Sentences with phrase «current extreme events»

Trenberth is well known for his method of using current extreme events as teaching moments for things that might be more common in the future due to AGW, which is effective, but they do not apply to decadal trends.

The news this summer has featured several new climate change science reports, and drawn the link between current extreme events and global warming.

Not exact matches

Market outlook shouldn't be so extreme or depend on current events.»

«Current long term predictions indicate that these extreme weather variations will continue and situations such as the current flood events, and disruption caused, underline how adequate maintenance and funding of the network must be a fundamental part of UK transport Current long term predictions indicate that these extreme weather variations will continue and situations such as the current flood events, and disruption caused, underline how adequate maintenance and funding of the network must be a fundamental part of UK transport current flood events, and disruption caused, underline how adequate maintenance and funding of the network must be a fundamental part of UK transport policy.

«In order to understand coastal impacts under current and future climate and socio - economic conditions, we do not only need robust projections of mean sea level rise but also a profound knowledge of present - day and future extreme sea levels, because these events drive the impacts,» Wahl said.

He looked at both average seasonal snowfall and extreme snowfall events under current climate conditions, and also following projected future warming.

Expected increases in extreme heat and drought events will bring changes in precipitation, air and water temperatures, air density and humidity, write Matthew Bartos and Mikhail Chester in the current issue of the research journal Nature Climate Change.

Even if you ignore all the temperature meauserments which you seem to vehimently deny there is still many other sources of evidence associated with this increase such as — ice melt / extreme weather events / sea current changes / habitat changes / CO2 / ice cores / sediment cores.

In other words, if greenhouse gas emissions continue at current rates, the world would see an extreme La Niña event every 13 years, rather than every 23 years.

The pilot of Raising Risk Awareness project will run until March 2017 and will generate a suite of tools and knowledge products, and run a series of national and regional events to help civil society, communities, practitioners, media and decision - makers better understand and prepare for the current and future risks from extreme weather events.

«Summary of ocean current slowdowns, rapid sea level rise of east coast of North America, wavy jet streams and extreme weather events, Arctic and Antarctica connections and declining carbon sink in Amazon rainforests.

The first is understanding extreme events and the risks associated with extreme weather and climate events — in the current climate, but also in a future climate.

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Thanks to the current British Standard Code of practice for slating and tiling, BS 5534, which revised / republished in 2014, new and refurbished roofs have to be more secure in the face of increasingly extreme weather events.

The frequency and magnitude of extreme events, relative to current levels, follows a sharply escalating pattern as the magnitude of future sea level rise increases.

Then one could conclude that the current statistics of extreme events can only be explained by human influence.

But soil with 15 % carbon holds a huge amount of water compared to the current levels of closer to an average of 1 or 2 %, thus mitigating most extreme events.

And I've shown you evidence repeatedly, evidence indicating that there has been no long - term warming trend, evidence that the current spate of extreme weather events is nothing new.

So, the honest answer in statements to the press regarding extreme weather events is this: «climate change is happening and is possibly a factor in this weather (or hurricane) event but our current understanding shows no significant (or some) correlation.

Considering extreme events over the current millennium so far — including several mentioned above — I arrive at the unscientific but not unreasonable rough estimate that climate change so far has cost on the order of 100,000 premature deaths and in excess of $ 100 billion US.

For Tacoli (2009) the current alarmist predictions of massive flows of so - called «environmental refugees» or «environmental migrants», are not supported by past experiences of responses to droughts and extreme weather events and predictions for future migration flows are tentative at best.

«The topic is extremely timely as current and future climate change would mean more changes in extreme events such as droughts and floods,» Yang said.

Because most AOGCMs have coarse resolution and large - scale systematic errors, and extreme events tend to be short lived and have smaller spatial scales, it is somewhat surprising how well the models simulate the statistics of extreme events in the current climate, including the trends during the 20th century (see Chapter 9 for more detail).

This analytical report looks at how the key causes of the current food crisis are the combined effects of speculation in food stocks, extreme weather events, low cereal stocks, growth in biofuels competing for cropland and high oil prices.

Given projected increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events in the Midwest (Chapter 2: Our Changing Climate, Key Message 6), 57 it appears that sewer overflow will continue to constitute a significant current health threat and a critical source of climate change vulnerability for major urban areas within the Midwest.

Older people are at much higher risk of dying during extreme heat events.136, 50,241,233 Pre-existing health conditions also make older adults susceptible to cardiac and respiratory impacts of air pollution25 and to more severe consequences from infectious diseases; 257 limited mobility among older adults can also increase flood - related health risks.258 Limited resources and an already high burden of chronic health conditions, including heart disease, obesity, and diabetes, will place the poor at higher risk of health impacts from climate change than higher income groups.25, 50 Potential increases in food cost and limited availability of some foods will exacerbate current dietary inequalities and have significant health ramifications for the poorer segments of our population (Ch.

