With the decline of the Brent
crude oil price over the past year, one of the most common questions I have been receiving is how to play this development.
Certain pundits were unimpressed that GE was delving further into the drilling arena, given what has happened to
crude oil prices over the last few months.
Rising
crude oil prices over the last two years will further aggravate the trade deficit as the currency is also depreciating, which will add to the import bill.
Not exact matches
The
price of
oil has risen to its highest since late 2014 this month, driven by concern
over the potential for disruption to Iranian
crude flows, but analysts say the degree of uncertainty hanging
over the deal means the market is extremely sensitive to any developments.
Oil prices have risen this month to their highest since late 2014, driven by concern
over potential disruptions to Iranian
crude flows.
For one thing, the concerns
over the decline in
crude oil prices may be overdone, it said, adding that the economy is still resilient and Malaysia is likely to maintain a trade surplus as demand for imports is also softening along with exports.
With the widened spread in
oil prices between Edmonton and tidewater, however, rival customers from Washington, California and Asia are now fighting
over the cheaper Canadian
crude.
CNBC's Jackie DeAngelis reports fresh lows in
crude over the weekend as concerns resurface that oversupply will continue to pressure
oil prices.
CNBC's Jackie DeAngelis reports on the trading action in
crude, as
oil prices slide on global growth worries
over demand.
LONDON, May 3 -
Oil prices slid lower on Thursday as swelling U.S.
crude inventories and record weekly U.S. production offset concerns
over OPEC supply cuts and the potential for new U.S. sanctions against Iran.
Crude oil futures are at just
over $ 44 / barrel, after the International Energy Agency forecast
prices would stay in the doldrums through 2020.
Energy East will serve as a link between Eastern Canadian refineries and the western
crude oil market, where
crude oil had been discounted significantly since mid-2010 until these
price differentials converged rapidly
over the last couple of months.
The rollercoaster ride in
oil prices over the past three years may be old hat to investors familiar with the commodity's historical sensitivity to macro events (see chart below), but
oil price volatility is by no means endemic and several factors are now lining up to suggest a calmer period for
crude may lie ahead.
Prices of WTI
crude oil, the benchmark grade for North America, have averaged $ 97.40 a barrel
over the last year, 15 % higher than the five year average.
Over the past five years the
price of west Texas
crude, the primary American benchmark for
oil, has yo - yoed from US$ 60 a barrel to US$ 145 in 2008, all the way back down to US$ 30 during the recession, then up again to US$ 114, before settling this year around US$ 100.
ISHARES S&P / TSX CAPPED ENERG Ticker: XEG / TSX
Oil companies will likely beat expectations when they announce earnings
over the next two weeks based on the recent strength in
crude prices and refining margins.
Oil prices fell
over 5 percent in early Asian trade and were still trading around $ 41.21 a barrel for benchmark Brent
crude and $ 38.47 for U.S. WTI (West Texas Intermediate) in early European trade.
Crude oil prices fell more than 2 % on Friday after Goldman Sachs cut its crude forecasts, citing global oversupply and concerns over the Chinese economy, and after Saudi Arabia dismissed the idea of an oil producer su
Crude oil prices fell more than 2 % on Friday after Goldman Sachs cut its
crude forecasts, citing global oversupply and concerns over the Chinese economy, and after Saudi Arabia dismissed the idea of an oil producer su
crude forecasts, citing global oversupply and concerns
over the Chinese economy, and after Saudi Arabia dismissed the idea of an
oil producer summit.
Despite slumping
prices, domestic
crude oil output still increased by
over 7 %, though that increase is off the pace of previous years.
Currently, the Gulf region imports
over 5.5 million barrels per day of
crude oil and related products at world
prices.
Obviously,
over time, gasoline
prices track world
crude oil prices very closely — they just don't necessarily track local ones.
Oil prices finish higher as IMF move threatens Venezuelan output Traders also weigh jump in U.S. crude supplies, risks to Iran dealAfter trading on a mixed note for much of Wednesday's session, oil prices settled decidedly higher, as the International Monetary Fund's threat to expel Venezuela reignited market concerns over the struggling nation's crude producti
Oil prices finish higher as IMF move threatens Venezuelan output Traders also weigh jump in U.S.
crude supplies, risks to Iran dealAfter trading on a mixed note for much of Wednesday's session,
oil prices settled decidedly higher, as the International Monetary Fund's threat to expel Venezuela reignited market concerns over the struggling nation's crude producti
oil prices settled decidedly higher, as the International Monetary Fund's threat to expel Venezuela reignited market concerns
over the struggling nation's
crude production.
Conventional
crude oil prices are now below $ 50 a barrel, and last week Royal Dutch Shell cited «uncertainties»
over pipeline shipments in canceling a $ 2 billion
oil - sands project.
The West Texas Intermediate
crude oil price has tended to increase
over recent months, to be around US$ 38 per barrel, compared with around US$ 32 in late 2003 (Graph 12).
When the year began, many investors anticipated strong earnings growth mostly coming from the energy sector, and many
oil analysts had targeted
crude prices in the upper US$ 50s to low US$ 60 / barrel range
over the course of 2017.
