Not exact matches
Isn't it strange how six
periods of cooling can add up to a clear warming trend
over the last 4
decades?
Ocean temperatures experience interannual variability and
over the past 3
decades of global warming have had several short
periods of cooling.
«We show that the climate
over the 21st century can and likely will produce
periods of a
decade or two where the globally averaged surface air temperature shows no trend or even slight
cooling in the presence
of longer - term warming,» the paper says, adding that, «It is easy to «cherry pick» a
period to reinforce a point
of view.»
As you can see,
over periods of a few
decades, modeled internal variability does not cause surface temperatures to change by more than 0.3 °C, and
over longer
periods, such as the entire 20th Century, its transient warming and
cooling influences tend to average out, and internal variability does not cause long - term temperature trends.
In the Northern Hemisphere, they take the form
of rapid warming episodes, typically in a matter
of decades, each followed by gradual
cooling over a longer
period.
And yet
over the entire
period question containing these six
cooling trends, the underlying trend is one
of rapid global warming (0.27 °C per
decade, according to the new Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature [BEST] dataset).
They find that, with an enlarged data set that has corrections for bias between drifting buoy data and data taken from ship intakes, as well as extended corrections for water
cooling in buckets in the time between being drawn from the sea and being measured, there is a statistically significant warming trend
of 0.086 °C per
decade over the 1998 - 2012
period.
If one station is warming rapidly
over a
period of a
decade a few kilometers from a number
of stations that are
cooling over the same
period, the warming station is likely responding to localized effects (instrument changes, station moves, microsite changes, etc.) rather than a real climate signal.
The average
of RSS and UAH monthly readings
over that 51 month
period is 0.1550 C. So, at the time
of your comment, the current
decade (Jan 2011 to Mar 2015) was actually 0.0464 degrees
COOLER than the average
of the previous
decade.
Instead they point out that there have been regular
periods of sea warming and
cooling over recent
decades without our involvement.
Ocean temperatures experience interannual variability and
over the past 3
decades of global warming have had several short
periods of cooling... Argo takes measurements in the top 2000 metres
of the ocean.
Easterling and Wehner (2009) showed that «the climate
over the 21st century can and likely will produce
periods of a
decade or two where the globally averaged surface air temperature shows no trend or even slight
cooling in the presence
of longer - term warming.»