High values of global cloud cover is associated with low global temperatures, demonstrating
the cooling effect of clouds.
The cooling effect of clouds during the daytime depends very much on solar inclination as well as cloud optical thickness and cover.
He added that certain processes, such as how clouds will respond to changes in the atmosphere and the warming or
cooling effect of clouds, are uncertain and different modeling groups make different assumptions about how to represent these processes.
In terms of
the cooling effect of clouds, the immediacy of feeling that effect is due to the blocked incoming radiation from the sun, just as it would be if you stepped beneath a large shade tree.
The model calculations, which are based on data from the CLOUD experiment, reveal that
the cooling effects of clouds are 27 percent less than in climate simulations without this effect as a result of additional particles caused by human activity: Instead of a radiative effect of -0.82 W / m2 the outcome is only -0.60 W / m2.
They assume «positive feedbacks» from GHGs that trap heat, but understate the reflective and thus
cooling effects of clouds.
The cooling effect of a cloud shadow is familar to everyone.
Not exact matches
Scientists can measure how much energy greenhouse gases now add (roughly three watts per square meter), but what eludes precise definition is how much other factors — the response
of clouds to warming, the
cooling role
of aerosols, the heat and gas absorbed by oceans, human transformation
of the landscape, even the natural variability
of solar strength — diminish or strengthen that
effect.
Besides SSCE, scientists have also been investigating stratospheric sulfur injections — firing sun - reflecting aerosols into the air, similar to the
cooling effect after a volcanic eruption — and cirrus
cloud thinning, where you thin the top level
of clouds, which have a warming
effect on the planet.
In a recent study, for instance, well - respected climate models were shown to have completely opposing estimates for the overall
effect of the
clouds and smoke in the southeast Atlantic: Some found net warming, whereas others found
cooling.
At any given time,
clouds cover about 70 percent
of the Earth's surface and together produce a net
cooling effect on the planet.
Scientists know that the
clouds can act as a sunshield,
cooling parts
of the globe and offsetting the global warming caused by the greenhouse
effect (see «Not warming, but
cooling», New Scientist, 9 July 1994).
Some also argued that the
effects of aerosols and pollutants, which block sunlight and facilitate
cloud formation, would enhance this
cooling trend.
And, Stevens says, the study doesn't discuss the types
of clouds that are thought to be the most crucial for future warming: low - lying
clouds over the subtropical oceans, which have a strong
cooling effect but may be dissipating as the world warms.
As the area
of this
cloud cover grows, it reflects more
of the shortwave radiation; but as the
clouds get taller, their greenhouse
effect becomes more significant, counteracting about half
of their total
cooling effect.»
Hurricanes also
cool reefs with their broad
cloud cover and the
effect seems to be strongest to the left
of a given storm's track for reasons that remain a mystery.
Anthony Watts, president
of weather data company Intelliweather Inc. and winner
of the American Meteorological Society's Seal
of Approval (see note, below), shows that
clouds have an extremely large
cooling effect on the world.
[Response: Note also that more low
clouds would unambiguously mean a
cooling effect, but more high
clouds could lead to either a warming
effect or a
cooling effect, depending on the altitude
of the
clouds and the typical particle size in the GCR - induced
clouds (if any).
The net
effect of human - generated aerosols is more complicated and regionally variable — for example, in contrast to the local warming
effect of the Asian Brown
Cloud, global shipping produces large amounts
of cooling reflective sulphate aerosols: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/1999/08/990820022710.htm
The
cloud of dust had a
cooling effect, and when it broke down, the climate system bounced back as if the eruption hadn't even taken place.
By the way, low
clouds in darkness increase surface temperature, sort
of like the inverse property
of commonly understood Cosmic ray
effect, not causing a
cooling because there are more CR's, but rather a warming, which only low
clouds in total darkness can do, so the probable CR temperature signal gets cancelled from one latitude dark vs bright region to the next.
It is my understanding that the uncertainties regarding climate sensitivity to a nominal 2XCO2 forcing is primarily a function
of the uncertainties in (1) future atmospheric aerosol concentrations; both sulfate - type (
cooling) and black carbon - type (warming), (2) feedbacks associated with aerosol
effects on the properties
of clouds (e.g. will
cloud droplets become more reflective?)
I'm not sure offhand
of the importance
of this, but more rapid
cooling from more rapid ascent would reduce the distances over which molecules can diffuse during the time periods involved, which would tend to isolate the
effects of the particles from each other, so that more haze particles could go on to become
cloud droplets, resulting in smaller and more numerous
cloud droplets.
The bottom line is that uncertainties in the physics
of aerosol
effects (warming from black carbon,
cooling from sulphates and nitrates, indirect
effects on
clouds, indirect
effects on snow and ice albedo) and in the historical distributions, are really large (as acknowledged above).
What is the best guess
of the experts regarding the balance
of the
cooling versus warming
effects of increasing
clouds / water vapor?
There will be Regionally / locally and temporal variations; increased temperature and backradiation tend to reduce the diurnal temperature cycle on land, though regional variations in
cloud feedbacks and water vapor could cause some regions to have the opposite
effect; changes in surface moisture and humidity also changes the amount
of convective
cooling that can occur for the same temperature distribution.
«While low
clouds have a predominantly
cooling effect due to their shading
of sunlight, most cirrus
clouds have a net warming
effect on the Earth,» Spencer said.
CLOUD's genesis is in the mid-1990s, when space physicist Hendrik Svensmark hypothesized that cosmic rays as mediated by solar
effects, play a very large role on the physics
of climate, and could explain the warming and
cooling trends.
