Also included are all other companies covered to date (with updated share prices, FX rates, etc. as of April 23rd), and all companies are ranked according to
their current Upside Potential.
Current upside potential nw too low, 2012 headwinds / uncertainty a threat, better opps available
Therefore, the real purpose of continually updating share prices with each post / file is to basically allow me to rank all shares together (pretty much apples to apples) by
current Upside Potential — this will offer an expanding real - time menu of Irish stocks to consider as we progress.
Also included are all other companies covered to date (with updated share prices, FX rates, etc. as of Sep 10th)-- and, of course, I've ranked all 75 companies according to
their current Upside Potential.
Not exact matches
Eventually, I would like to quit my
current job (which I like, but it has limited
upside income
potential) and do this full time.
These behavioral finance influences can skew a portfolio's overall allocations toward an overemphasis of potentially higher - yielding equities that in some instances may represent more downside risk than
upside potential at
current valuation levels.
At a
current price of $ 160.08 there is
upside potential of 12.44 %.
Pacific Crest's Andy Hargreaves continues to believe there is meaningful
upside potential for Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) in the long term, although the risk / reward is «more neutral» at the
current valuation levels.
Supporting the reinvigorated
upside are the
current geopolitical tensions between the United States and Russia amid a
potential military intervention in Syria.
Opening new trades at the
current levels involves taking on too much risk with minimal
upside potential (negative reward - risk ratio).
At the
current price, BEP shows a strong
upside potential along with a healthy dividend.
Pacific Crest Securities initiated coverage on Nutanix Inc (NASDAQ: NTNX) with an Outperform rating and a price target of $ 37, implying an
upside potential of more than 25 percent from the
current levels.
So we might have 28 %
upside here (based on the difference between
current price and
potential estimated intrinsic value).
On the plus side, XLE is clearly trending higher at the moment and there is still another 6.4 % and 9.4 % of
upside potential between the
current price and the resistance levels drawn in Figure 2.
At their
current market prices, the
upside potential is greatly outweighed by downside risk.
This is an incredibly difficult question to answer for a variety of reasons, most importantly because over the years our once vaunted «beautiful» style of play has become a shadow of it's former self, only to be replaced by a less than stellar «plug and play» mentality where players play out of position and adjustments / substitutions are rarely forthcoming before the 75th minute... if you look at our
current players, very few would make sense in the traditional Wengerian system... at present, we don't have the personnel to move the ball quickly from deep - lying position, efficient one touch midfielders that can make the necessary through balls or the disciplined and pacey forwards to stretch defences into wide positions, without the aid of the backs coming up into the final 3rd, so that we can attack the defensive lanes in the same clinical fashion we did years ago... on this
current squad, we have only 1 central defender on staf, Mustafi, who seems to have any prowess in the offensive zone or who can even pass two zones through so that we can advance play quickly out of our own end (I have seen some inklings that suggest Holding might have some offensive qualities but too early to tell)... unfortunately Mustafi has a tendency to get himself in trouble when he gets overly aggressive on the ball... from our backs out wide, we've seen pace from the likes of Bellerin and Gibbs and the spirited albeit offensively stunted play of Monreal, but none of these players possess the skill - set required in the offensive zone for the new Wenger scheme which requires deft touches, timely runs to the baseline and consistent crossing, especially when Giroud was playing and his ratio of scored goals per clear chances was relatively low (better last year though)... obviously I like Bellerin's future prospects, as you can't teach pace, but I do worry that he regressed last season, which was obvious to Wenger because there was no way he would have used Ox as the right side wing - back so often knowing that Barcelona could come calling in the off - season, if he thought otherwise... as for our midfielders, not a single one, minus the more confident Xhaka I watched played for the Swiss national team a couple years ago, who truly makes sense under the traditional Wenger model... Ramsey holds onto the ball too long, gives the ball away cheaply far too often and abandons his defensive responsibilities on a regular basis (doesn't score enough recently to justify): that being said, I've always thought he does possess a little something special, unfortunately he thinks so too... Xhaka is a little too slow to ever boss the midfield and he tends to telegraph his one true