You're right, of course, that the decision - makers already know about the environmental
cost of the oil sands (hence, the «sacrifice zoning» of past strategies).
Not exact matches
Shell has been selling off billions
of dollars worth
of projects, including the
oil sands, that it believes can't meet its new low -
cost bar.
When the
oil - demand peak came, Shell believed, petroleum prices might begin a slow slide, dipping too low to cover the
costs of oil -
sands production.
Suncor Energy Inc., the world's second - largest
oil -
sands producer, said first - quarter profit fell 23 percent on lower output, higher
costs and absence
of a gain from insurance settlements a year earlier.
First, I want to look at how the changes not just in
oil prices, but also changes in diluent
costs, discounts for
oil sands crude relative to light crude and, in particular, the fall
of the Canadian dollar have changed the outlook for new
oil sands projects — for those under construction, and for those currently operating.
With cash operating
costs of $ 34.45 per barrel for its
oil sands operations, Suncor has retained a healthy cash margin through the downturn.
The extraordinary
cost reductions achieved by North American
oil and gas companies have likely reached their limit, and any boost in profitability for much
of the U.S. shale and Canadian
oil sands industries will have to come from higher
oil prices, according to a new report from Moody's Investors Service.
As I wrote in my blog over a year ago, («
Oil Price Spread Costing Canadian producers big bucks,» November 10, 2011), oil sands producers have been continually getting short - changed for their oil by refineries in Cushing, Oklahoma, where most of the product from the oil sands flo
Oil Price Spread
Costing Canadian producers big bucks,» November 10, 2011),
oil sands producers have been continually getting short - changed for their oil by refineries in Cushing, Oklahoma, where most of the product from the oil sands flo
oil sands producers have been continually getting short - changed for their
oil by refineries in Cushing, Oklahoma, where most of the product from the oil sands flo
oil by refineries in Cushing, Oklahoma, where most
of the product from the
oil sands flo
oil sands flows.
However, it's certainly incorrect to assume that the existence
of single pipeline impacts all
oil sands supply
costs, or that not allowing it would render that
oil supply unavailable at any price.
From there, you've still got to break down your
oil sands supply curve, which means looking at all the potential production, and the
costs of getting those barrels to market.
A Pembina Institute study from 2009 estimated the
costs to reclaim what was then 686 square miles
of oil sands developments and 170 square miles
of tailings ponds would run as high as $ 15 billion.
Growing concern about climate change and the election
of Barack Obama mean that the enormous carbon footprint
of the
oil sands may eventually become a
cost to producers.
If I take Keystone XL out
of the mix, in my toy model, I haven't impacted the
cost of the marginal barrel
of oil sands because I haven't changed the
cost of a barrel shipped by rail, I've simply reduced the profit on the barrels which would be shipped via KXL by forcing them to be shipped to market in a more expensive way.
What is the
cost of chasing exponential production growth from the
oil sands?
Now they want to relive the glory days by increasing the amount
of oil flowing from the tar
sands at any
cost.
The
cost of reclaiming over 300,000
oil and gas wells in Alberta likely exceeds $ 70 billion, and the
cost of cleaning up the toxic tailings ponds and other damage at the
oil sands could reach similar levels.
This suggests that access to capital and the
cost of borrowing may become increasingly challenging for
oil sands companies.
The
costs to develop the
oil sands, a type
of unconventional petroleum deposit, are much higher that developing conventional
oil deposits.
The report claims the emissions cap included in Alberta government's climate change plan will
cost Canada's
oil sands industry $ 250 billion and is the latest in a concerted effort by conservative opponents
of the NDP to undermine its flagship policy.
In a world
of falling prices, however, it will be high
cost production from shale formations and the
oil sands, not the low
cost conventional crude from places such as Saudi Arabia and Iran that will be hit the hardest.
Forget the fixed
costs of development; just the operating
costs of keeping a project online are significantly higher than the revenue that an
oil sands producer would earn from selling their bitumen.
Canada currently produces about four million barrels
of oil a day but 61 percent
of that volume comes from high
cost and carbon intensive mining in the tar
sands.
There is considerable variation in both the quality
of and the ease with which a resource deposit can be extracted, so the most profitable strategy is to start with the high - quality, low -
cost plays and, when these are exhausted, move on to deposits that are
of lower quality and are more costly (think conventional
oil fields vs. the
oil sands).
«Other options like rail or truck are not feasible for the transportation
of large quantities,» said Elizabeth Shope, anti — tar
sands advocate with environmental group the Natural Resources Defense Council, in a conference call with reporters, noting that such alternative transportation more than triples the
cost of moving tar
sands oil.
Tar
Sands Environmental Destruction Not Worth It At the risk
of sounding flippant, sounds like too little too late: I'll stand by the WWF's assessment that the economic and environmental
costs of continuing to develop tar
sands and
oil shales — in energy speak «unconventional fuels» — are simply unthinkable.