Stuart L I am a stupid layman, but wonder about the
effects of water vapour (
clouds) when I lived in the UK
cloud conditions would cause the temps to be milder (warmer) here in Philippines
cloud causes
cooler conditions, how can one calculate the overall
effect on the earths surface?.
Climate models that include these aerosol -
cloud interactions fail to include a number
of buffering responses, such as rainfall scavenging
of the aerosols and compensating dynamical
effects (which would reduce the magnitude
of the aci
cooling effect).
Increased numbers
of aerosols provide additional locations for droplet nucleation and, all else being equal, result in
clouds with more and smaller droplets hence being more reflective to solar radiation (a
cooling effect).
For example, the
CLOUD experiments could provide insights into the rate of tropical cloud formations which effect tropical cooling and the heat transfer from the tropics to the higher latit
CLOUD experiments could provide insights into the rate
of tropical
cloud formations which effect tropical cooling and the heat transfer from the tropics to the higher latit
cloud formations which
effect tropical
cooling and the heat transfer from the tropics to the higher latitudes.
The net
effect of clouds is
cooling as is demonstrated by largely cloudless deserts having higher mean annual temperatures than moist climates at the same latitude.
Thus, while the net radiative
effect of clouds is that
of warming (
cooling) across the tropics during La Niña (El Nino) events, the magnitude is quite small and varies greatly from one event to another..»
This led to a nasty scene, when he said I was unable to see what was obvious, ever - accelerating
cooling which would lead to a runaway «Neptune
Effect» because of mechanisms of positive feedback (his best examples were clouds which collect over the winter solstice — the «in - law» effect — persisting through to mid-February — the «Cupid» effect — and combining forces to wreck the climate for the entire first half of the
Effect» because
of mechanisms
of positive feedback (his best examples were
clouds which collect over the winter solstice — the «in - law»
effect — persisting through to mid-February — the «Cupid» effect — and combining forces to wreck the climate for the entire first half of the
effect — persisting through to mid-February — the «Cupid»
effect — and combining forces to wreck the climate for the entire first half of the
effect — and combining forces to wreck the climate for the entire first half
of the year.)
Clouds have both a
cooling effect and a warming
effect, depending on the type
of cloud.
(While the data did suggest strong positive water vapor feedback, which enhances warming, that was far exceeded by the
cooling effect of negative feedback from
cloud changes.)»
More
clouds both drastically reduce energy input from the sun and simply slow release
of what energy there is trapped in the lower troposphere, but the long term
effect would be a fall in average temperature because
of the significantly reduced input power but the atmosphere's ability to
cool is aided by air current circulation whereby the warmer air rises above those low
clouds and that infra - red is more easily re-emitted into space, whereby the low
clouds now block that re-emission from hitting the ground again to any significant degree.
Warmer winters (if they have lots
of clouds... in winter thick
clouds actually warm since there is less daylight and there
cooling effect is now reversed to warming by retaining the heat... reflecting more IR than carbon dioxide can do, depending upon the type
of cloud).
The ratio in which they cooperate on the final
effect — relatively narrow range
of survivable temperatures — is another question; it is for sure, that the most abundant IR active gas likes to create
clouds, which effectively
cool the surface, then it rains down and again effectively
cools the surface and sometimes gets frozen to snow, which reflects sunlight and again effectively
cools the surface.
Trees are not only carbon - sinks, but they also perform two other climate - affecting tasks: they absorb light into their dark leaves — causing a warming
effect — and they pull water out
of the ground and into the air, creating low
clouds that promote
cooling.
The reduction in nighttime
cooling that leads to this bias may indeed be the result
of human interference in the climate system (i.e., local
effects of increasing greenhouse gases or human
effects on
cloud cover), but through a causal mechanism different than that typically assumed.
There can be interruptions when low
cloud causes lower T, there can be nearby vegetation that casts a shadow on the screen sometimes, other vegetation
effects like when mowed surrounding grass changes the effective height above ground
of the thermometer, there can be a burst
of rain that
cools the surroundings — and so on into the night.
I see they mention the solar radiation
effect and also the
effect of evaporative
cooling on the sensor after emergance from
cloud.
To see the
cooling power
of this
effect you only have to compare earth surface temperatures (in a desert region with no
cloud) with moon surface temperatures in the first 6 hours after sunrise.
on the other hand, CO2 intercepts small amount
of sunlight high up, where
cooling is much more efficient — as a result small amount LESS
of the sunlight comes to the ground = same as the H2O
cloud effect - > brings day / night's temp closer = less extreme.
Clouds are in fact such a strong
cooling force that is has been estimated by several sources (Theodor Landscheidt, 1998) that having
clouds cover 1 % more
of the Earth's surface would cancel the heating
effect of a doubling
of CO2.
As the CO2 and CH4 (methane) level goes up, H2O vapour in the atmosphere falls which — because H2O is 30 times more important than CO2 as a «greenhouse gas» offsets the
effect of CO2 on temperature, while
cloud cover and albedo increases because warmed moist air rises to form
clouds, further
cooling the world.
However — a group
of scientists
of the US Department
of Energy Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, the University
of Maryland and the Hebrew University
of Jerusalem now say that aerosol pollution does not necessarily lead to (low - lying) stratus
clouds one would appreciate for climatic
cooling, but that it can also be a factor in the creation
of thunderstorm
clouds,
clouds that have a complicated climate
effect, but that are suspected
of being net warmers.
Low - level
clouds cause a
cooling effect by reflecting sunlight, so if these types
of clouds become less prevalent, it can cause the surface to warm.