Not exact matches
«Ice loss from this part of West Antarctica is already making a significant
contribution to sea -
level rise — around 1 mm per decade, and is actually one of the largest uncertainties
in global
sea -
level rise predictions.
Consequently we will see increase
in the ice - sheet
contribution to global
sea -
level rise.
The warming, melting and potential
contributions to sea level rise from glaciers
in Greenland and West Antarctica
in the face of climate change has long since been a serious concern.
Since the 1990s, the retreat of glaciers
in Alaska has made a disproportionally large
contribution to global
sea -
level rise.
«By processing the historical archive acquired by the Danish during the last century, they were able
to provide an estimation of the ice sheet
contribution to sea -
level rise since 1900, which was critically missing
in the last IPCC report,» noted Jeremie Mouginot, a climate scientist at the University of California, Irvine.
This suggests that Greenland's
contribution to global
sea level rise may be even higher
in the future,» said Bevis, who is also the Ohio Eminent Scholar
in Geodynamics and professor of earth sciences at Ohio State.
The Greenland ice sheet (GIS) has been melting so slowly and so negligibly
in recent decades that the entire ice sheet's total
contribution to global
sea level rise was a mere 0.39 of a centimeter (0.17
to 0.61 cm) between 1993 and 2010 (Leeson et al, 2017).
Sea level rise due to ice shelf collapse is as yet limited, but large ice shelves surrounding some of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their collapse would result in a significant sea level rise contribution [2
Sea level rise due
to ice shelf collapse is as yet limited, but large ice shelves surrounding some of the major Antarctic glaciers could be at risk, and their collapse would result
in a significant
sea level rise contribution [2
sea level rise contribution [22].
With glaciers thinning, accelerating and receding
in response
to ice shelf collapse [20, 21], more ice is directly transported into the oceans, making a direct
contribution to sea level rise.
The findings «lend support
to our confidence
in recent estimates of
sea level rise and the increasing ice sheet
contribution,» said Michael Oppenheimer, the Albert G. Milbank professor of geosciences and international affairs at Princeton University's department of geosciences,
in an email
to The Post.
While this process is a natural part of the life cycle of an ice shelf, there is concern that when it occurs, it could usher
in a period of irrevocable retreat and possibly lead
to the ice shelf's demise and further
contributions to global
sea level rise.
I didn't see this new paper,
Contribution of Antarctica
to Past and Future
Sea -
Level Rise, mentioned
in this thread, yet.
There's much more
to discuss about the significance of surface melting
in relation
to Greenland ice loss and —
in the end — a
rising contribution to the oceans and
sea -
level rise.
In the first comprehensive international report on Antarctica's climate, there was strong agreement that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet will contribute substantially to the ongoing rise in sea levels in a warming world, while increased snowfall in the interior could offset the contribution somewha
In the first comprehensive international report on Antarctica's climate, there was strong agreement that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet will contribute substantially
to the ongoing
rise in sea levels in a warming world, while increased snowfall in the interior could offset the contribution somewha
in sea levels in a warming world, while increased snowfall in the interior could offset the contribution somewha
in a warming world, while increased snowfall
in the interior could offset the contribution somewha
in the interior could offset the
contribution somewhat.
Changes
in the Arctic affect the rest of the world, not only
in obvious ways (such as the Arctic's
contribution to sea -
level rise), but through the Arctic's role
in the global climate system, its influence on ocean circulation, and its impacts on mid-latitude weather.
But,
in the mean time the question is what
to do about
rising sea levels which, even without anthropogenic
contributions of greenhouse gases, would
rise and fall as they always have.
Eric Rignot most recent work
in 2008 supported a larger, accelerating
contribution of Antarctica's ice mass balance
to the
rise in sea level.
Thus, whatever the
contribution of mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet
to the huge (4 - 8 m)
rise in sea level of the Eemian, it occurred under very strong temperature forcing.
For example, if this
contribution were
to grow linearly with global average temperature change, the upper ranges of
sea level rise for SRES scenarios shown
in Table SPM - 3 would increase by 0.1 m
to 0.2 m. Larger values can not be excluded, but understanding of these effects is too limited
to assess their likelihood or provide a best estimate or an upper bound for
sea level rise.
However, for the recent period 1993
to 2003, the small discrepancy between observed
sea level rise and the sum of known
contributions might be due
to unquantified human - induced processes (e.g., groundwater extraction, impoundment
in reservoirs, wetland drainage and deforestation).
For observed 20th - century
sea level rise, based on tide gauge records, Church et al. (2001) adopted as a best estimate a value
in the range of 1
to 2 mm yr — 1, which was more than twice as large as the TAR's estimate of climate - related
contributions.
, and we read that we could see
in the next few decades about 4 / 10ths of an inch of
contribution to sea level rise.
With the IPCC previously «taking a pass»,
in its assessment of Greenland's
contribution to sea -
level rise - due
to poor understanding of how ice sheets would respond
to global warming back
in 2007 - this new paper is an important first stab at pinning down the slippery mechanisms of «ice sheet dynamics».
Hansen refers
to them
in this way «They identified eight episodes of large iceberg flux, with the largest flux occurring ∼ 14 600 years ago, providing evidence of an Antarctic
contribution to Meltwater Pulse 1A, when
sea level rose an average of 3 — 5 m century − 1 for a few centuries (Fairbanks, 1989).»
Looking at these glacial flows individual
contributions to overall mean
sea level rise (MSLR) and talking
in terms of decades
to centuries for their collapse makes the problem seem very far off
in human terms.
