All of these strategies improve significantly when we apply a betting against the public filter, so we wanted to focus on
contrarian home dogs and determine whether they are offering value this week.
While road teams still have a huge edge overall this season,
contrarian home dogs did very nicely in Week 7, going 10 - 5 ATS.
Not exact matches
In one of this weekend's most heavily bet games, I love the value on the Fighting Illini as a large
contrarian home «
dog.
Carolina has been a huge disappointment this year for
contrarian investors, with a 3 - 9 record «against the spread» — but SportsInsights analysts are circling this game due to the trend for
home dogs to outperform late in NFL seasons + «buying a way - undervalued team.»
Most bettors are likely unwilling to back the Pacers after two consecutive losses, but this looks like the optimal opportunity to buy low and back the
contrarian home «
dog.
The Broncos are getting 81 % of bets following their impressive 42 - 17 Week 2 win over Dallas, creating some potential
contrarian value on Buffalo as
home dogs.