Not exact matches
«It will help us to find clearer answers as to whether the Arctic
sea ice melts primarily due to higher temperatures or whether the
sea ice is shrinking due to
changes in wind and ocean
currents.»
But
changes in sea level and ocean
currents in the
ice - covered regions of the Arctic and Antarctic
in particular are very difficult to detect.
Current estimates of
sea - level rise by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change consider only the effect of melting
ice sheets, thermal expansion and anthropogenic intervention
in water storage on land.
It could be a
change in algae or other food for them, or it could be that
sea ice provides shelter from predators, or affects the
currents in some way.
That is a major
change in sea currents, warming, wildlife, coastal erosion, and much less solar energy being bounced back into space by
ice that
in not there.
Current changes in the ocean around Antarctica are disturbingly close to conditions 14,000 years ago that new research shows may have led to the rapid melting of Antarctic
ice and an abrupt 3 - 4 metre rise
in global
sea level.
This could be do to
changes in ocean circulation, and warming waters reaching the grounding lines for
ice shelves
in Arctic and Antarctica, leading to non-linear increase
in melting and
sea level rise, impossible to avoid on our
current path.
[44] Factors limiting or threatening
current population levels include ship strikes, entanglement
in fishing gear, and
changes in sea -
ice coverage associated with climate
change.
Other factors would include: — albedo shifts (both from
ice > water, and from increased biological activity, and from edge melt revealing more land, and from more old dust coming to the surface...); — direct effect of CO2 on
ice (the former weakens the latter); — increasing, and increasingly warm, rain fall on
ice; — «stuck» weather systems bringing more and more warm tropical air ever further toward the poles; — melting of
sea ice shelf increasing mobility of glaciers; —
sea water getting under parts of the
ice sheets where the base is below
sea level; — melt water lubricating the
ice sheet base; —
changes in ocean
currents -LRB-?)
More ground turns from white reflective snow to black, heat absorbant dirt.The same effect occurs as
sea ice is lost.The corals blanch, and, as I stated last year on this site, the shutdown of the north Atlantic
current will occur, since the salinity level studies I spoke of last year, off Greenland, continue to show that the upwelling mechanisms driving the North Atlanic
current are
in severe jeapordy, because the
change in salinity levels effects the driver of the
current, the upwelling and downwelling of different salinity levels off Greenland.
If our
ice sheets are going to
change our
sea level that much, from its
current rate of melt, the melt rate would have to increase exponentially
in the future.
So how much do
changes in the Arctic atmosphere play a role
in the loss of
sea -
ice volume and the apparent failure of the GCMs to reflect the
current volume loss?
How would this
change in currents affect the amount of heat
in the surface layer that is transported into the Arctic and contributes to melting the Arctic
Sea Ice?
your evidence for Arctic
ice concentration similar
in extent or lower than
current is 1) your personal experience 2) a 1952 ecyclopedia entry describing
changing sea ice cover for one region of the Arctic.
Changes in SST distribution is what one gets from starting / stopping North Atlantic
Current components
in Labrador and Greenland
Seas, capping with
sea ice, etc. 4.
Research indicates that the Arctic had substantially less
sea ice during this period compared to present
Current desert regions of Central Asia were extensively forested due to higher rainfall, and the warm temperate forest belts
in China and Japan were extended northwards West African sediments additionally record the «African Humid Period», an interval between 16,000 and 6,000 years ago when Africa was much wetter due to a strengthening of the African monsoon While there do not appear to have been significant temperature
changes at most low latitude sites, other climate
changes have been reported.
It appears that Antarctic
sea ice changes in steps and that the
current period is one of relative stability.
Shifting
currents, increased freshwater input from melting
sea ice and glaciers, and
changes in upper and lower
sea - level circulation patterns are already occurring, and they'll progress rapidly if anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission continues under a business - as - usual scenario.
It could take decades or centuries, but
change will be locked
in by a 3C temperature rise, which would extensively melt
ice caps, shrink glaciers and thermally expand the oceans so many
current coastlines and low - lying plains would be under
sea level.
Polyak et al. (2010) looked at Arctic
sea ice changes throughout geologic history and noted that the
current rate of loss appears to be more rapid than natural variability can account for
in the historical record.
They explain how, overall, Antarctic
sea ice cover (frozen
sea surface), for separate reasons involving wind
changing in relation to the location of certain warming
sea water
currents, shows a slight upward trend, though it also shows significant melting
in some areas.
Now for
sea ice, this type of
ice is influenced by year - to - year
changes in wind directions and
changes in ocean
currents.
Session speakers guided audience members through
current research efforts to understand the Arctic's role
in the global weather system, to predict
changing sea ice patterns, and to perceive both the global and local implications of thawing permafrost and shifting hydrology patterns
in the Arctic's terrestrial cryosphere.
The group found that the icy winds blowing off Antarctica, as well as a powerful ocean
current that circles the frozen continent, are much larger factors
in the formation and persistence of Antarctic
sea ice than
changes in temperature.
We believe a much simpler explanation is that the
changes in the Arctic
sea ice are not due to the «man - made global warming» assumed by
current climate models.
The geochemist Wallace Broecker, to whom we owe a number of the important ideas about abrupt climate
change, speculates that there is a chain of causation starting with more far - northern winter
sea ice and (because of the
ice preventing the winds from stirring up waves and evaporation and salt excess) thereby fewer sinks for the Gulf Stream, which
in turn diminishes the big conveyor loop of
currents linking the North Atlantic to the Pacific.
This Section places particular emphasis on
current knowledge of past
changes in key climate variables: temperature, precipitation and atmospheric moisture, snow cover, extent of land and
sea ice,
sea level, patterns
in atmospheric and oceanic circulation, extreme weather and climate events, and overall features of the climate variability.
Over the past fifty million years, earth cooled because land moved, ocean
currents changed, more and more warm water was circulated
in higher Latitudes and Polar Oceans to melt more and more
sea ice to support more and more snowfall to promote more and more
ice on land.
This report discusses our
current understanding of the mechanisms that link declines
in Arctic
sea ice cover, loss of high - latitude snow cover,
changes in Arctic - region energy fluxes, atmospheric circulation patterns, and the occurrence of extreme weather events; possible implications of more severe loss of summer Arctic
sea ice upon weather patterns at lower latitudes; major gaps
in our understanding, and observational and / or modeling efforts that are needed to fill those gaps; and
current opportunities and limitations for using Arctic
sea ice predictions to assess the risk of temperature / precipitation anomalies and extreme weather events over northern continents.
With these trends
in ice cover and
sea level only expected to continue and likely worsen if atmospheric carbon dioxide levels continue to rise, they could alter the stresses and forces fighting for balance
in the ground under our feet —
changes that are well - documented
in studies of past climate
change, but which are just beginning to be studied as possible consequences of the
current state of global warming.
Thirteen years of GRACE data provide an excellent picture of the
current mass
changes of Greenland and Antarctica, with mass loss
in the GRACE period 2002 - 15 amounting to 265 ± 25 GT / yr for Greenland (including peripheral
ice caps), and 95 ± 50 GT / year for Antarctica, corresponding to 0.72 mm / year and 0.26 mm / year average global
sea level
change.
Just for one example, if it turns out that, between melt of
sea ice and Greenland
ice, the North Atlantic
Current slows or stops, we would expect to see fairly dramatically colder weather
in Europe for a while, even thought this condition could be directly linked to results produced by GW (though
in the long term, the warming would, presumably eventually overtake the cooling from
change in ocean
currents).
Seems to me David's mistake is not noticing that the rapid events are internal to the climate system, not external; they may cause fast
changes in albedo for example for a while; and they are modeled, see Dr. Bitz's work on Arctic
sea ice, or any model including volcanos or Atlantic deep water
currents etc..
Arctic
Currents Weaken or Stop With Double CO2 Levels What they found was that under a business as usual scenario, with CO2 levels doubling by 2070, the Transpolar Drift stops and other Arctic currents weaken due to, among other factors, melting of sea ice and changed wind patterns in a warme
Currents Weaken or Stop With Double CO2 Levels What they found was that under a business as usual scenario, with CO2 levels doubling by 2070, the Transpolar Drift stops and other Arctic
currents weaken due to, among other factors, melting of sea ice and changed wind patterns in a warme
currents weaken due to, among other factors, melting of
sea ice and
changed wind patterns
in a warmer world.
Uncertainties should decrease closer to near -
current dates (e.g. from denser and more accurate sampling)-- but note that these products also employ different QC and analysis methods, rely to varying degrees on satellite data, on
sea -
ice data to constrain polar SST, and on bias adjustments for historical
changes in measurement methods.