Betting against the consensus is what
a contrarian does.
My hypothesis would be that the pure
contrarian does well in environments where rank fear reigns and investment banks crumble.
A contrarian doesn't chase what is hot, but is often buying a category that has recently underperformed.
Contrarians don't take the opposite view of the consensus, but think differently, act independently and question assumptions.
Features Being a Contrarian Means Thinking Differently Contrarians don't take the opposite view of the consensus, but think differently, act independently and question assumptions.
And some of the remaining contrarians don't look so contrarian.
(That's of course what mindless skeptics /
contrarians do; --RRB-
A shame the contrarians don't do it mroe often, but you do need to be able to come up with coherent and plausible work, so no surprises there, really.
This report demonstrates that scientists understood the greenhouse effect better 50 years ago than
these contrarians do today.
No, the contrarians don't need to lie, a little bit of rhetoric will do the trick.
There is an implicit assumption that everything
the contrarians do benefits the science.
Not exact matches
And so because you don't have that kind of conviction, you haven't
done the hard work or taken your
contrarian bet, then Lean is taking you away from that core entrepreneurial virtue.
«
Contrarian companies
do not simply follow the crowd or the quick buck but rather look for ways to make money where barriers to entry are lower and there is less noise,» says Bradley.
Those
contrarian ideas of mine didn't come from a book or from a consultant.
«This is the first time I've
done something that actually felt conventional, it didn't feel
contrarian,» he said of his support of Trump.
«We don't spend money on marketing,» says Penot, again the
contrarian to mainstream fragrance companies, where the bulk of the budget goes toward splashy campaigns.
«I thought that supporting Trump was one of the least
contrarian things I've ever
done,» Thiel said, citing the president's popularity among voters and his victory.
This is where angels can be so much better than VCs: they're willing to listen, can act quickly, there's less pressure to be a «me - too» investor, they don't mind
contrarian stances, and there are no LPs, fund lifetime or thesis mandates they're beholden to.
If you wanted to be a
contrarian — and you ran a TV network that didn't have sports — you could argue that ESPN was in more danger than it looked, because most people didn't really want to pay for it — they just had to pay for it.
And if you believe that you've got to be a
contrarian to make money, the contrary thing is to believe in stocks when most people don't... and that's now.
You can check the previous posts about What are stocks and how to value them, How
does Currency Trading Work, How are Currencies Traded, Investing in Commodities, What Fundamentals Affect Commodity Prices, What are ETF's, What are Options, How are Options» Prices Structured, Investing for Beginners Part 2 — Different Investment Strategies, When
does Buy and Hold not Work, An Unconventional Approach to Buy and Hold, An Unconventional Approach to Buy and Hold Part 2, How the Investment Advisor Game is Played, An Introduction Into «Secular Investing», Don't Short When it Comes to Secular Investing, An Introduction into Trend Following, An Introduction into Technical Indicators, When
does Trend Following Not Work, Risk Management for Trend Followers, An Introduction to
Contrarian Investing, Using Oscillators for
Contrarian Investing, Using Magnitude Extreme vs. Time Extreme,
Contrarian Investing can be Used for Different Time Frames
If you maintain a
contrarian mindset, and start with the premise that most investors
do the wrong thing at the wrong time, you are less likely to be panicked and act on emotion when others
do.
In an exclusive interview with Consuelo Mack, Robert Kleinschmidt explains his
contrarian investment philosophy and why he is finding the best values where most people
do not want to be.
But then doesn't that mean that the real
contrarian would take this as a positive?
The reason the fakey is
contrarian is because you are basically
doing the opposite of what most other traders are
doing.
Famous for his
contrarian approach to investing, Marc Faber
does not run with the bulls or bait the bears but steers his own course through the maelstrom of international finance markets.
During these times, think like a
contrarian and don't become complacent.
The best you can
do at this point is ignore the recursive and
contrarian nature of Michael's posts.
Religion has been and always will be a tool used to motivate masses; most have all heard the opium of the masses quote - and just because it came from someone whose political views are
contrarian to ours, doesn't make that statement less true.
And thank God for
contrarians like Albert Borgman (Holding On to Reality) and Stephen Talbott (The Future
Does Not Compute), who are helping to highlight the folly of our ways in a digital world.
Meanwhile, a
contrarian 3 % say they don't like -LSB-...]
Even at the optimal level of
contrarian betting, this strategy doesn't cover the spread at a high enough rate to overcome the standard juice charged by sportsbooks.
This is the sports equivalent of
contrarian investing — find out what everybody else is
doing, and
do the exact opposite.
I don't think the
contrarian philosophy is working, at least it has not been for me the last couple football seasons.
PS: Don't get me wrong, I respect the fact that you post your optimistic yet
contrarian views on here despite all the evidence that keep stacking up as an argument against optimism.
I found it interesting that both favorites and
contrarian teams have
done well.
With these playoff games getting 3 - 4 times as many bets than a regular season game would, it's understandable that taking a
contrarian approach
does even better than it
does in the regular season.
While it
does look like a nice
contrarian over to bet, the value is likely all but gone at this point.
While road teams still have a huge edge overall this season,
contrarian home dogs
did very nicely in Week 7, going 10 - 5 ATS.
Kelly also
did work for
contrarian bettors, racking up a 8 - 1 ATS record when getting fewer than 50 % of spread tickets.
Contrarian AL teams don't have the type of consistency that I look for when building data - driven betting systems.
In years past, one of the first things we have
done to find
contrarian value in the NBA is to look at teams on the road.
Is it somewhat of an anomaly that the Best Bet system hasn't
done nearly as well as this
contrarian system in the NBA so far this season?
The win for Pittsburgh
did reward
contrarian and sharp bettors.
Do you want an even easier
contrarian strategy?
That type of
contrarian value is tough to ignore — even if recent history doesn't bode well for Indy.
Although this
does show potential
contrarian value for the Giants, it would have been preferable to see the Giants receiving a higher percentage of the total dollars wagered.
We normally don't focus on All - Star games, but wanted to highlight the line moves and potential
contrarian value.
We don't «love» using an additional parameter in our approach to researching betting systems — but this approach seems to make sense and is another
contrarian approach that can help investors identify «value.»
I understand that this doesn't fit as a
contrarian underdog, but should we still we be wary of the favorite because of the lopsided opinion or
does the postseason change that factor??