This is why you'll often find
contrarian value on the dog, but that is not always the case.
A big reason for this is that the Redskins are still the Redskins and people don't want to bet on them, but there may be some great
contrarian value on Washington this week.
Add in the fact that this will be a highly bet game at night and there could be some great
contrarian value on Baylor at home.
I don't normally play totals but keep an eye on the line movement and betting %'s as they could create
contrarian value on the Over.
In our Week 8 Line Moves That Matter, we identified sharp money on Clemson -LRB--6.5), Mississippi -LRB--6) and USC -LRB--3.5) while pointing to potential
contrarian value on Rutgers.
This 12 - spot disparity indicates that bettors are likely to overvalue Arizona, which could create
contrarian value on their Week 1 opponent (UTSA +32).
Our past research indicates that there is
contrarian value on the Cowboys this week, with the Dallas fitting our often discussed 80/20 rule.
This would seem to indicate that there's slight
contrarian value on Tampa Bay, but sharp money has not taken a side.
While this would appear to point towards
contrarian value on Seattle, there are some mitigating factors.
This could create
contrarian value on their opponent, so bettors should continue to monitor these lines and betting trends.
It's rare that there's
contrarian value on Kentucky, but bettors seem to be overreacting to recent events.
This indicates that there may be
contrarian value on the Blues tonight.
Whenever we see a high spread betting percentage on one team, we look for
contrarian value on the other team
The system, which has gone 22 - 8 ATS for +12.47 units, highlights
contrarian value on underdogs of at least 5.5 - points.
All of this points towards tremendous
contrarian value on Auburn.
-- There are three NHL playoff games tonight and according to our NHL Betting Against the Public article, there may be
contrarian value on the Minnesota Wild (+120) tonight against the Colorado Avalanche.
At the time of publication, more than 70 % of tickets has come in on the Tigers, possibly setting up
some contrarian value on Virginia Tech.
The Broncos are getting 81 % of bets following their impressive 42 - 17 Week 2 win over Dallas, creating some potential
contrarian value on Buffalo as home dogs.
We constantly see
contrarian value on the Under as the majority of sports bettors pound the Over.
The majority of bettors have taken the over in 75.7 % of games in our historical database, which has created
contrarian value on the under.
Great
contrarian value on #USC.
Not only is there
contrarian value on the Cavs, but Duke will likely be looking ahead to Saturday's showdown with # 5 Miami.
Sharp money hasn't taken a side in this matchup, but one - sided public betting appears to have created
some contrarian value on the Boilermakers.
There appears to be
some contrarian value on the Lions.
Home runs have been steadily decreasing since Barry Bonds broke the single - season record in 2001 and with bettors prone to bet the over on props like this, there could once again be
contrarian value on the under.
Clearly home - field advantage has been vastly overvalued, which has created
contrarian value on visitors.
It took five weeks longer than I originally expected, but Tebow - Mania is officially in effect and, whenever public money consistently bets one way, we'll be looking to «sell their high» and find
contrarian value on the other side.
The Marlins fit all of those criteria, which makes them one of the more intriguing potential
contrarian values on the board.
The Giants fit all of those criteria, which makes them one of the more intriguing potential
contrarian values on the board.
Not exact matches
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value - based,
contrarian perspective
on the markets.
Greenbackd is a popular financial blog focused
on deep
value,
contrarian and Graham - based investment theses.
Dividend cuts are subsequently announced; the price falls further, and IUKD dumps them
on the next quarterly review (this is precisely the time when a
contrarian value investor might consider buying).
[Steve Eisman] A write - up
on the impending Hilton (HLT) spinoff [Clark Street
Value] CBRE (CBG): industry deep dive to detect an emerging moat [Punch Card] A look at Discovery Communications (DISCA / K)[
Contrarian Edge] Sustainable sources of competitive advantage [Collaborative Fund] Why deep learning matters and what's next for AI [Algorithmia] The unexpected genius of Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg [Fortune] Google's online travel adventure upsets its biggest advertisers [Bloomberg] A billionaire's dreams of creating a guns empire [NYMag] If oil refiners crash, so will the economy [WSJ] Mastercard, Visa set to reap spoils of India's war
on cash [Bloomberg] How Best Buy (BBY) fought Amazon [WSJ] The evolution of media & entertainment: conversation with CEOs [YouTube] How to get comfortable with being umcomfortable [Inc] Why gut feelings may really help you make risky decisions [Washington Post] Why stoicism is one of the best mind - hacks ever devised [Aeon]
Posted in
Contrarian investment, Quantitative investment, Strategy,
Value Investment, tagged Joel Greenblatt, Magic Formula, Robert Novy - Marx
on March 19, 2013 3 Comments»
Principal listed
on Nasdaq two single - factor ETFs, the Principal
Contrarian Value Index ETF (PVAL) and the Principal Sustainable Momentum Index ETF (PMOM), just a week after the firm launched a smart - beta mega-cap fund.
As deep
value contrarians, we aren't able to have absolute certainty, but we can put probability
on our side along with the laws of supply and demand.
Stocks with very strong valuations
on current earnings may come with lowered expectations
on future earnings, which is why
value investors are often called
contrarian.
In one of this weekend's most heavily bet games, I love the
value on the Fighting Illini as a large
contrarian home «dog.
Based
on this trend, Ole Miss (+11) is offering
contrarian value as a home underdog in this heavily bet game.
Since the public is more willing to bet
on underdogs during the playoffs, we believed there would be
value by taking a
contrarian approach and backing the favorite — especially when they were receiving limited public support.
These artificially inflated lines have historically created
value for opportunistic
contrarian bettors since they're getting a better line purely based
on the public perception.
Sportsbooks know they'll receive public money
on those two teams regardless of the line, and those shaded lines have provided
value for opportunistic
contrarian bettors.
Our new
Value Meter analyzes Contrarian Value, Steam Moves, Smart Money Plays, Key Injuries and Official / Referee trends for every matchup on the board to quickly show which games are offering the most v
Value Meter analyzes
Contrarian Value, Steam Moves, Smart Money Plays, Key Injuries and Official / Referee trends for every matchup on the board to quickly show which games are offering the most v
Value, Steam Moves, Smart Money Plays, Key Injuries and Official / Referee trends for every matchup
on the board to quickly show which games are offering the most
valuevalue.
Only 9 % of tickets are taking the draw despite a 20 % likelihood of it happening, so there's also nice
contrarian value here
on Bournemouth to steal a point at +405 odds.
Although history would indicate that the
value is
on the over, the under once again appears to be offering bettors
contrarian value.
Stay - tuned for our monthly update
on the Sports Investing Index, an index that tracks the performance of a
contrarian value approach to the sports marketplace, published by Sports Insights.
Keep your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for up - to - the - second betting lines, odds, and information
on the sports marketplace and «
contrarian value» in the sports investing world.
They had high
contrarian value (71 % were
on Notre Dame), it was a very heavily bet game (35K) and they also had reverse line movement (+7 to +5.5).
In particular, keep your browser pointed to SportsInsights.com for up - to - the - second betting lines, odds, and information
on the sports marketplace and «
contrarian value» in the sports investing world.
Betting
on that game remained heavy throughout the week, with
contrarian indicators pointing to South Carolina as a
value play.