe to a
contrarian philosophy and tend to go against common perception, our belief was that
betting against tired teams would be a profitable
betting strategy.
This
contrarian philosophy has been a key component of our Best
Bets strategy.
Betting Against the Public (contrarian betting) is one of the most popular and simplest winning betting stra
Betting Against the Public (
contrarian betting) is one of the most popular and simplest winning betting stra
betting) is one of the most popular and simplest winning
betting stra
betting strategies.
As I have previously stated, the public loves
betting favorites and overs, which is why most of our
contrarian strategies will focus on underdogs and unders.
Betting Against the Public (contrarian betting) is one of the most popular and simplest «how to win» betting strategies using our unique Betting Trend
Betting Against the Public (
contrarian betting) is one of the most popular and simplest «how to win» betting strategies using our unique Betting Trend
betting) is one of the most popular and simplest «how to win»
betting strategies using our unique Betting Trend
betting strategies using our unique
Betting Trend
Betting Trends data.
It's Sports Insights»
contrarian, yet highly profitable
betting strategy.
As I've stated repeatedly, the public loves
betting favorites and overs, which is why most
contrarian strategies focus on underdogs and unders.
However, this general
contrarian strategy is heavily factored in when releasing our College Football Best
Bets, which are 49 - 35 (58.3 %) ATS this season and 16 - 5 (76.2 %) ATS over the past three bowl seasons.
Blindly
betting against the public isn't necessarily an effective
strategy, which is why our annual
betting against the public support considers additional trends when determining the sweet spot for
contrarian betting.
While
betting against the public represents a consistently profitable
strategy, it's only one component of employing a
contrarian strategy.
Betting against the public is one of the most basic and popular
contrarian strategies used at Sports Insights.
Betting against the public is one part of a successful
contrarian strategy, but it's not the only aspect.
Keeping consistent with our
contrarian strategies, we've found that
betting against the public once again proves valuable while using our
Bet Labs software.
Additional
betting strategies that apply
contrarian methods by using specific events such as:
This lop - sided
betting percentage plays into our
contrarian strategy and makes this game a potential system play.
It's one of the simplest methods of
contrarian betting, and we've proved it to be an effective
strategy across the six major sports leagues.
It will be interesting to see whether this higher volume impacts the value of
betting against the public, but regardless there are several profitable
strategies for
contrarian bettors to implement.
There may not be value
betting against the public, but there are many
contrarian strategies that are effective during the preseason.
After seeing that some of our traditional
contrarian strategies have had mixed results for second half bettors, we believed that we could create an excellent halftime
betting system by capitalizing on public perception.
We also see a massive increase in the volume of
bets, which means that many of our regular season
contrarian strategies can be thrown out the window.
Based on our
contrarian strategy, we believed that it would be profitable to
bet against the public and take teams — specifically those getting points — that are winning at halftime.
The Ravens also fit several profitable
strategies including our ESPN
contrarian betting systems from Week 6, Week 9 and Week 16.
Our
contrarian strategy focused on
betting against the public, fading trendy underdogs, and buying low after a blowout loss.
Unfortunately, there are significantly fewer
bets placed on the second half line as opposed to the full game line, and that decreased volume adversely affects most of our
contrarian strategies.
All of these
strategies improve significantly when we apply a
betting against the public filter, so we wanted to focus on
contrarian home dogs and determine whether they are offering value this week.
Betting Against the Public (Contrarian Betting) is one of the most popular and simplest «how to win» betting strategies using our unique betting trend
Betting Against the Public (
Contrarian Betting) is one of the most popular and simplest «how to win» betting strategies using our unique betting trend
Betting) is one of the most popular and simplest «how to win»
betting strategies using our unique betting trend
betting strategies using our unique
betting trend
betting trends data.
The principles behind
contrarian sports
betting is similar to many
strategies utilized on Wall Street.