«We have a colossal
credit bubble in the world.
The main idea is this: enough people benefit from
credit bubbles in the short run that it is impossible to oppose credit bubbles once they get started.
Not exact matches
The latest change
in tone may also reflect an additional concern - that low interest rates are fostering financial instability by promoting
bubbles in asset prices and stimulating excessive
credit creation.
Although there may not be a bond
bubble, with investors starved for yield, Gundlach predicts a potential
bubble could form
in credit risk as investors increase their leverage on riskier debt securities like junk bonds and emerging market debt.
The latest phase of Canada's household
credit bubble, it seems, is
in cars.
For some economists, the surge
in home ownership, house prices and
credit without strong income growth equals only one thing: a
bubble.
«
Credit card debt statistics, in particular, reflect consumer sentiment and can foretell overleveraging bubbles that may trigger constriction in credit markets,» the report
Credit card debt statistics,
in particular, reflect consumer sentiment and can foretell overleveraging
bubbles that may trigger constriction
in credit markets,» the report
credit markets,» the report says.
Former US Treasury secretary Hank Paulson said
in 2014: «When the
credit bubble burst
in 2008, the damage was devastating.
One of the arguments that I've made is that we had the mother of all housing
bubbles, we had a vast erosion of
credit standards, we had really easy money, we had the Bush tax cuts plus the Iraq war, and all that got us
in the precrisis period was adequate growth.
So this first line of explanation stresses the factors that are common to all financial
bubbles —
in particular the combination of cheap
credit and a general increase
in the appetite for risk.
«History tells us that
credit booms lead to
bubbles and eventual crisis,» Jason Daw, a strategist specialized
in Asia at Societe Generale, wrote
in a recent report.
The recent stock market and real estate
bubbles are much like pyramid schemes
in the sense that what is bidding up stock and property prices is an exponential inflow of new money from pension plans and mutual funds (for shares) and bank
credit (for real estate).
The financial sector, large and small, is doing great
in terms of profitability (and that's before all their goodies
in the tax cuts),
credit is freely flowing, and while there's always speculation afoot
in financial markets, there are no large and potentially destabilizing
credit bubbles.
I am not arguing that these alternative instruments will be successful
in countering asset price
bubbles and
credit imbalances, because I think
bubbles are a permanent feature of the landscape resulting from entrenched human behaviour.
Once again, there is minimal demand for autos and housing, and that is partly because the market is still saturated with both of these
credit - sensitive big - ticket items after an unprecedented
credit and consumer
bubble that went absolutely parabolic
in the seven years prior to the collapse
in the financial markets an asset values.
Just as real estate lending fuels land speculation, so the withdrawal of such
credit leaves property markets to decline, sometimes with a crash, as occurred
in Japan after 1990 when its financial
bubble burst.
For example, a reduction
in capital inflows can deflate asset
bubbles and so discourage consumption through wealth effects, or such a reduction can lower consumption by raising interest rates on consumer
credit, or even by encouraging stronger consumer lending standards.
Bubbles crashing + end of cheap
credit + massive
credit freeze + growing distrust
in unicorns + fear of the future + millions of people losing their homes +?
Success
in altering a growth dynamic while deflating a housing
bubble and avoiding a
credit crunch will be one of the key global economic events to watch over the next 12 to 24 months.
What is inter alia noteworthy here, is that all it took for the last two asset
bubbles to burst (pre-bitcoin era) was a slowdown
in the growth of money and
credit (the two are intertwined most of the time).
In 2007 something went wrong with the Ponzi racket certain big institutions had going, in which they enriched themselves at the expense of the public through an officially supported commercial credit bubbl
In 2007 something went wrong with the Ponzi racket certain big institutions had going,
in which they enriched themselves at the expense of the public through an officially supported commercial credit bubbl
in which they enriched themselves at the expense of the public through an officially supported commercial
credit bubble.
To explain, I point out that if the Fed had done nothing
in response to the bust of 2000 - 2002 then there would have been a severe recession, but the economy would probably have made a full recovery by 2004 and there would have been no mortgage -
credit / housing - investment
bubble and therefore no 2007 - 2008 crisis.
He lost $ 25,000 during the housing
bubble and once owed $ 10,000
in credit card debt.
Easy
credit, which enables households to buy houses with prices far beyond their financial ability, has played an integral role
in recent housing
bubbles.
Meanwhile, we look like we are blowing a fixed - income duration
bubble right across the
credit spectrum that will result
in big losses when rates come up down the road.
Understandably so: due to the close correlation between the level of forex reserves and
credit and money supply growth
in China, a rapid depletion of reserves is likely to impact the country's giant
credit bubble.
It seems that
in a command economy where non-performing loans never have to be recognised as such, it is possible for a massive
credit - fueled investment
bubble to deflate gradually.
Bolser said his hypothesis was that the Fed engineered the bursting of the
credit bubble as Greenspan and current Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke began to raise rates, starting
in June 2004 through a series of 16 rate increases, to a high of 5 percent
in May 2006.
