Sentences with phrase «current emissions trajectory»

Given the current emissions trajectory, eliminating emissions over 50 years would require 19 wedges: 9 to stabilize emissions and an additional 10 to completely phase - out emissions.
Georgetown University's Joanna Lewis, an IPCC author and China expert, described the paper's assessment of renewable potential as «optimistic», but said it offered «realistic options» should the government decide to change China's current emissions trajectory.
The best estimates indicate that our current emissions trajectory poses a significant risk of eliminating many unique ecosystems including coral reefs, large swaths of forests, small island communities, and arctic habitat.
Much more frightening than any of this is the fact that plenty of mainstream analysts think that on our current emissions trajectory, we are headed for even more than 4 degrees of warming.
They find that all existing coral reefs will be engulfed in inhospitable ocean chemistry conditions by the end of the century if civilization continues along its current emissions trajectory.
Our current emissions trajectory is close to the worst - case scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
Our current emissions trajectory locks Earth into a carbon dioxide level of at least 450 ppm, Ralph Keeling says.
That threshold is estimated as a temperature rise of 2C above pre-industrial levels, and on current emissions trajectories we are heading for a rise of about 5C.
The statement emphasizes that ocean acidification is irreversible and, on current emission trajectories, suggests that all coral reefs and polar ecosystems will be severely affected by 2050 or even earlier.
Current emission trajectories put the world on track towards a staggering 4 degrees of warming before the end of the century, an amount almost certainly beyond civilization's coping capacity.
Given current emissions trajectories, there is a chance that the temperature increase by 2100 could be near 6oC.21 The last time Earth exhibited a global mean temperature that high, what are now sagebrush grasslands in the southwestern Wyoming and Utah were covered by subtropical, closed canopy forests interspersed with open woodlands (Townsend et al., 2010), reminiscent of subtropical areas in Central America today.

Not exact matches

If carbon emissions continue on their current trajectory, with global temperatures rising by 2.6 C to 4.8 °C by 2100, applications could increase by 188 percent, leading to an extra 660,000 applications filed each year.
On the current trajectory, greenhouse gas emissions from cars, trains, ships and airplanes may become one of the greatest drivers of human - induced climate change, according to a draft of the forthcoming U.N. fifth assessment report on mitigation of climate change.
If global emissions continue at the current trajectory, Australia is expected to warm more than 9 F by 2090.
If carbon dioxide emissions continue on the current trajectory, coral reef erosion is likely to outpace reef building some time this century.
One outcome emphasised by experts is that if society continues on the current high emissions trajectory, cold water coral reefs, located in the deep sea, may be unsustainable and tropical coral reef erosion is likely to outpace reef building this century.
«Lower emissions» are in line with Paris agreement targets; «higher emissions» represent current, business - as - usual trajectories.
As a self - proclaimed «climate leader» the UK government has a critical role to play in closing the «emissions gap» — the gap between the current global trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions and the actions necessary to limit warming to 1.5 ˚C and «well below» 2 ˚C (and hence reduce the risks of disaster), they write.
As a self - proclaimed «climate leader» the UK government has a critical role to play in closing the»em issions gap» — the gap between the current global trajectory of greenhouse gas emissions and the actions necessary to limit warming to 1.5?
In committing to that, are you saying, essentially, that the current trajectory of emissions is dangerous, or unacceptable?
Our new paper shows that «on the ground» management can help polar bears into a better future IF we also strongly mitigate temperature rise by lowering future emissions from their current trajectory.
But I do agree with the Breakthrough point that an overemphasis on current events as the reason to pursue the decades - long task of shifting global greenhouse emissions trajectories can backfire, and in more ways than they describe.
However, if greenhouse gas emissions continue to increase along current trajectories throughout the 21st century, there is an 80 percent likelihood of a decades - long megadrought in the Southwest and Central Plains between the years 2050 and 2099.
Amongst climate scientists and advocates of climate policy, a growing recognition is taking hold that the current trajectory of global emissions will almost certainly lead us to a world of dangerous climate change impacts.
The authors» main figures are based on the premise that carbon dioxide emissions will continue to rise at the current trajectory.
Collectively, the studies make it clear that the INDCs make a substantial contribution to bending the global emissions trajectory below our current path.
The main purpose of the first phase (development of the RCPs) is to provide information on possible development trajectories for the main forcing agents of climate change, consistent with current scenario literature allowing subsequent analysis by both Climate models (CMs) and Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs).1 Climate modelers will use the time series of future concentrations and emissions of greenhouse gases and air pollutants and land - use change from the four RCPs in order to conduct new climate model experiments and produce new climate scenarios as part of the parallel phase.
Indeed, we estimate that the extra tightening of the EU - ETS cap required to align with a Paris - compliant EU - wide trajectory for 2030 and beyond would require incremental emissions reductions of 1.6 Gt over 2021 - 30 versus our base - case scenario under the current cap.
If we continue on our current high emissions trajectory the world will have no chance of staying under the 2C threshold that the federal government has committed to.
Collectively, the studies make it clear that the INDCs will substantially bend the global emissions trajectory below our current path, but still don't go far enough to limit warming to below 2 °C and avoid some of the worst climate impacts.
These projections assume that greenhouse gas emissions continue on current trajectories and local threats are not addressed.
Restrictions on CO2 emissions large enough to bend downward the temperature curve from its current trajectory to a maximum of 2 or 3 degrees Centigrade would have large economic effects on many businesses.
We conclude that greenhouse gas emission trajectories on the low end of the current forecast range are the most likely to be observed over the next 50 years.»
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