Since most of the planet's surface is ocean, an unusually
cool ocean surface temperature lowers the overall average.
ENSO events, for example, can warm or
cool ocean surface temperatures through exchange of heat between the surface and the reservoir stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).
ENSO events, for example, can warm or
cool ocean surface temperatures through exchange of heat between the surface and the reservoir stored beneath the oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance in the lower atmosphere).
Not exact matches
That wind - driven circulation change leads to
cooler ocean temperatures on the
surface of the eastern Pacific, and more heat being mixed in and stored in the western Pacific down to about 300 meters (984 feet) deep, said England.
So as soon as the hail of asteroids stopped, Earth may have
cooled to an average
surface temperature of — 40 °F and a crust of ice as much as 1,000 feet thick may have covered the
oceans.
The other global flu pandemics over the past century — in 1957, 1968 and 2009 — also followed
cooler sea
surface temperatures in the Pacific
Ocean.
But a reduction in the number and intensity of large hurricanes driving
ocean waters on shore — such as this month's Hurricane Joaquin, seen, which reached category 4 strength — may also play a role by
cooling sea -
surface temperatures that fuel the growth of these monster storms, the team notes.
«The mounting evidence is coalescing around the idea that decades of stronger trade winds coincide with decades of stalls or even slight
cooling of global
surface temperatures, as heat is apparently transferred from the atmosphere into the upper
ocean,» Linsley said.
Naturally occurring interannual and multidecadal shifts in regional
ocean regimes such as the Pacific El Niño - Southern Oscillation, the North Atlantic Oscillation, and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, for example, are bimodal oscillations that cycle between phases of warmer and
cooler sea
surface temperatures.
The research published in Nature Communications found that in the past, when
ocean temperatures around Antarctica became more layered - with a warm layer of water below a cold
surface layer - ice sheets and glaciers melted much faster than when the
cool and warm layers mixed more easily.
Singer,
cooling period, major, orbital, minor, solar, CO2, saturation, Charney report, no data, adjusting
temperatures, satellite, lower troposphere,
surface - air, sea
surface,
ocean oscillations, ENSO, AMO, PDO, Irma, false alarms, Jose, energy follies, dispatchable electricity, reasonable prices, number???
A well - known issue with LGM proxies is that the most abundant type of proxy data, using the species composition of tiny marine organisms called foraminifera, probably underestimates sea
surface cooling over vast stretches of the tropical
oceans; other methods like alkenone and Mg / Ca ratios give colder
temperatures (but aren't all coherent either).
Cooler than normal sea
surface temperatures (blue shades) were developing in the tropical Pacific
Ocean during October, signaling the possible development of La Nina.
The rate of flow of heat out of the
ocean is determined by the
temperature gradient in the «
cool skin layer», which resides within the thin viscous
surface layer of
ocean that is in contact with the atmosphere.
The main point is that just as
surface temperatures has experienced periods of short term
cooling during long term global warming, similarly the
ocean shows short term variability during a long term warming trend.
Cooling sea -
surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific
Ocean — part of a natural warm and cold cycle — may explain why global average
temperatures have stabilized in recent years, even as greenhouse gas emissions have been warming the planet.
La Niña is the positive phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and is associated with
cooler than average sea
surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific
Ocean.
-- The combined global land and
ocean average
surface temperature for the December — February period was 0.41 °C (0.74 °F) above the 20th century average of 12.1 °C (53.8 °F), making it the 17th warmest such period on record and the
coolest December — February since 2008.
If the correlations were positive, that
temperatures matched Scenario B, would you accept skeptics saying, «Sure, but really, Scenario C is more useful», and if the
ocean - heat data looked like Lyman (2010), them saying «Sure, but that's only because deeper heat is being transfered to the
surface and replaced by
cooler waters, but we can't see it»?
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by cooling warmer parts more than cooler parts (for the surface and atmosphere); also (not significant within the atmosphere and ocean in general, but significant at the interface betwen the surface and the air, and also significant (in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity in the crust and somewhat in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core) in parts of the Earth's interior) temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differenti
Temperature tends to respond so that, depending on optical properties, LW emission will tend to reduce the vertical differential heating by
cooling warmer parts more than
cooler parts (for the
surface and atmosphere); also (not significant within the atmosphere and
ocean in general, but significant at the interface betwen the
surface and the air, and also significant (in part due to the small heat fluxes involved, viscosity in the crust and somewhat in the mantle (where there are thick boundary layers with superadiabatic lapse rates) and thermal conductivity of the core) in parts of the Earth's interior)
temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differenti
temperature changes will cause conduction / diffusion of heat that partly balances the differential heating.
My amateur spreadsheet tracking and projecting the monthly NASA GISS values suggests that while 2018 and 2019 are likely to be
cooler than 2017, they may also be the last years on Earth with global average land and
ocean surface temperature anomaly below 1C above pre-industrial average (using 1850 - 1900 proxy).
One thing I would have liked to see in the paper is a quantitative side - by - side comparison of sea -
surface temperatures and upper
ocean heat content; all the paper says is that only «a small amount of
cooling is observed at the
surface, although much less than the
cooling at depth» though they do report that it is consistent with 2 - yr
cooling SST trend — but again, no actual data analysis of the SST trend is reported.
I was able to foresee an Arctic
Ocean great ice melt for 2008, despite
cooler surface temperatures which have occurred.
