Current SST in the Sargasso Sea region is about half a degree above 23 deg C line and while this was included in the original figure, it has been deleted here.
Here is
the current SST for the world's oceans.
We can check
the current SST and see that this matches what is going on currently, except for the cold region near 50N 25W, which was there not too long ago, but has recently disappeared, so we appear to be in a phase of high deep - water convection in the North Atlantic.
On
the current SST sat map there is a red (greater than 30DegC) wastewater plume emanating from FM.
Would you accept that
current SST (not current anomaly, but current local SST) is the result of a combination of cyclical variation plus GW?
So you can see what models do well or poorly at reproducing (given
current SSTs, which change slowly).
Not exact matches
Hotspots of high intensity occurred in regions of large
SST variability including the five western boundary
current extension regions (+2 — 5 °C), the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean (+1 — 4 °C) and eastern boundary
current regions (+1 — 3 °C).
Strength of the N. Atlantic's
currents index NAP (I have constructed) is on down - slope; the N. Atlantic pressure differential has parted the way around year 2000, while the
SST is still holding the line.
«Given the
current uncertainties in both the reconstruction and model sensitivity, however, this model - data discrepancy could be attributed to either the seasonal bias in the
SST reconstructions or the model bias in regional and seasonal climate sensitivity.
If the NAO were driving an ocean
current that contains higher
SST's and more saline surface water into the Arctic region, I suspect it would be a possible correlation that salinity may be playing a part in the Arctic ice loss.
It is possible the Arctic ice melt could also be related to ocean
currents carrying highly saline water caused by the recent increased
SSTs in the temperate oceans between 1985 and 2005 to the region.
Current forecasts for the Nino - 3.4
SST index (as of 5 May 2014) from the NCEP Climate Forecast System version 2 model
If there was a difference when a dominant (NAO vs PDO), with the NAO ocean
current carrying higher
SSTs and saline ocean
currents into the Arctic region had differing results in regional melt, I suspect it would be a good correlation for salinity playing a part.
UAH temps for August has tied the 1998 record and
current La Nina cooled
SSTs are rapidly approaching the 2009 El Nino fueled
SSTs, so it looks like 2010 could break the record in all the datasets.
Stepping back from
SST to
currents or clouds doesn't change anything.
...» the
current Atlantic meridional overturning circulation will weaken to its long - term mean; moreover, North Atlantic
SST and European and North American surface temperatures will cool slightly, whereas tropical Pacific
SST will remain almost unchanged.
One point I would make is that the relationship between large hurricanes and
SSTs as such will always be a little fuzzy since the presence of warm water at depth seems to pay a large role in storm intensification (as with Katrina when it crossed the Loop
Current).
Even if there is equal warming in the tropics, but the heat is not dissipated to the poles fast enough by the ocean
currents, the area of high
SSTs will increase and more heat will dissipated by other means like TC's.
But today's anomaly,
SST [2005]--
SST [1961 - 1990], depends on both the GW trend in the mean a and the oscillation, in which case the
current anomaly is influenced by GW.
Changes in
SST distribution is what one gets from starting / stopping North Atlantic
Current components in Labrador and Greenland Seas, capping with sea ice, etc. 4.
A statistical forecast for the average ice area around Svalbard (72 - 82N, 0 - 40E) based on a suite of predictors that include
SST for the West Spitsbergen
Current and the Arctic Oscillation was also provided by Gerland et al..
Ocean
currents sometimes mix and sometimes stratify the signals from different parts of the oceans, but since they, too, can change with season, with wind direction and velocity, and with changes in THC / MOC, they also create variations in
SST.
The different ice areas in and around the Arctic behave differently to oceanic
currents, local
SST, land boundaries, weather systems, and wind.
They probably reckon that the east coast
current which is holding such high
SSTs isn't going to allow much change before the end of the month but it will be interesting to see how smart they are.
Because GISTEMP, NCDC and HadCRUT3 are all using
current generation
SST datasets, and HadCRUT4 is using a next generation
SST product with additional bias corrections.
This study shows that a weaker surface ocean
current system produces colder coastal
SST's along the Atlantic coast of Florida, thereby reducing the length and the total seasonal accumulation of rainfall in the wet season of Peninsular Florida relative to the simulation in which these
currents are stronger.
Current Operational
SST Anomaly Charts — Office of Satellite and Product Operations — 2014.
http://www.climate4you.com/index.htm I think we we should be concerned about the decline in
SST of the southern ocean which carries the worlds largest
current (ACC)-RRB-.
