It was also a nice week for
contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 50 % of spread bets posting a 9 - 5 ATS record.
It was also a profitable week for
contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 40 % of spread bets going 7 - 4 ATS.
It was also a terrible week for
contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 50 % of spread bets posting a 3 - 10 ATS record.
It was also an awful week for
contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 60 % of spread bets going 4 - 10 ATS.
Not exact matches
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with best
bet picks,
contrarian plays, dollar percentages, and reverse line moves, along
with a fully customizable live odds page, line watcher, line predictor, the number of
bets on every game, and more.
With the World Series over, keep your browser pointed to SportsInsights, where our NHL & NBA
contrarian betting systems have gotten off to a good start (a combined +11 units in their respective early seasons.).
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contrarian plays, dollar percentages and
bet signals, along
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bets on every game, and more.
For anybody who's not familiar
with our philosophy, we stress a
contrarian approach to sports
betting.
SportsInsights»
contrarian method of
Betting Against the Public methods in the NFL, including Square Plays, Best
Bets, and MarketWatch had a solid season,
with Square Plays and NFL MarketWatch producing a combined winning percentage of just under 55 %.
Both are
contrarian favorites
with Tottenham getting just 48 % of
bets and Leicester City getting 49 %.
Home runs have been steadily decreasing since Barry Bonds broke the single - season record in 2001 and
with bettors prone to
bet the over on props like this, there could once again be
contrarian value on the under.
In fact when we add our
contrarian filter to the mix and look at home teams receiving less than 40 % of public
bets, this system becomes even more advantageous
with a 96 - 68 record — good for 23.28 units earned and a 14.2 % return on investment (ROI).
With consistent year - to - year results, a significant sample size and a clear cut
contrarian hypothesis, this system has the characteristics that we look for in a winning
betting system.
In fact, bettors should not only be familiar
with our
contrarian plays buy also our annual
betting against the public reports.
With these playoff games getting 3 - 4 times as many
bets than a regular season game would, it's understandable that taking a
contrarian approach does even better than it does in the regular season.
Last year was a banner year for Sports Insights»
contrarian betting strategy using college football
betting trends in the college football marketplace —
with our 2010 College Football Square Plays winning 63.6 % of its plays.
Betting on that game remained heavy throughout the week,
with contrarian indicators pointing to South Carolina as a value play.
For that reason, bettors need to identify heavily
bet games
with extreme levels of public
betting when backing
contrarian favorites.
Contrarian Betting — Also known as betting against the public, contrarian betting finds value by betting on games with lopsided betting pe
Contrarian Betting — Also known as betting against the public, contrarian betting finds value by betting on games with lopsided betting perce
Betting — Also known as
betting against the public, contrarian betting finds value by betting on games with lopsided betting perce
betting against the public,
contrarian betting finds value by betting on games with lopsided betting pe
contrarian betting finds value by betting on games with lopsided betting perce
betting finds value by
betting on games with lopsided betting perce
betting on games
with lopsided
betting perce
betting percentages.
The article details the public's infatuation
with Kentucky and shows how a
contrarian bettor can use this to profitably
bet against the public.
That means in addition to targeting heavily
bet games
with one - sided public
betting,
contrarian bettors need to make sure there have been no sharp money indicators (like steam moves and / or reverse line movement) on their opponent.
As you can see, our most basic
contrarian filter (visitors receiving less than 49 % of spread
bets) has been highly lucrative this season, producing a 197 - 158 record
with +30.34 units won and an 8.5 % ROI.
Contrarian methods have been hot in the NHL,
with NHL Square Plays making up some ground over the past few months — and NHL Best
Bets earning steady profits during the season.
Along
with our Best
Bets and
Contrarian Plays, Pro members have access to steam moves, reverse line movement alerts, value meter, line watcher and line predictor along
with many other tools needed to
bet like a sharp.
Keeping consistent
with our
contrarian strategies, we've found that
betting against the public once again proves valuable while using our
Bet Labs software.