Redistribution of heat (such as vertical transport between the
surface and the deeper
ocean) could cause some
surface and atmospheric
temperature change that causes some global average warming or
cooling.
Depending on where the powerful winds cross the Atlantic, the jet stream can have a
cooling or warming effect on sea
surface temperatures in the North Atlantic
Ocean, according to the study, published (May 27 2015) in the journal Nature.
This
cooling is the result of natural long - term swings in
ocean surface temperatures, particularly swings in the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation or mega-El Niño - Southern Oscillation, which has lately been in a mega-La Niña or
cool phase.
eadler2 January 10, 2015 at 5:54 pm ... When
ocean surface temperatures cool, due to a La Nina, the warmer
surface water is mixed deeper into the
ocean and
cooler ocean water flows along the
surface of the Pacific.
While the aerosol influence last less than a decade, the influence on
surface temperatures continues because of the slow mixing of
cooled waters on the
ocean surface.
When
ocean surface temperatures cool, due to a La Nina, the warmer
surface water is mixed deeper into the
ocean and
cooler ocean water flows along the
surface of the Pacific.
Atmospheric back radiation effectively prevents the
ocean surface from
cooling below atmospheric emission
temperature because atmospheric emission is at an intensity equal to TSI.
In addition to expending some of the oceanic heat, the wave action of the cyclone tends to mix the
cooler ocean waters below toward the
surface, reducing sea
surface temperatures after the cyclone passes.
ENSO at least says something PHYSICAL about how heat is being entrained in the deep
ocean: a La Nina ought to anchor global
surface temperatures to the deep
ocean and
cool it.
And the lower troposphere
temperatures also show warming in the Southern
Ocean (latitudes 65S - 55S) while the
surface temperature - based datasets both show
cooling.
Ocean surface cooling, in the North Atlantic as well as the Southern
Ocean, increases tropospheric horizontal
temperature gradients, eddy kinetic energy and baroclinicity, which drive more powerful storms.
Let's compare the warming and
cooling patterns for lower troposphere
temperatures over the
oceans to a spatially complete, satellite - enhanced sea
surface temperature dataset, Reynolds OI.v2.
And for the period of 1997 to 2012, there are no similarities between the warming and
cooling patterns for lower troposphere
temperatures over the
oceans and the satellite - enhanced sea
surface temperature data.
Years - long
ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña cause alternate warming and
cooling of the sea
surface there, with effects on monsoons and
temperatures around the world.
I also suspect that a good portion of the additional warming shown in the hybrid version of the Cowtan and Way (2013) data (versus their Krig data) comes from the Southern
Ocean surrounding Antarctica, where sea
surface temperatures are
cooling and lower troposphere
temperatures are warming.
Subsequently, climate change has been greatly affected as Antarctic Intermediate Water have
cooled and exerted a tremendous effect on tropical sea
surface temperatures for millions of years via «
ocean tunneling».
They describe abnormally warm or
cool sea
surface temperatures in the South Pacific that are caused by changing
ocean currents.
When he presented his misleading graph, when he said 97 % of climate scientists agree, (knowing full well the actual situation that the number is bogus and misleading,) when he mentions adjustments to satellite data but not to
surface temperatures with major past
cooling and absurd derived precision to.005 * C, when he defends precision in
surface global averages but ignores major estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and
oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibility.
Anthropogenic warming in the post — war period was 0.4 degrees K. 1944 to 1998 including both the mid century
cool and the late century warm Pacific
Ocean regimes — as seen in
surface temperature records.
Water takes longer to heat up and
cool down than does the air or land, so
ocean warming is considered to be a better indicator of global warming than measurements of global atmospheric
temperatures at the Earth's
surface.
A reduction in UV (ultra violet) light then should have a profound effect on the amount of energy entering the
ocean surface waters from the sun extending down to 50 - 100 meters in depth, resulting in
cooler ocean temperatures.
It seemsthe observed increase in trade winds lead to the
surfacing of
cooler waters in the Eastern Pacific
ocean and this phenomenon is found by models to cause global average
temperatures to
cool.
La Niña, on the other hand, occurs when the
ocean's
surface temperatures are
cooler than usual, and can lead to warmer
temperatures throughout the Southeast, and
cooler temperatures in the Northwest.
As seen in Figure 2, a
cool phase PDO is associated with
cool sea
surface temperatures along the Pacific coast of North America, but the center of the North Pacific
ocean is still quite warm.
Map of air
temperature anomalies for December 2009, at the 925 millibar level (roughly 1,000 meters [3,000 feet] above the
surface) for the region north of 30 degrees N, shows warmer than usual
temperatures over the Arctic
Ocean and
cooler than normal
temperatures over central Eurasia, the United States and southwestern Canada.
, which is well reminiscent of the Moses» miracle, should be «the global
oceans could warm and
cool» or «the
surface temperature of global
oceans could rise and fall.»
By examining the spatial pattern of both types of climate variation, the scientists found that the anthropogenic global warming signal was relatively spatially uniform over the tropical
oceans and thus would not have a large effect on the atmospheric circulation, whereas the PDO shift in the 1990s consisted of warming in the tropical west Pacific and
cooling in the subtropical and east tropical Pacific, which would enhance the existing sea
surface temperature difference and thus intensify the circulation.