I don't normally play totals but keep an eye on the line movement and betting %'s as they could
create contrarian value on the Over.
This 12 - spot disparity indicates that bettors are likely to overvalue Arizona, which could
create contrarian value on their Week 1 opponent (UTSA +32).
Or will you go against the grain and
create a contrarian bracket?
Dayton is offering value to bettors, and could be an excellent pick for people looking to
create a contrarian bracket.
This could
create contrarian value on their opponent, so bettors should continue to monitor these lines and betting trends.
The NHL playoffs have started and we believe that a combination of several factors will
create contrarian value in the NHL playoff sports betting marketplace.
I wouldn't be surprised to see the Knicks start receiving more public support next season, which could
create contrarian value by fading New York in early season games.
Clearly home - field advantage has been vastly overvalued, which has
created contrarian value on visitors.
With the other two 4 p.m. games being Bengals - Broncos and Bills - Chargers, this tilt should attract a high number of casual bettors, potentially
creating some contrarian value.
Sharp money hasn't taken a side in this matchup, but one - sided public betting appears to have
created some contrarian value on the Boilermakers.
The majority of bettors have taken the over in 75.7 % of games in our historical database, which has
created contrarian value on the under.
The NCAA Tournament seems to be defined by the huge upsets and unlikely storylines, but has this perception
created contrarian value for bettors?
Much like our betting against the public philosophy, this often
creates contrarian value for opportunistic bettors.
Square bettors habitually gravitate towards the league's top teams, and this has
created contrarian value taking their opponents.
Not exact matches
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Contrarian Entrepreneurs
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«In order to
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creating a guns empire [NYMag] If oil refiners crash, so will the economy [WSJ] Mastercard, Visa set to reap spoils of India's war on cash [Bloomberg] How Best Buy (BBY) fought Amazon [WSJ] The evolution of media & entertainment: conversation with CEOs [YouTube] How to get comfortable with being umcomfortable [Inc] Why gut feelings may really help you make risky decisions [Washington Post] Why stoicism is one of the best mind - hacks ever devised [Aeon]
These artificially inflated lines have historically
created value for opportunistic
contrarian bettors since they're getting a better line purely based on the public perception.
We were also able to
create a very basic
contrarian betting system for Sunday Night action.
With an influx of casual bettors entering the market, public money has a more significant impact on line movement, which often
creates artificially inflates lines that can be exploited by
contrarian bettors.
This altered public perception can
create value for opportunistic
contrarian bettors.
Although many casual fans wait until tournament time before regularly watching college hoops, the long duration of the regular season plus the copious number of Division 1 programs
creates ample opportunities for
contrarian sports bettors to extract value.
Our first step in
creating a winning
contrarian system was to narrow our focus to solely road teams by selecting the «Home / Visitor» filter.
As I found while
creating one of our more lucrative NFL betting systems,
contrarian underdogs offer tremendous value in conference games.
The Broncos are getting 81 % of bets following their impressive 42 - 17 Week 2 win over Dallas,
creating some potential
contrarian value on Buffalo as home dogs.
These artificially inflated lines have historically
created value for opportunistic
contrarian bettors since they're getting a better line purely based on the opinion of recreational bettors.
After seeing that some of our traditional
contrarian strategies have had mixed results for second half bettors, we believed that we could
create an excellent halftime betting system by capitalizing on public perception.
However, it still seems like bettors are placing too much value on recent events which has
created excellent
contrarian value in Game 5.
These shaded lines
create additional value for
contrarian bettors that are willing to take the unpopular side and go against the grain.
We should also point out that this extremely one - sided public betting has historically
created excellent value for
contrarian bettors.
This often causes sportsbooks to shade their opener to account for public money, which can
create value for
contrarian bettors.
For
contrarian bettors, this
creates an excellent opportunity to buy low and take the Raptors as an artificially low price.
The Hawks may be struggling and the Raptors may be surging, but that
creates the perfect storm for
contrarian bettors.
The fact that they're only receiving 20 % of spread bets is shocking, and has
created excellent
contrarian value.
This
creates additional value for
contrarian strategies in heavily bet games with one - sided public betting.
That
creates even more
contrarian value that shrewd bettors can take advantage of.
Our goal was to combine a number of filters we knew to be historically profitable along with our
contrarian philosophy to
create a winning betting system.
In the past, we've actually found that
creating historically profitable
contrarian College Basketball betting systems can be quite difficult.
These shaded lines
create additional value for
contrarian bettors who are willing to go against the grain and take the unpopular side.
These shaded lines
create added value for
contrarian bettors who are willing to go against the grain and take the unpopular side.
The first week of NFL action is in the books and, as we explained in our most
contrarian betting article for ESPN, that has historically
created value based on overreactions from the betting public.
Knowing the ownership percentages ahead of time would
create a huge advantage in building these
contrarian lineups.»
Although we would typically recommend taking a
contrarian approach and taking the free point
created by public money, there are a few potential mitigating factors.
Assuming sharp bettors aren't heavily involved; this public money will
create artificial line value for
contrarian bettors willing to take the unpopular side of a game.
Many bettors will place a wager on any game they intend on watching, and this influx of public money
creates a unique opportunity for
contrarian bettors.
They know which teams will attract public money, and these shaded lines
create excellent value for any
contrarian bettors who are willing to take an unpopular viewpoint.
As you can see from the table below, this increased volume from square bettors has
created excellent
contrarian value.
These shaded lines
create additional value for
contrarian bettors who go against the grain and take the underdog.