For the majority of these metrics and during the current decade, the combined effect of anthropogenic and natural forcing is estimated to have made extreme fire risk events in the region 1.5 to 6 times as likely compared to a climate that would have been with natural forcings alone.

An event attribution framework is used to quantify the influence of anthropogenic forcings on extreme fire risk in the current climate of a western Canada region.

Global warming alarmists and hysterical pundits / reporters are now apparently turning every nasty weather event into «proof» that current global warming is causing extreme climate change.

To paraphrase an old saying, «those who forget extreme weather events of the past are doomed to state that current weather extremes are unprecedented».

the current event is the most severe drought in the last 1200 years, with single year (2014) and accumulated moisture deficits worse than any previous continuous span of dry years... In terms of cumulative severity, it is the worst drought on record -LRB--14.55 cumulative PDSI), more extreme than longer (4 - to 9 - year) droughts.

Developing countries Developing countries are some of the most vulnerable to extreme weather events, but lack timely and robust evidence to understand current and future threats from such hazards and thus to prepare for and respond to their impacts.

A CURRENT EXAMPLE OF EXTREME SEA SURFACE TEMPS AFFECTING THE EXTREME PRECIPITATION EVENT THAT HIT THE U.S. WEST

This Section places particular emphasis on current knowledge of past changes in key climate variables: temperature, precipitation and atmospheric moisture, snow cover, extent of land and sea ice, sea level, patterns in atmospheric and oceanic circulation, extreme weather and climate events, and overall features of the climate variability.

Her current research includes understanding large - scale temperature extreme events in Alaska and Canada, relating ice core data at the McCall Glacier in Alaska to the large - scale synoptic climatology, and understanding linkages between observed changes in the Arctic and weather in the mid-latitudes.

Regional climate models (RCMs) are the primary source of high - resolution climate projections, and it is of crucial importance to evaluate their ability to simulate extreme events under current climate conditions.

Given the current socio - economic, political and environmental context, the countries with more risks of losses and damages due to extreme weather events and slow onset events are developing countries, those which have contributed the least to climate change and those less capable of adapting to its impacts.

According to John Holdren, director of the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, Obama will emphasize the current scientific understanding of how, while no single weather event can be attributed to climate change, a warming climate can make things like drought more extreme:

The risk assessment framework comprises hydrological modelling, threshold - based evaluation of extreme event magnitude and frequency, fully integrated 2D flood hazard mapping, updated exposure maps, country - specific depth - damage functions and improved vulnerability information to estimate current and future flood risk.

This report discusses our current understanding of the mechanisms that link declines in Arctic sea ice cover, loss of high - latitude snow cover, changes in Arctic - region energy fluxes, atmospheric circulation patterns, and the occurrence of extreme weather events; possible implications of more severe loss of summer Arctic sea ice upon weather patterns at lower latitudes; major gaps in our understanding, and observational and / or modeling efforts that are needed to fill those gaps; and current opportunities and limitations for using Arctic sea ice predictions to assess the risk of temperature / precipitation anomalies and extreme weather events over northern continents.

In the report, 10 case studies outline current effects of climate change, from infectious diseases such as malaria and West Nile virus to extreme weather events such as heat waves and floods.

The 2004 film «The Day After Tomorrow» imagined a world in which the complete collapse of a climate - regulating Atlantic Ocean current triggered catastrophic sea - level rise and extreme weather events in the U.S.

You make a very clear well reasoned case for the irrationality of using current numerical climate models fitted to past average temperature data to predict or project future average temperatures let alone temperature distributions or extreme weather events.

Further investigation using high - resolution modeling approaches that better resolve the boundary conditions and fine - scale physical processes (44 ⇓ — 46) and / or using analyses that focus on the underlying large - scale climate dynamics of individual extreme events (8) could help to overcome the limitations of simulated precipitation and temperature in the current generation of global climate models.

If James Marusek's work on extreme events in the last 2000 events was used as a reference base, it's likely that no black swan would be identified in the current period.

Correctly accounting for uncertainty, and accepting the possibility of extreme weather events that may be counterintuitive to current climate predictions, could reduce future vulnerability to unexpected weather disasters.»

This shift in the distribution obviously affects extreme events, and there is no reason to think that the next 40 years won't see another degree in these areas with a continuation of current trends in GHGs.

All forcings (anthropogenic and natural, ALL) are necessary to explain the occurrence of SIE events more extreme than the current record minima (2012 for Sep., 2015 for Mar.), but not yet sufficient.

While climate change can be cited for making events like recent US heatwaves and the ongoing extreme drought more likely, what's the science behind the current drought conditions?

The third one — essentially looking at the impact of global warming on the probability of extreme events such as this flood — is part of current climate research.