Not exact matches
WeatherBase: Travel
weather, climate
averages, forecasts,
current conditions, and normals for 41,997 cities worldwide.
However, the temperature as an added signal which is either a cooling or warming one based on
current «
weather» influenced by ENSO inter alia and this additional «
weather» signal in the temperature record is only
averaged in the models if included at all.
The behaviour and influence of
weather as part of the global heat energy redistribution system is ignored or reduced to meaningless
averages because we have so little numerical information about it and I believe that is where our
current theories and projections fail.
But the
current rise in Arctic temperature is due not to changes in global
average temperature but to changes in regional
weather patterns.
And their perception of the
current weather colored their perception of everything: those who believed it was an unusually warm day outside also believed that a greater percentage of days over the previous year had been hotter than
average, as well.
The
current methodology of climate data recording; well I suppose it is really
weather data; doesn't even comply with the Nyquist Criterion for even the daily
average Temperature calculation at a single station.
Current GCM models may have realistic - seeming
weather patterns, but are totally incapable of producing phenomena that look like the Holocene (Little Ice Age, Medieval Warm Period, Roman Warm Period, Holocene Optimum, the steady decline of temperature on
average over the last 3,000 years, etc.) The Climate Science community has, instead, taken the path of trying to claim that these swings didn't occur (Michael Mann's «Hockey Stick», etc.) This does not give me a lot of confidence in the rest of their «science».
Canada's Climate February 20, Often defined as
average weather, when
weather means the
current state of the atmosphere Because of Canada's size,
You wrote, «By comparing the
average temperature from these simulations to
current observation, the author is confusing climate with
weather.»
You make a very clear well reasoned case for the irrationality of using
current numerical climate models fitted to past
average temperature data to predict or project future
average temperatures let alone temperature distributions or extreme
weather events.