* Market expects U.S. to re-impose sanctions against Iran * Plunging Venezuelan output further tightens markets * But soaring U.S.
crude production holds back marketBy Henning GloysteinSINGAPORE, April 26 (Reuters)-
Oil prices rose on Thursday, lifted by concerns over supply disruptions in Venezuela and theMiddle East as well as by strong demand.Brent crude oil futures were at 74.44 per barrel at0105 GMT, up 44 cents, or 0.6 percent, from their last close.U
Oil prices rose on Thursday, lifted by concerns
over supply disruptions in Venezuela and theMiddle East as well as by strong demand.Brent
crude oil futures were at 74.44 per barrel at0105 GMT, up 44 cents, or 0.6 percent, from their last close.U
oil futures were at 74.44 per barrel at0105 GMT, up 44 cents, or 0.6 percent, from their last close.U.S.
As of 2:17 pm EDT on Thursday, WTI
Crude was up 0.73 percent at US$ 49.43, while Brent
Crude was trading up 0.82 percent at US$ 52.64, after earlier in the day the
price of
oil was down as investors» enthusiasm waned
over yesterday's Energy Information Administration (EIA) draw.
Based on past relationships, and assuming
crude oil prices remain around the October average level, this increase in
crude oil prices would directly increase the CPI by a little
over 0.6 per cent.
Genscape
oil analyst Carl Evans said that, even with
crude prices below $ 50 (U.S.) a barrel
over the past two years, heavy bitumen production in Canada's
oil sands region has continued to grow.
The yield on the US 10 - year note rose six basis points to 2.30 % on the week while the
price of West Texas Intermediate
crude oil rose
over $ 3 a barrel to $ 49.65.
The Houston Chronicle's Collin Eaton, reporting from the energy hub of the world, found that
oil companies and equipment supplies cut an estimated 440,000 jobs worldwide
over the last three years as
crude oil prices dropped.
Crude oil prices edged up on Friday boosted by stronger than expected U.S. economic data though the longer - term outlook for energy markets remains weak due to a global
oil supply glut and uncertainty
over economic growth prospects in Asia.
Strong demand for
crude oil and the entire energy sector continues to push
prices higher as I still think we will trade above the $ 70 level in the weeks ahead as global supplies have dwindled
over the last year due to the fact that worldwide economies are improving which is a terrific thing to see in my opinion.
The pick - up in
oil prices has been especially noteworthy, with the
price of West Texas Intermediate
crude oil rising to a new daily record of
over US$ 57 per barrel in April, before falling back to around US$ 50 per barrel in early May (Graph 1).
The fact is they have potential but they are not light
crude they have to be pressed out of the earth through a fracturing process that up until the
price of
oil went
over 75 $ a barrel was deemed too expensive by the
oil companies to go after.
He lamented
over what he regarded as era of extinction of
crude oil in the world, saying the sharp drop in the global
prices of
crude oil was a signal to the fact that government at all levels need to shift face to agriculture.
As an example, airlines are well known to protect themselves against significant rises in
crude oil prices, by buying a futures contract today with a specified
price and delivery date in the future, on the assumption that
oil prices will be on the rise
over the period in question.
When the year began, many investors anticipated strong earnings growth mostly coming from the energy sector, and many
oil analysts had targeted
crude prices in the upper US$ 50s to low US$ 60 / barrel range
over the course of 2017.
Commodity swaps involve the exchange of a floating commodity
price, such as the Brent
Crude oil spot
price, for a set
price over an agreed - upon period.
Front - month West Texas Intermediate
crude oil futures were
priced at
over $ 100 per barrel in June 2014 and had plunged to less than $ 35 per barrel by March 2016.
Oil prices have staged a solid rally
over the past year, with WTI
crude moving from around $ 50 / barrel a year ago to close to $ 70 / barrel currently — a roughly 40 % gain.
Crude oil prices have continued to rise
over the last year due to strong demand by recovering developed economies such as the United States and China, limited spare production capacity in
oil producing countries (or unwillingness to add more), and political instability, such as what we are seeing in Libya.
Over the last few months, a consensus has gelled that lower
crude oil prices, if not these very low
prices, will persist for a longer time, and that has led to significant cuts in spending — 30 to 50 percent for independent companies, and about 10 to 15 percent for the large companies.
That's an increase of less than 0.2 percent
over current WTI
crude oil prices and 0.7 percent
over current NYMEX natural gas
prices.
In the New Policies Scenario, the average IEA
crude oil price rises from just
over $ 60 in 2009 to $ 113 per barrel (in year - 2009 dollars) in 2035.
Natural gas
prices will likely rise, making the costs of production higher and, according to the recent PWC report, shale
oil may depress world
crude prices over the years to come.
From their email: «January 2nd, 2008 - The
price of
crude oil was finally tipped
over $ 100 a barrel, due to instabilities in Africa, concerns
over supplies in the Middle East, and the falling value of the US Dollar.
During the debate
over the Keystone project, the
oil industry rolled out a series of studies claiming that pipeline construction would create 20,000 temporary jobs in the United States and that lower
oil prices (they didn't say exactly how much lower) resulting from the new
crude supplies would create as many as 250,000 more jobs across the country
over the long term.
Diesel
prices have fallen to the lowest levels since mid-May, marking the seventh consecutive week without an increase as the global
crude oil glut spills
over into refined product... Read More
«And with the steep run - up in the
price of
crude oil over the past 12 months, we've seen a pretty significant increase in the amount of Middle Eastern money coming into the states.»