This development is particularly troubling since the housing
bubble's height was stimulated
in large part by sub-prime lending to homeowners with marginal
credit.
Nor did he note the fact that some 80 % of the tax is
in land - price gains — gains that speculators made «
in their sleep» while Mr. Greenspan at the Federal Reserve was flooding the real estate
bubble with
credit.
In the last few years we've had a housing bubble, a credit bubble, runaway government spending, soaring gas prices, a global recession, high unemployment, the risk of a U.S. debt default, a fiscal crisis in Europe, and the threat of severe inflatio
In the last few years we've had a housing
bubble, a
credit bubble, runaway government spending, soaring gas prices, a global recession, high unemployment, the risk of a U.S. debt default, a fiscal crisis
in Europe, and the threat of severe inflatio
in Europe, and the threat of severe inflation.
As you can see
in the chart above, the VIX index moved steadily higher as the market approached the peak of the late 1990s technology
bubble, calmed down during the steady growth period of 2003 - 2007, then spiked during the 2008
credit crisis and
in the latter half of 2011.
Well, the last time Americans had a president who was psychologically «programmed» to ignore facts that didn't agree with his beliefs, the USA ended up wasting $ 1T
in an illegal war to «liberate» 100's of billions of barrels of Iraqi oil (as many as 1.2 M people died
in the process due to violence, disease & starvation resulting from the conflict), nearly $ 5T was added to the U.S. federal debt, a man with experience as the Judges and Stewards Commissioner for the International Arabian Horse Association was put
in charge of the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), the U.S. subprime
credit «
bubble» expanded hugely & then imploded, wiping out some $ 14T
in global wealth & destroying millions of jobs, etc..
The Big Short, an upcoming film about the housing and
credit bubble that led to the financial crisis of 2007 - 08, is lining up one of the better casts
in recent...
Labour did indeed create 2.5 m jobs, but it took 13 years, not 5, and were brought about at the price of a
credit bubble, a housing boom, and a rise of 0.8 m jobs
in the public sector — none of which will exist
in the next few years.
When it comes to this crop of nominees, there seems to be a movement towards bigger, stronger, more popular casting and films like Adam McKay's The Big Short and Alejandro González Iñárritu's The Revenant — the former a dramatic comedy centered around the collapse of the housing and
credit bubble of 2008, the latter a brooding take on life on the frontier
in 19th century America — epitomize star - studded casts.
The Big Short is based on a true story about four outsiders
in the finance who predicted the
credit and housing
bubble collapse of the late 2000s.
Don't get me started on all the desperate ways our wonderful government (and the banking cartel it's
in cahoots with) are trying to keep the
credit bubble we're
in from deflating further.
The number of comics shops peaked
in 1993 because of easy
credit offered by the dozen distributors at the time — and while it caused sales figures to skyrocket, it was no more indicative of health than any other
bubble market.
Lenders recognize that
credit applicants don't operate
in a
bubble, and that outside events often affect a person's ability to pay.
The
bubble was a combination of (a) teaser rates on option ARMs which were like financial time bombs, (b) liar loans
in which the rules of good mortgage underwriting (20 % down, 28/36 ratios) went out the window, (C) people at rating agencies who decided that if one pools enough junk loans into one bond, it's magically AAA, and (D)
Credit default swaps which encouraged these bad loans, and when they collapsed a number of people walked away with billions of dollars.
The first of several market
bubbles to burst
in this first decade of the 21st century, which has paved the way for subsequent housing and
credit bubbles.
FHA guidelines have always allowed lower down payments and looser
credit qualifications than conventional financing; but during the freewheeling time before the housing
bubble burst
in 2003 - 2007, conventional loans were just as easy to obtain and many had zero - down - payment options so FHA loans were less popular.
IndyMac's aggressive growth strategy, use of Alt - A and other nontraditional loan products, insufficient underwriting,
credit concentrations
in residential real estate
in the California and Florida markets — states, alongside Nevada and Arizona, where the housing
bubble was most pronounced — and heavy reliance on costly funds borrowed from a Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) and from brokered deposits, led to its demise when the mortgage market declined
in 2007.
Controlling
bubbles can be done by controlling
credit, and that is what the Fed tries to do — control
credit, which is money
in our era.
In the tech bubble, many parties extended vendor credit because there were big profits to be made in the futur
In the tech
bubble, many parties extended vendor
credit because there were big profits to be made
in the futur
in the future.
Easy
credit was one of the biggest reasons for the housing
bubble, now the pendulum has swung
in the other direction.
And, of course, the response to the
credit crunch, and further (ongoing) action
in relation to the current Eurozone crisis, are sowing the seeds for the next great
bubble and crash...
The tech
bubble crash at the turn of the century triggered an easing that directly created the housing
bubble in the middle of the last decade, which then crashed, but the subsequent easing deferred the crash of the
credit bubble until 2007/08.
We keep hearing those daunting news, the student loan
bubble is about to burst, tuition prices are higher than ever, student loan debt now surpasses
credit card debt, the U.S. currently holds over $ 1.2 TRILLION
in collective student loan debt....