Not exact matches
In the new set - up, a real - world seasonal forecast driven by
data on
current sea - surface
temperatures will be run alongside a simulated «no
global warming» seasonal forecast, in which greenhouse gas emissions have been stripped out.
To put
current global temperatures into the perspective of that framework, Climate Central has been reanalyzing the NASA and NOAA
data.
The most
current data for November be accessed via the
Global Surface
Temperature Anomalies page.
The
global average
temperature anomaly was adjusted by
data managers [different groups followed differently and they don't match]-- earlier
data adjusted downwards and
current data upwards.
Pollen
data shows humans reversed natural
global cooling:
Current temperatures are hotter than at any time in the history of human civilization
Pollen
data shows humans reversed natural
global cooling:
Current temperatures are hotter than at any time in the history of human civilization https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97-per-cent/2018/feb/19/pollen-
data-shows-humans-reversed-natural-
global-cooling
To solve this problem I looked at three patterns of the 6558 day period, overlaid them at the daily weather
data level, and plotted the resultant combined signal for Precipitation, and
temperature patterns for the USA, extended that cyclic interpenetration for a six year period, and plotted out maps to show the repeating reoccurring patterns in the
global circulation, as a (6 year long stretch, we are now ~ 40 months into the posted 6 years long) forecast for part of the
current repeat of the 6558 day long cycle.
The Met Office says it doesn't expect
temperature records to be broken every year, but «the
current situation shows how
global warming can combine with smaller, natural fluctuations to push our climate to levels of warmth which are unprecedented in the
data records».
When sceptics look at statistical
data, whether it is recent ice melt, deep sea
temperatures,
current trend in
global surface
temperatures, troposphere
temperatures, ice core records etc. they look at the
data as it is without any pre-conceptions and describe what it says.
I am not at all surprised to find climate skeptics preferring Mike's description over mine, given that mine tries to fit the
current understanding of the impact of rising CO2 on
temperature to the
data while Mike's uses gross overfitting to show that one does not need CO2 to explain recent
global warming.
Manipulation of
global temperature data to prop up claims of
current global temperatures being the warmest on record due to human production of CO2 continue.
Previous large natural oscillations are important to examine: however, 1) our
data isn't as good with regards to external forcings or to historical
temperatures, making attribution more difficult, 2) to the extent that we have solar and volcanic
data, and paleoclimate
temperature records, they are indeed fairly consistent with each other within their respective uncertainties, and 3) most mechanisms of internal variability would have different fingerprints: eg, shifting of warmth from the oceans to the atmosphere (but we see warming in both), or simultaneous warming of the troposphere and stratosphere, or shifts in
global temperature associated with major ocean
current shifts which for the most part haven't been seen.
But linear regression is known to give the best possible unbiased estimate of its parameters for any linear function of the
data — if a regression can not give a reliable enough estimate of the
global average
temperature, it seems inevitable that the
current method must be worse.
In reality, at least 97 percent of climatologists agree that humans cause
global warming, and the
data show you can't explain the
current rising
temperatures without human influence.
This effect results from a systemic microclimate effect in
temperature data which are present in the
global temperature record, but are unaccounted for in
current analyses.
We consider several important climate impacts and use evidence from
current observations to assess the effect of 0.8 °C warming and paleoclimate
data for the effect of larger warming, especially the Eemian period, which had
global mean
temperature about +2 °C relative to pre-industrial time.
We have also developed computer models that predict body
temperatures to within several degrees using
data from weather stations and satellites, and
current efforts under way in David Wethey's lab will eventually allow us to predict patterns of
temperature on a
global basis.
This conclusion takes into account the approximately 62 year period natural cycle in
global average surface
temperatures that is obvious in the HadCRUT4
global average surface
temperature data, that had a maximum in about 1945 and again in about 2007, and that seems to be the cause of the
current «pause» in
global average surface
temperatures.
Combined with
data from satellites, the
Global Drifter Network now provides scientists with twice - weekly updates on
currents and sea surface
temperatures throughout the world.
(d) Cowtan & Way (2013); England et al. (2014); Santer et al (2014); and Rosenfeld (2014); all provide solid evidence that the
current mean
global temperature has been masked by such causes as: limited
data; the negative phase of the PDO cycle; volcanoes, and aerosols, respectively.
There is no empirical
data that proves that as you add more CO2 to the atmosphere from
current levels, this causes
global temperatures and sea levels to rise.