Relatively clear skies in the central and eastern tropical Pacific [during a La Niña] allow solar radiation to enter the ocean, apparently offsetting the below normal
SSTs, but the heat is carried away by Ekman drift, ocean
currents, and adjustments through ocean Rossby and Kelvin waves, and the heat is stored in the western Pacific tropics.
We can then look at
current presentations over at Berkeley Earth to understand their mindset and decide why they chose to integrate this particular
SST record to create a land + sea dataset.
One recent study suggests that climate change favors an
SST pattern in the North Pacific that increases the incidence of the atmospheric circulation pattern responsible for the
current drought.
Figure: Monthly
SST anomalies 1920 — 2016, 12 - month smoothed, in two regions indicated in the inset: the California
Current System (CCSTA) and the tropical Pacific (NINO34, the NINO3.4 ENSO index region).
It's very clear (thanks to Steve M, Willis etc) that there are issues with both but given the
current hyped claim by the «warmers» that the past effects of man - caused global warming have largely been masked by the warming of the oceans and that unless we reduce CO2 emissions now that we won't be able to mitigate future global warming when this «stored heat» eventually comes back out of the oceans and leads to catastrophic effects, I'm very interested in getting to the punchline of this debate on
SSTs.
While there is evidence of a persistent relationship between periods of aridity during the mid-Holocene and the MCA, as both are associated with increases in radiation and cooler
SST in the eastern Pacific [64], climate simulations suggest that
current forcing by increased GHG may produce an opposite oceanic response in the future [65].
These changes in tropical Pacific Ocean
SSTs over the past millennium have often been associated with internal variability of the ocean - atmosphere system [19,27,53,54] that may not be accurately represented in
current climate models.
Our study stresses the importance of those internal connections between tropical Pacific Ocean
SSTs, the ENSO system, and the American Southwest hydroclimatic conditions and supports the contention that: (1) internal variability of the ocean - atmosphere system may not be accurately represented in
current global climate models, and (2) enhanced variability as a result of these stochastic events should be further considered.
We also generated
current and projected future temperature maps, which we compared with sea surface temperature (
SST) data from the 1980s.
Given the extreme low
current sea ice extent and the positive
SST anomalies, a stronger decline might be expected.
Also, Judith tweeted earlier today about a paper covering the biases in
SST and
current plans to improve the entire effort.
[*) Another contributing factor to a dominantly positive phase for the NAO index is
current and expected
SST anomaly, with relatively cold waters west of the Azores, favouring high pressure build - up there, and relatively warm waters off the US - Canadian east coast, favouring northerly Atlantic depression formation (especially during offshore winds).]
Why are these two bits of the same
current having completely different
SST signals, and what agent is responsible for the change???? Conclusion: GW is a chain reaction caused by the human effects upon evapotransportation from the Nile flood plains into the AEW arena............ END OFF DISCUSSION
Current global climate models suggest that the water vapor feedback to global warming due to carbon dioxide increases is weak but these models do not fully resolve the tropopause or the cold point, nor do they completely represent the QBO [Quasi Biennial Oscillation], deep convective transport and its linkages to
SSTs, or the impact of aerosol heating on water input to the stratosphere.
From the late 1970s the Leeuwin
Current has become weaker and the
SSTs in the Leeuwin
Current have risen by about 0.6 degrees C since the 1960s.
This suggests that, when the adjustments implied by historical changes in measurement techniques and data sources are properly applied, the past
SST record will end up cooler on the whole relative to
current temperatures, and will also provide an even better fit to climate models.
Since at
current atmospheric pressure the energy required to provoke evaporation at
SST (int) is always less than the energy extracted from
SST (int) by evaporation in the form of latent heat the net outcome of all the reactions in
SST (int) is always cooling.
The results shown here are based on the
current version of the UK Met Office Hadley Centre
SST data set (HadSST2; ref.
The greater the
SST difference between the east and the west Pacific, the stronger the wind and the stronger the
current; the stronger the
current, the greater the rate of upwelling / cooling.
Current CO2 levels are a response to
SST at the onset of the Medieval Warm Period.
The MWP would be a
SST event, kinda like the
current Arctic sea ice melt.
Yes, the ocean
SST is tricky because you need all the surface and deep
currents just right to get it, and I am fairly sure they are not there yet.