An international team of experts supported by NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) has combined data from multiple satellites and aircraft
to produce the most comprehensive and accurate assessment
to date of ice sheet losses
in Greenland and Antarctica and their
contributions to sea level rise.
Their results yielded two surprises: The melt rate for glaciers and ice caps outside Antarctica and Greenland made a smaller
contribution to sea -
level rise than had been estimated, and the melt rate
in the Asian mountains, including the Himalayas, was dramatically lower: 4 billion tons annually versus up
to 50 billion.
It suggests that current ice sheet modeling studies are too simplistic
to accurately predict the future
contributions of the entire Greenland Ice Sheet
to sea level rise, and that Greenland may lose ice more rapidly
in the near future than previously thought.
In fact, he said, ice flows from that glacier alone account for a quarter
to a third of Antarctica's total
contribution to sea level rise.
C: increase
in atmospheric CO2 from pre-industrial
to present is anthropogenic (D / A) S: best guess for likely climate sensitivity (NUM) s: 2 - sigma range of S (NUM) a: ocean acidification will be a problem (D / A) L: expected
sea level rise by 2100
in cm (all
contributions)(NUM) B: climate change will be beneficial (D / A) R: CO2 emissions need
to be reduced drastically by 2050 (D / A) T: technical advances will take care of any problems (D / A) r: the 20th century global temperature record is reliable (D / A) H: over the last 1000 years global temperature was hockey stick shaped (D / A) D: data has been intentionally distorted by scientist
to support the idea of anthropogenic climate change (D / A) g: the CRU - mails are important for the science (D / A) G: the CRU - mails are important otherwise (D / A)
Two articles recently published
in the peer reviewed literature discuss the
contribution of waves
to coastal
sea level rise and the roles of human and natural influences
in Canada's warming climate.
This method concluded that there is a less than 1 -
in - 20 risk of the
contribution of ice sheets
to global
sea -
level rise exceeding 84 cm by 2100.
Most of the current models of glacial ice melting (and
contribution to sea level rise) focus on ice melting and less than they need
to on the process of glaciers falling apart
in larger chunks such as ice bergs.
A paper came out
in today's Nature about glacial melting and its
contribution to sea level rise.
The researchers behind the study recorded the progress of ice caps and glaciers throughout the world over an eight - year period
in order
to estimate their
contribution to sea -
level rise.
And study authors found that 2 C
to 5 C warming of local ocean waters with somewhat greater local air temperature increases was capable of flooding these basins
in stages — forcing Totten's glacial ice
to flow out into the Southern Ocean and provide significant
contributions to sea level rise.
The news comes as U.S. and U.K. scientists are
in the process of teaming up for an ambitious joint research mission focusing on the processes shaping Thwaites and its potential
contributions to sea -
level rise.
PIG already makes the largest
contribution to sea -
level rise of any single Antarctic glacier and the fact that its bed increases
in depth upstream for more than 200 km means there is the possibility of runway retreat that would result
in an even bigger
contribution to sea level.»
The Greenland ice sheet (GIS) has been melting so slowly and so negligibly
in recent decades that the entire ice sheet's total
contribution to global
sea level rise was a mere 0.39 of a centimeter (0.17
to 0.61 cm) between 1993 and 2010 (Leeson et al, 2017).
Glacier changes
in southeast Alaska and northwest British Columbia and
contribution to sea level rise
Larsen, C. F., R. J. Motyka, A. A. Arendt, K. A. Echelmeyer, and P. E. Geissler, 2007: Glacier changes
in southeast Alaska and northwest British Columbia and
contribution to sea level rise.
In AR5 WG1 SPM there are interesting changes compared with AR4 WG1 SPM concerning the estimated
contributions to sea level rise from different sources (mm per year):
According
to the most highly - cited analyses of polar ice sheet melt and
contribution to sea level rise, the Antarctic ice sheet as a whole changed
in mass by -71 gigatonnes (GT) per year between 1992 and 2011.
Gornitz et al. (1997) estimate that ground water is mined at a rate that has been increasing
in time, currently equivalent
to 0.2
to 1.0 mm / yr of
sea level, but they assume that much of this infiltrates back into aquifers so the
contribution to sea level rise is only 0.1
to 0.4 mm / yr.
An important
contribution to present day
sea level rise could result from changes
in the amount of water stored
in the ground, on the surface
in lakes and reservoirs, and by modifications
to surface characteristics affecting runoff or evapotranspiration rates.
Nevertheless, improvements
in ice - sheet models over recent decades have led
to closer agreement with satellite observations, keeping track with their increasing
contribution to global
sea -
level rise.
However, the amount of water stored
in this ice is estimated
to be less than 0.5 m of
sea -
level equivalent (Lemke et al., 2007), so the
contribution to sea -
level rise can not be especially large before the reservoir is depleted.
Rapid
sea -
level rise from these processes is limited
to those regions where the bed of the ice sheet is well below
sea level and thus capable of feeding ice shelves or directly calving icebergs rapidly, but this still represents notable potential
contributions to sea -
level rise, including the deep fjords
in Greenland (roughly 0.5 m; Bindschadler et al., 2013), parts of the East Antarctic ice sheet (perhaps as much as 20 m; Fretwell et al., 2013), and especially parts of the West Antarctic ice sheet (just over 3 m; Bamber et al., 2009).
Land ice loss — especially from northern hemisphere glaciers and the Greenland ice sheet — now exceeds thermal expansion
in its
contribution to rising sea level.
Pine Island Glacier
in Antarctica has thinned significantly during the last two decades and has provided a measurable
contribution to sea -
level rise as a result.