strength, his long ball play: although I must admit he did get a bit better during some points in the latter part of last season... it always made me wonder why whenever he played with Coq Wenger always seemed to play Francis in a more advanced role on the pitch... as for Coq, he is way too reckless at the wrong times and has exhibited little offensive prowess yet finds himself in and around the box far too often... let's face it Wenger was ready to throw him in the trash heap when injuries forced him to use Francis and then he had the nerve to act like this was all part of a bigger Wenger constructed plan... he like Ramsey, Xhaka and Elneny don't offer the skills necessary to satisfy the quick transitory nature of our old offensive scheme or the stout defensive mindset needed to protect the defensive zone so that our offensive players can remain aggressive in the final third... on the front end, we have Ozil, a player of immense skill but stunted by his physical demeanor that tends to offend, the fact that he's been played out of position far too many times since arriving and that the players in front of him, minus Sanchez, make little to no sense considering what he has to offer (especially Giroud); just think about the quick counter-attack offence in Real or the space and protection he receives in the German National team's midfield, where teams couldn't afford to focus too heavily on one individual... this player was a passing «specialist» long before he arrived in North London, so only an arrogant or ignorant individual would try to reinvent the wheel and / or not surround such a talent with the necessary components... in regards to Ox, Walcott and Welbeck, although they all possess serious talents I see them in large part as headless chickens who are on the injury table too much, lack the necessary first - touch and / or lack the finishing flair to warrant their inclusion in a regular starting eleven; I would say that, of the 3, Ox showed the most
upside once we went to a back 3, but even he became a bit too consumed by his pending contract talks before the season ended and that concerned me a bit... if I had to choose one of those 3 players to stay on it would be Ox due to his
potential as a plausible alternative to Bellerin in that wing - back position should we continue to use that formation... in Sanchez, we get one of the most committed skill players we've seen on this squad for some years but that could all change soon, if it hasn't already of course... strangely enough, even he doesn't make sense given the constructs of the original Wenger offensive model because he holds onto the ball too long and he will give the ball up a little too often in the offensive zone... a fact that is largely forgotten due to his infectious energy and the fact that the numbers he has achieved seem to justify the means... finally, and in many ways most crucially, Giroud, there is nothing about this team or the offensive system that Wenger has traditionally employed that would even suggest such a player would make sense as a starter... too slow, too inefficient and way too easily dispossessed... once again, I think he has some special skills and, at times, has showed some world - class qualities but he's lack of mobility is an albatross around the necks of our offence... so when you ask who would be our best starting 11, I don't have a clue because of the 5 or 6 players that truly deserve a place in this side, 1 just arrived, 3 aren't under contract beyond 2018 and the other was just sold to Juve... man, this is theraputic because following this team is like an addiction to heroin without the benefits
It also buys convertible bonds and preferred stocks which provide
current income plus
upside potential embedded in their convertibility.
With short - term bond fund rates between 0.5 % and 2 %, and intermediate - term bond fund rates between 1.5 % and 3.3 %, there is plenty of downside risk due to the
potential for higher future interest rates (bond prices fall when interest rates rise), and not much
upside potential due to the
current low rates.
While we have a long term time horizon, trading is done as necessary to continuously hold positions that have solid
upside potential and a high stream of
current income.
Saving more of your
current income is great — but the
upside potential of making more money is unlimited.
Investors can enjoy all the
upside in mid-sized companies with a
current income stream and
potential for above - average capital appreciation.
For out of the money (OTM) options,
upside potential is the strike price minus the
current stock price.
Faber chimes in regarding the
current bond bubble «There isn't much
upside potential in treasuries unless it is for the short term.»
Once a month, we update the
current stock price value and calculate the
potential upside (+) or downside -LRB--) and publish it on the Rock Solid Ranking.
So we might have 28 %
upside here (based on the difference between
current price and
potential estimated intrinsic value).
We focus on properties that produce
current income and have
upside potential through improved energy efficiency, management, marketing and / or repositioning.