In a smart recap
of the controversy over tar
sands oil, Maddow uses the Mayflower
oil spill as a lead - in to a discussion on the tar
sands oil spill on the Kalamazoo River
oil spill, which has become the most expensive
oil spill in US history with cleanup
costs surpassing $ 765 million dollars.
Rubin tells us the heavy
oil from the Tar
Sands (or «
oil sands» as the industry tries to say)
costs more to refine, and gets less on the market — perhaps forty something a barrel, versus the 50 or 60 dollars a barrel we hear quoted as «the price
of oil».
«The goal
of Sapphire is to produce a crude product that can be introduced into the existing crude stream for production
costs that are similar to other new opportunities like
oil shales,
oil sands, and even deep, deep water drilling,» Jason Pyle, Sapphire's chief executive said in an interview.
This was primarily due to the low
cost of decarbonizing coal - based electricity in the U.S. versus Canada's largely decarbonized electricity system and high
costs of reducing emissions in the
oil sands.
At current levels,
oil sands producers are collecting a price «in the teens» for the bitumen portion of WCS, an amount that is below some companies» stated costs, according to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for the Oil Price Information Servi
oil sands producers are collecting a price «in the teens» for the bitumen portion
of WCS, an amount that is below some companies» stated
costs, according to Tom Kloza, global head
of energy analysis for the
Oil Price Information Servi
Oil Price Information Service.
An
Oil Bonanza, With a Cost Alberta's oil sands, also known as tar sands, are one of the world's largest petroleum reservoi
Oil Bonanza, With a
Cost Alberta's
oil sands, also known as tar sands, are one of the world's largest petroleum reservoi
oil sands, also known as tar
sands, are one
of the world's largest petroleum reservoirs.
That's because although a high
oil price
of $ 50 - $ 70 is necessary to justify investing billions into a new
oil sands project, the variable
costs of getting a barrel
of oil from existing operations are much lower (as low as $ 10 for steamed
oil and low $ 20s for mined
oil).
The FSEIS stated that KXL «is unlikely to significantly affect the rate
of extraction in
oil sands areas (based on expected
oil prices,
oil -
sands supply
costs and supply - demand scenarios».
This revealed approval
of the controversial Keystone XL (KXL) pipeline would only have a marginal positive impact
of the economics
of the Canadian
oil -
sands industry, but could trigger a rush
of investment into additional risky high -
cost, high - carbon projects, dependent on rising
oil prices.
One
of the key findings that emerged from our research was that this transport differential lowers producers»
costs sufficiently to stimulate a wave
of new
oil sands production that would not go ahead if KXL is scrapped.
The Colorado plaintiffs, like the cities and counties suing
oil companies in California, accuse Exxon and the Canadian
oil sands company Suncor
of creating a public nuisance through the burning
of fossil fuels that is
costing them money and putting their residents and property at risk.
They developed «plans to raise the negatives
of the
oil -
sands industry, boost the
costs of producing them [and] stop infrastructure development...»
Yet talk about pace and scale
of development in Canada's
oil sands is considered unspeakable — a blasphemy — in political and industry circles, even though
oil sands projects are widely recognized as the highest - risk, highest -
cost projects in the industry, and likely the first to be impacted as the noose
of climate policy tightens.
A Bloomberg report reveals that the 1,700 mile tar
sands oil pipeline would likely have the effect
of raising the
cost of gasoline by $ 0.20 a gallon.
TreeHugger has filled a great many virtual pages on the topic
of Alberta tar
sands, detailing time and time again the high environmental
costs of extracting this so - called unconventional source
of oil, which the Albertan government has bet
Their report considers the implications for
oil -
sands producers with
costs of $ 65 / barrel and above.
«Shell's deferral
of Pierre River, one
of the high -
cost oil sands projects that we highlighted in our «Carbon supply Cost Curves» analysis last year, is in line with our belief that companies should cancel capex on high - cost projects in favour of a portfolio of low - breakeven investments in order to protect shareholder value,» said Andrew Grant financial analyst at the Carbon Tracker Initiat
cost oil sands projects that we highlighted in our «Carbon supply
Cost Curves» analysis last year, is in line with our belief that companies should cancel capex on high - cost projects in favour of a portfolio of low - breakeven investments in order to protect shareholder value,» said Andrew Grant financial analyst at the Carbon Tracker Initiat
Cost Curves» analysis last year, is in line with our belief that companies should cancel capex on high -
cost projects in favour of a portfolio of low - breakeven investments in order to protect shareholder value,» said Andrew Grant financial analyst at the Carbon Tracker Initiat
cost projects in favour
of a portfolio
of low - breakeven investments in order to protect shareholder value,» said Andrew Grant financial analyst at the Carbon Tracker Initiative.
The increased capacity and revenues the pipeline will bring will encourage equity analysts and credit rating agencies to mark up
oil -
sands producers, reducing their
cost of capital and therefore encouraging further expansion.
I think the approach
of focusing on
oil sands because they are a relatively new and growing industry misses the point
of full -
cost accounting — we should be looking to maximize the net benefits we derive from our resources, and this should apply to everything we do.