You can get picks for all sports
with our Pro trial which includes all of our College Football Best
Bets (63 - 48 ATS for +9.2 units won this season) and our
Contrarian plays (40 - 26 for +10.6 units) as well as Live Odds,
Betting Trends, Breaking News, Line Predictions, Alerts, and more.
And, for
contrarian sports investors, the
betting is very lopsided,
with home team Kansas State only collecting 25 % of the
bets at the time of this blog post.
In addition to targeting heavily
bet games
with one - sided public
betting,
contrarian bettors need to make sure there have been no sharp money indicators triggered on their opponent.
Most of these silly props come
with inflated juice and fall in direct contrast
with our
contrarian betting strategy, but the Super Bowl is the one day of the year where many sharp bettors let themselves go and fall into the square category.
We'll «
bet against the Public» and stay
with the
contrarian methods and stomach - churning types of plays that have led us to a winning NFL season this year.
Our research has also shows that
contrarian betting is exceptionally profitable in late season games,
with teams receiving less than 20 % of spread
bets posting a 31 - 21 ATS (59.6 %) record in December or later.
This season, our marketwatch selections have gotten off to a slow start, but the
contrarian approach has been highly effective as evidenced by our 37 - 25 combined record Against the Spread (ATS)
with square plays and best
bets.
With one - sided public
betting and limited sharp involvement,
contrarian bettors can easily exploit artificially inflated lines.
Last season, Sports Insights»
contrarian methods of
Betting Against the Public, including Square Plays, Best
Bets, and Marketwatch had a solid NFL season — and produced a combined winning percentage of about 55 %,
with NFL Squares at 57 %.
As you can see, underdogs receiving less than 30 % of moneyline
bets have gone 2,489 - 3,470
with +124.78 units won which makes it the most profitable range for
contrarian betting.
With March Madness quickly approaching, square money is preparing to flood the market, presenting opportunities for
contrarian investors and those willing to
bet against heavily - favored teams like Kentucky.
Last season, Sports Insights»
contrarian methods of
Betting Against the Public, including Square Plays, Best
Bets, and Marketwatch had a solid NFL season, producing a combined winning percentage of about 55 %
with NFL Squares at 57 %.
Knowing that our
contrarian strategies have continued to be profitable, we wanted to examine the line movement in two Sweet 16 games
with lop - sided public
betting.
The Heisman Trophy winner will be announced on Saturday but,
with the conclusion of the regular season, there's limited opportunity for college football
contrarian betting this weekend.
Contrarian betting was once again profitable
with teams receiving less than 50 % of spread
bets going 9 - 7 ATS.
As March Madness gets under way, SportsInsights is the only source of these
contrarian indicators, along
with betting data on every tournament game.
Purchase a Sportsbook Insider PRO membership and get NFL picks,
contrarian plays, dollar percentages and
bet signals, along
with a fully customizable live odds page, line watcher, line predictor, the number of
bets on every game, and more.
If you're new to Sports Insights, we recommend starting
with Pro as it comes
with our formulas and analysis in the form of smart money & steam moves,
contrarian betting plays and our Best
Bets.
This creates additional value for
contrarian strategies in heavily
bet games
with one - sided public
betting.
The games
with the larger Number of
Bets tend to have more
contrarian value as we mentioned in this previous article.
Our goal was to combine a number of filters we knew to be historically profitable along
with our
contrarian philosophy to create a winning
betting system.
Purchase a Sportsbook Insider PRO membership and get our NHL
contrarian plays, dollar percentages and
bet signals, along
with a fully customizable live odds page, line watcher, line predictor, the number of
bets on every game, and more.
I like this system a lot but it has been so wretched of late and i can't figure out why, i do not want to quit on it and refuse to
bet favorites and lay juice but are there any other more effective
contrarian systems
with more consistency or is this system that streaky where you can lose 10 in a row then it turns around?
They're also a nice
contrarian pick
with just 21 % of
bets (compared to 70 % on Everton), and a bit of reverse - line movement from +157 to +147.
This would seem to indicate that although
betting against the public continues to be a profitable approach, bettors need to consider other historically profitable strategies in conjuncture
with this
contrarian strategy.