I look forwards to seeing if Salby addresses
the correlation with emissions or just ignores it.
Not exact matches
Although it is not surprising to see some
correlation between frequency of unloadings and higher annual
emissions, the study's findings indicate that wells
with a high frequency of unloadings have annual
emissions that are 10 or more times as great as wells that unload less frequently.
We aim to determine the level of near - infrared exozodiacal dust
emission around a sample of 42 nearby main sequence stars
with spectral types ranging from A to K and to investigate its
correlation with various stellar parameters and
with the presence of cold dust belts.
A large fraction of the galaxies also exhibit H2 rotational line and ionic fine - structure line
emissions, which have no significant
correlation with the PAH
emissions.
To test for a
correlation between magnetic activity and photometric variability, we searched for H$ \ alpha $
emission among eight L3 $ - $ T2 ultra-cool dwarfs
with extensive previous photometric monitoring, some of which are known to be variable at 3.6 $ \ mu $ m or 4.5 $ \ mu $ m.
What's more important than any records being set is the pattern of warming and cooling we've seen over the last 100 years or so, and that pattern is NOT consistent
with a
correlation between warming and CO2
emissions.
If we can find no consistent
correlation between TSI and temperatures during the Eighteenth and Nineteenth centuries, when CO2
emissions were clearly not yet a factor, then the «
correlation» some have claimed to have found during the early 20th century is almost certainly an artifact, i.e., a fluke,
with no real significance.
Together, a basic Pearson
correlation coefficient yields statistically significant results, indicating that CO2
emissions are having a real statistical association
with the increase in global temperatures.
A similar occurrence of decreasing global temperatures
with rapidly increasing CO2
emissions took place during the 33 years from 1942 to 1975 (the 70's global cooling scare) so the stated
correlation of increased CO2
emissions with global warming never actually existed.
In short, since 1997 there has been neither any global warming nor any enhancement of the greenhouse effect to cause it in the first place, and
with no possible
correlation between increased CO2
emissions and global warming; there is simply no scientific basis for the for the ludicrous concept that fossil fuel derived CO2
emissions are or could even cause catastrophic global warming!
Annual
emissions show very little
correlation with annual changes in concentration.
Surely until you have the answer to these questions you simply have a graph showing
correlation of warming
with increases of CO2
emissions, don't you?
My only remaining skepticism had to do
with the use of this simple
correlation for predicting the future «to within a millikelvin»: namely, that the
correlation ignored two real constraints on future atmospheric CO2 increase, from human
emissions upon which the entire
correlation is based.
The
correlation of
emission metrics
with most likely peak warming rate.
One further issue you need to explain is why CO2 is still increasing in virtually perfect
correlation with mans
emissions even though you guys argue that heating has stopped for 15/16 years.
We show in figure 2 that cumulative
emissions to the time of peak warming are tightly correlated
with peak CO2 - induced warming for the case
with no
emissions floors, and here we investigate whether
emissions floors affect this
correlation.
No period of warming matches in
correlation with mans
emissions the rise in CO2.
Based on the metrics presented in figure 2, we conclude that, for cases
with no
emissions floor, the strongest
correlation across all pathways occurs between peak warming and the cumulative
emissions from pre-industrial times to the time of that peak warming, as shown in figure 2a.
BTW I did do the
correlation of CO2
with fossil fuel
emissions.
=== > The continuous growth of cumulative CO2
emissions over the entire span since 1850 has likely zero
correlation with the constant acceleration / deceleration of natural climate temperature trends - CO2's impact on the trends is demonstrably minimal
The overall
correlation is a result of the fact that climate policy induces systemic changes in the energy system, away from technologies
with high greenhouse gas
emission levels, which also have high
emissions of air pollutants (e.g. coal use without CCS has high
emission levels of CO2, but also of SO2).
Note that while the BEST approach is based on
correlations, they are
correlations of variables
with known causal relationships (i.e. an increased greenhouse effect is known to cause global warming), although they do not appear to have considered some important influences like human aerosol
emissions or the El Niño Southern Oscillation.
This is probably a point where you and I agree: namely that human CO2
emissions have a
correlation with atmospheric CO2 levels on a multi-annual basis, even though the relation is not clear on a year - to - year basis, where between 15 % and 90 % of the emitted CO2 «remains» in the atmosphere.,
with this averaging out to around 50 % over the longer tem.
ANSWER: Observations are the time series T (t), [CO2](t) and
emissions (t); as d [CO2] natural (t) / dt correlates
with T (t) and as no other
correlation is (mathematically) allowed (by statistical tests) then the [CO2 natural] is, as shown as well on figure 17 - B, a consequence of the past temperatures (their time integral) and can not be their cause.
Your
correlation between temp change and the natural climate forces is also in very good
correlation with Hans Roslins.If you add the number of individuals prospering from UHI effects it correlates perfectly
with your graph and also not surprisingly
with CO2
emissions.
I have a hard time reconciling this 99 %
correlation with the fact that human
emissions must have added some amount of CO2 to the atmosphere.
In comparing annual human CO2
emissions with annual increase in atmospheric CO2, it was always a mystery to me why human CO2
emissions showed such a poor
correlation with changes in atmospheric CO2 levels if human
emissions were supposed to be driving the atmospheric levels, but his lecture explains this very clearly.
Salby was just busting the
correlation with the known stead human
emissions against the varying 0 to double annual co2 increment.
I think you will find that
correlations of CO2
with natural causes are much higher than to anthropogenic
emissions.
Salby says that since anthropogenic
emission does not correlate
with temperature, the rise must be due to other
emission that does correlate, and he goes on to quantify how much of the
emission can be explained by this other
emission based on that
correlation.
«The
correlation of changes in d13C
with ENSO events and the comparison
with a simple model of a series of cascades suggest that the changes in d13C in the atmosphere have little to do
with the input of CO2
emissions from the continuous use of fossil fuels.»
On a year - to - year basis there is absolutely no
correlation between human CO2
emissions and atmospheric CO2 levels: the amount of human CO2 «staying» in the atmosphere swings between 15 and 88 percent of that emitted by humans,
with a multi-year average of just under 50 %.
It does make more sense that a long period of atmospheric cooling would lead to a lowering of sea level, but that
correlation has NOTHING to do
with CO2
emissions, which were skyrocketing while global temperatures either fell or remained steady.
What Lansner shows is that CO2 does not just follow temperature; while temperature drags CO2 up in a way Severinghaus notes the interesting effect is what happens when temperature drops; at that time there is no
correlation with CO2; this is also demonstrated in the 20thC as the lack of any
correlation between temperature, CO2 levels and
emissions is apparent: