Sentences with phrase «current climate change models»

From the SOCIETY FOR GENERAL MICROBIOLOGY and the «department of robusted models» comes this Today, at the Microbiology Society's Annual Conference in Liverpool, scientists will reveal how Arctic microbes are increasing the rate at which glaciers melt, in a process not accounted for in current climate change models.
Current climate change models can not reliably predict how seasonal thunderstorm activity will change in the future.
A group of scientists argues our current climate change models get it wrong.
«Current climate change models greatly underestimate the amount of methane being released by thawing permafrost in the Canadian Arctic, according to Canada's National Institute of Scientific Research (INRS).
The latter is something that current climate change models can not capture because they do not focus on the community as a whole.
Current climate change models indicate temperatures will increase as long as humans continue to emit greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, but the projections of future precipitation are far less certain.

Not exact matches

«Using a numerical climate model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could explain a significant fraction of the amplified warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes in long - range transport, atmospheric winds and ocean currents.
The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted by current models of global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in temperatures, combined with acidification of the oceans.
Climate model projections neglecting these changes would continue to overestimate the radiative forcing and global warming in coming decades if these aerosols remain present at current values or increase.
Most current models of forests under climate change can not predict when or where forests might die from temperature and drought stress.
«Our model assumes «business as usual» in the province, with high carbon emissions and climate change continuing at the current rate.
This new information can be incorporated into current climate models to predict future changes in the magnitude and pattern of the Walker Circulation due to increased greenhouse gas emissions.
Climate models do not predict an even warming of the whole planet: changes in wind patterns and ocean currents can change the way heat is distributed, leading to some parts warming much faster than average, while a few may cool, at least at first.
For the study, Gentine and Lemordant took Earth system models with decoupled surface (vegetation physiology) and atmospheric (radiative) CO2 responses and used a multi-model statistical analysis from CMIP5, the most current set of coordinated climate model experiments set up as an international cooperation project for the International Panel on Climate climate model experiments set up as an international cooperation project for the International Panel on Climate Climate Change.
The analysis uses methods that have already been peer - reviewed, including examining the change in occurrence of such extreme rains in the historical record and in climate models, as well as using finer - scale regional climate models to compare the current climate to one without warming.
Although these clouds play an important role in Arctic climate change and the energy balance, they have not been understood well and are not well represented in current climate models.
If you will pardon a pun, I don't think the current model for abrupt climate change holds water!
However, it is unclear whether current - generation climate models respond too weakly to sea - ice change.
To identify the present and future state of deep - sea ecosystems, we used a combination of expert opinion, current literature, and the output of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) models.
January 2004: «Directions for Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.»
Global climate modeling: While global climate models generally agree on historic emissions, current results vary widely under future climate change conditions.
Though irrigation is one of the major human practices that alters the Earth, it is not often accounted for in current climate models or climate change projections.
Why it matters: Current global climate models used to predict climate change account for large - scale climate processes, typically at scales greater than 100 kilometers, or about 62 miles.
Mission The mission of PNNL's Aerosol Climate Initiative is to advance the current scientific understanding and parameterization of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of aeClimate Initiative is to advance the current scientific understanding and parameterization of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of aeclimate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of aeclimate change and the environmental impacts of aerosols.
The researchers use computer models to forecast future ocean conditions such as surface temperatures, salinity, and currents, and project how the distribution of different fish species could respond to climate change.
As we demonstrate here, climate models provide new insights into the historical, current, and future populations of marine turtles and provide a mechanistic modeling framework for considering anthropogenic climate change.
So in current climate models, natural causes alone are extremely unlikely to explain the observed changes in the thermal structure of the atmosphere.
The analysis of processes contributing to climate feedbacks in models and recent studies based on large ensembles of models suggest that in the future it may be possible to use observations to narrow the current spread in model projections of climate change.
If we can get climate models to more credibly simulate current cloud patterns and observed cloud changes, this might reduce the uncertainty in future projections
Finally, their predicted future decline due to climate change means that accurate current population assessments are needed to model their population dynamics.
Their model also might help scientists understand other, more current issues — such as climate change.
Other changes include an 8 GB hard drive built into the iDrive system so that music can be stored in the car, four - zone climate control as standard and, thankfully, a slight styling overhaul on the bland - ish current model.
Specification: We Are Delighted To Announce For Arrival Of This Highly Rare Aston Martin Vanquish SDP Model Onto Our Current Vehicle Inventory, With The Aston Martin Build Specification To Include Dual Zone Climate Control, Variable Heated Front Seating, The Three Spoke Leather Bound Steering Wheel With Paddle Shift, Aston Martin Embossed Grey Brake Calipers, Heated Front Screen, Rear Park Distance Control, The Aston Martin Digital DVD Based Route Guidance Satellite Navigation System, Unmarked Lightweight 19» SDP Nine Spoke Alloy Wheels, Twinned Chromed Exhaust Tips, The Bright Silver Front Grille, The Blackened Mesh Bonnet Vents, Remote Central Locking With Alarm, The Crystal Push Button Start, Aston Martin Steel Pedal Set, Embossed Internal Sill Kick Plates, The Aston Martin Linn Sound System With The Multi Change CD System Housed In The Boot, An Indoor Car Cover, Aston Martin Sports Mode, The Aston Martin Motorola Phone System, Xenon Headlights, Electric Front Seating And So Much More.
[Response: First off, he is confusing models that include the carbon cycle with those that have been used in hindcasts of the 20th Century and are the basis of the detection and attribution of current climate change.
If you will pardon a pun, I don't think the current model for abrupt climate change holds water!
Well, because soon (as soon as December 2005) the leading authors of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (aka IPCC) Assessment Report # 4 (AR4) will have to decide what the current knowledge in climate state, modeling and climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next Climate Change (aka IPCC) Assessment Report # 4 (AR4) will have to decide what the current knowledge in climate state, modeling and climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next climate state, modeling and climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next climate projection estimates is, so as to include it in the next report.
Reason being: those companies use climate models to identify the likely current locations where ancient sedimentary basins originally formed that collected the organic material that eventually, with time, climate change, sediment accumulation and continental drift, became petroleum reservoirs.
Or it may be caused by any other mechanism (like the influence of solar changes on the jet stream position) which enhance the simple direct insolation change which is incorporated in several current climate models...
Many different models have now demonstrated that our understanding of current forcings, long - term observations of the land surface and ocean temperature changes and the canonical estimates of climate forcing are all consistent within the uncertainties.
Using a recently developed hurricane synthesizer driven by large - scale meteorological variables derived from global climate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models, 1000 artificial 100 - yr time series of Atlantic hurricanes that make landfall along the U.S. Gulf and East Coasts are generated for four climate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate models and for current climate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate conditions as well as for the warmer climate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarclimate of 100 yr hence under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) emissions scenarClimate Change (IPCC) emissions scenario A1b.
For example, current models are highly inconsistent in the way they treat the response of Net Primary Production (NPP) to climate variability and climate change even though this response is fundamental to predictions of the total terrestrial carbon balance in a changing climate.
Kevin Hamilton, who co-authored the report, warns: «If our model results prove to be representative of the real global climate, then climate is actually more sensitive to perturbations by greenhouse gases than current global models predict, and even the highest warming predictions would underestimate the real change we could see.»
Current state - of - the - art general circulation models have difficulty simulating the regional distribution of monsoon rainfall, the 24 June review in Nature Climate Change says.
Very simply, there are other dynamics that drive climate change, and current models driven by CO2 have failed to incorporate additional and alternative explanations.
... current climate modeling is essentially to answer one question: how will increased atmospheric concentrations of CO2 (generated from human activity) change earth's temperature and other climatological statistics?
This result suggests that current projections of regional climate change may be questionable.This finding is also highly relevant to regional climate modelling studies where lower resolution global atmospheric models are often used as the driving model for high resolution regional models.
«Willis builds a strawman Willis makes a logical fallacy known as the strawman fallacy here, when he says: The current climate paradigm says that the surface air temperature is a linear function of the «forcing»... Change in Temperature (∆ T) = Change in Forcing (∆ F) times Climate Sensitivity What he seems to have done is taking an equation relating to a simple energy balance model (probably from this Wikipedia entry) and applied it to the much more complex climate climate paradigm says that the surface air temperature is a linear function of the «forcing»... Change in Temperature (∆ T) = Change in Forcing (∆ F) times Climate Sensitivity What he seems to have done is taking an equation relating to a simple energy balance model (probably from this Wikipedia entry) and applied it to the much more complex climate Climate Sensitivity What he seems to have done is taking an equation relating to a simple energy balance model (probably from this Wikipedia entry) and applied it to the much more complex climate climate system.
A survey of current approaches to modelling of hydrological time - series with respect to climate variability and change by George S. Cavadias; prepared for the World Climate Program - Water, Projclimate variability and change by George S. Cavadias; prepared for the World Climate Program - Water, ProjClimate Program - Water, Project A2.
Current research combines the climate and chemistry changes in the GISS model to predict future stratospheric ozone amounts both over the polar regions and at lower latitudes.
We then projected the current model into the future climate change scenarios and identified winter temperature as the most crucial factor in the model.
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