Sentences with phrase «coupled hurricane model»

Not exact matches

During Thursday's press conference, officials also touted the updated models and tools they have to produce better forecasts for individual storms, part of a concerted effort that has greatly improved hurricane forecasts over the past couple of decades.

A couple of commentators (Pat Michaels, Roy Spencer) recently raised an issue about the standard scenarios used to compare climate models, in this case related to a study on the potential increase in hurricane activity.

Using observations and a coupled Earth system model, a new study shows that the decline of the Atlantic major hurricane frequency during 2005 — 2015 is associated with a weakening of the AMOC.

In a recent paper published in Nature Communications, using both observations and a coupled Earth system model (GFDL - ESM2G) with a more realistic simulation of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) structure, and thus reduced mean state biases in the North Atlantic, the authors show that the decline of the Atlantic major hurricane frequency during 2005 — 2015 is associated with a weakening of the AMOC directly observed from the RAPID program.

This coupling of the atmosphere with the ocean enables the model to reproduce the cooling of the ocean surface beneath the hurricane, which has an important impact on hurricane intensity.

Now, imagine an advanced monitoring system capable of analyzing these far - away storms in detail, coupled to a near - perfect model covering fully the whole life cycle of a tropical storm that will be transformed into a hurricane.

This study explores the causes of the recent decline of Atlantic major hurricane frequency over the period 2005 - 2015, using various observational datasets and modeling results from a 500 - year control simulation of a fully coupled earth system model, GFD's ESM2G.

The model simulations including this additional feedback still showed a similar percentage increase of hurricane intensity under warm climate conditions as the original model without ocean coupling.

In a follow - up study, which appeared in the Journal of Climate (2001), NOAA scientists Knutson and Tuleya teamed up with Isaac Ginis and Weixing Shen of the University of Rhode Island to explore the climate warming / hurricane intensity issue using hurricane model coupled to a full ocean model.

The coupled model was used to simulate the «cool SST wake» generated by the hurricanes as they moved over the simulated ocean (Figure 13).

A couple of commentators (Pat Michaels, Roy Spencer) recently raised an issue about the standard scenarios used to compare climate models, in this case related to a study on the potential increase in hurricane activity.