In somewhat similar vein, you can obviously equate earnings yield to RoME, but that would perhaps miss the point — with an analysis, how you get there is often just as important as the end - result... If you re-read that section of my post, the important point is to force myself (or readers) to stop focusing on book value, or intrinsic value, or even the
potential upside — and to re-focus more specifically on what kind of return may be on offer, based on the
current market cap & ignoring any revaluation
potential.
This offers an
Upside Potential of 159 % vs.
current EUR 0.24 market price.
My
current Fair Value Price Target is virtually unchanged at GBP 8.08 p per share, offering an
Upside Potential of 138 % from the
current GBP 3.4 p share price.
And here's an updated TGISVP file, for your reference — note previous valuations are automatically updated to reflect
current FX rates (if applicable), and all stocks / valuations (both new & old) are ranked together according to their
upside potential:
Versus the
current GBP 2.375 p UNG share price, these targets offer 250 - 350 % + of
Upside Potential!
At
current levels, NG shares seem to provide a good risk / return profile with multiple
upside potential against limited downside.
So with limited
potential upside and significant downside (if the remerging of the entities can not be achieved), I will be holding my position and possibly even pruning it if Mr. Market becomes exuberant, rather than increasing my exposure, even though, at the
current share price of $ 3.07, there is a 16 %
upside to the implied liquidation value.
Its
current property valuation & yield, occupancy rate, colossal 66 % discount to NAV, plus the presence of multiple activist investors on its board / register, all offer significant operational & share price
upside potential.
Couple this with the underlying investment exposure, and I'm happy to peg Fair Value at a 1.0 Price / Book ultimately, which offers a 159 %
Upside Potential vs. the
current market price.
For each stock, that's an exercise in assessing
upside potential (i.e.
current share price vs. your latest estimate of intrinsic value), and then weighing that reward against the level & range of risk (s) involved.
(GBP 25.30 p P / E Val + GBP 22.25 p P / S Val + GBP 30.10 p Asset Val) / 3 = GBP 25.9 p Fair Value per share, for an
Upside Potential of 130 % (from
current GBP 11.25 p market price)
Traders are trying to protect profits at the end of the year as chart patterns suggest there is more downside than
upside potential at
current levels.
Combining the two expected values of a post spin - off Exelis and Vectrus gives us an estimated
current value of $ 20 per share for Exelis, providing 17 %
upside potential from the
current price.
This offers a revised 164 %
Upside Potential vs. the
current GBP 2.25 p UNG share price.
Frankly, choosing brand - new stocks is often a real challenge — I usually have strong conviction, a medium - long term holding period, and see significant
upside potential in my
current holdings, so adding to them often makes just as much / more sense.
Total Produce (TOT: ID / LN)-- my
current fair value estimate has actually increased to EUR 0.991, which offers another 48 %
Upside Potential
Even with adjustments, PTR still has large
upside potential (in terms of asset values), but it continues to suffer from the same old problems (which oil's
current pricing & market sentiment just exacerbates).
This presents us with a 38 %
Upside Potential vs. the
current Mkt Price of $ 9.57.
Overall, this leaves TOT on a P / E of only 6.2, and implies very v minor amendments to my Fair Value Price Target, which now stands at EUR 0.912 per share, for an
Upside Potential of 103 % vs. the
current EUR 0.45 share price.
This offers 147 %
Upside Potential vs. the
current EUR 0.38 share price.
If we i) presume a more conservative 15 % RoE compounding, and ii) assume FBD ends up on a 2.0 P / B rating (based on reversion towards their
current RoE target of 18 %), we could see the shares (ignoring dividends) easily reach EUR 28.96 in 5 yrs time — a secondary
Upside Potential of 181 %.
[I include
current share prices, so I usually rank by
upside potential].
Despite that rally, it still offers far greater relative
upside than CLNY, with my last $ 7.80 Fair Value per FIG share (more recent news - flow suggests that should be raised) pointing to a current 89 % Upside Pote
upside than CLNY, with my last $ 7.80 Fair Value per FIG share (more recent news - flow suggests that should be raised) pointing to a
current 89 %
Upside Pote
Upside Potential.
This puts KWG on a
current 0.64 P / B, and resets my Fair Value at EUR 10.02 per share, for an
Upside Potential of 59 %.