If we continue on
our current high emissions trajectory the world will have no chance of staying under the 2C threshold that the federal government has committed to.
Even as Europeans adapt to hotter summers, rising numbers of heat - related deaths are likely.33, 34 The 2003 heat wave shows that even high - income countries such as the Netherlands are not currently positioned to cope with extreme weather19 — a troubling prospect, as research suggests that by as early as the 2040s, if we continue on
the current high emissions path, about half the summers in southern Europe are likely to be as warm as the record - breaking heat wave of 2003.26,35
That may mean that some of the highest estimates of future temperature rises, of more than 6C within several decades, are less likely, but it does not let the world off the hook — warming of more than 2C is still highly likely on
current high emissions trends, and that would cause severe consequences around the world.
One outcome emphasised by experts is that if society continues on
the current high emissions trajectory, cold water coral reefs, located in the deep sea, may be unsustainable and tropical coral reef erosion is likely to outpace reef building this century.
Not exact matches
The findings «don't necessarily suggest future
emissions will generally be
higher or lower than
current projections, but they suggest that this will depend more sensitively on how exactly economies grow (or shrink),» he said.
«We find that
current emission trends continue to track scenarios that lead to the
highest temperature increases,» they wrote in an analysis published yesterday in the journal Nature Climate Change.
His team's work suggests that
emissions from pneumatic controllers and other equipment at production wells is between 57 - 67 %
higher than the
current EPA estimate.
«Our model assumes «business as usual» in the province, with
high carbon
emissions and climate change continuing at the
current rate.
«Lower
emissions» are in line with Paris agreement targets; «
higher emissions» represent
current, business - as - usual trajectories.
The What We Know report further states that «according to the IPCC, given the
current pathway for carbon
emissions the
high end of the «likely» range for the expected increase in global temperature is about 8 ˚ F by the end of the century.
Recognizing that developed countries are principally responsible for the
current high levels of GHG
emissions in the atmosphere as a result of more than 150 years of industrial activity, the Protocol places a heavier burden on developed nations under the principle of «common but differentiated responsibilities.»
If greenhouse gas
emissions continue on their
current trend, the rate of warming will reach 0.7 °F per decade and stay that
high until at least 2100.
If
current emission trends continue, by 2100, CO2 concentration would be
higher than the Earth has seen in more than 10 million years.
Even so, the IPCC estimates above indicate: 1) Total Net Atmospheric Carbon
Emissions to 2100 will amount to ~ 2050 PgC (or more) on
current Trends, 2) A BAU projected estimate would push CO2 to ~ 952 ppm by 2100 (or more), and 3) Global average temperature increase / anomaly would be as
high as ~ 6.8 C by 2100
However, with
current emissions trends, this would lead to very
high temperatures to the end of the 21st century.
If
emissions continue down a mid-range path — one consistent with the direction
current policies and market trends seem to be taking us — the new results indicate a
higher likely rise of 0.7 to 1.3 meters (2.2 to 4.1 feet), compared to 0.4 to 0.8 meters (1.4 to 2.5 feet) in the IPCC - consistent estimate.
I think it is important to stress that with the
current growth of fossil fuel
emissions we are above the
highest IPCC
emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), at least for fossil fuel combustion.
Warming fairly drastically increased the odds of each of these events in the models, with Tampa's
current 10,000 - year storm becoming anywhere from a 2,500 - year to a 700 - year storm by the end of the century (assuming
high greenhouse gas
emissions).
Such research is needed for understanding future changes in cyclones and avoided impacts if we follow the Paris Agreement on climate change, rather than
current,
high greenhouse gas
emission pathways.»
The
current estimates show that cellular agriculture can have lower greenhouse gas
emissions, land use and water use, but often has a
higher energy use requirement when compared to conventionally produced animal source foods.
Continuation of
high fossil fuel
emissions, given
current knowledge of the consequences, would be an act of extraordinary witting intergenerational injustice.
We describe
current activities and progress that are focused on making
high quality all - sky survey images of the diffuse far - infrared
emission.
For Coral Springs, for example, which appears to be comfortably inland, the
high - tide line will encompass about a quarter of the city's population some time in the distant future, if
emissions continue at
current levels through the year 2040.
Although sustainability guidelines are unlikely to be included in the final version of the 2015 Dietary Guidelines for Americans, the Advisory Committee included the following statement in their initial report: «Consistent evidence indicates that, in general, a dietary pattern that is
higher in plant - based foods, such as vegetables, fruits, whole grains, legumes, nuts and seeds, and lower in animal - based foods is more health promoting and is associated with lesser environmental impact (greenhouse gas
emissions and energy, land, and water use) than is the
current average U.S. diet.
Our European Bureau chief Georg Kacher previously reported on the future of the McLaren lineup, saying that the 650S replacement would not perform much
higher than the
current 650S, with simple things like better in - gear acceleration, semi-active suspension, and a smaller
emissions footprint.
Choosing the six - speed automatic gearbox means a small sacrifice in efficiency — fuel economy drops to 42.2 mpg and CO2
emissions go up to 177g / km for a
higher annual tax bill of # 230 at
current rates.
One of the new features is the fuel consumption and gearshift indicator (if the six - speed transmission is specified), which informs the driver of the
current fuel consumption and at what point the next -
highest gear should be selected in order to save fuel and reduce CO2
emissions (also see page 89).
Some of its aural qualities are due to active sound generation, but I can live with that (a classic
high - revving note when it's angry) from an engine that still meets
current emissions legislation.
At the
high CL scenarios, I note the following possible additional sources (beyond or
current emissions, and see list of references at the end of this post):
in the pipeline from past /
current high GHG
emissions».
in the pipeline from past /
current high GHG
emissions which science has already told us all is going to impact the planetary energy balance...]
Hamburg: Our study reinforces the fact that specific source types for methane are
higher than
current E.P.A. and EDGAR inventories suggest, and they do indeed need more attention because
emissions in some regions of the US appear to be substantially
higher than previously estimated.
Right now the CO2 per unit GDP is so much
higher in China than the US that they can grow their economy significantly without increasing
emissions, just by approaching US (let alone European)
CURRENT levels of efficiency.
I think it is important to stress that with the
current growth of fossil fuel
emissions we are above the
highest IPCC
emissions scenario (RCP 8.5), at least for fossil fuel combustion.
page 30: «
Current carbon dioxide emissions are, in fact, above the highest emissions scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), implying that if we stay the current course, we're heading for even larger warming than the highest projections from the IPCC.
Current carbon dioxide
emissions are, in fact, above the
highest emissions scenario developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), implying that if we stay the
current course, we're heading for even larger warming than the highest projections from the IPCC.
current course, we're heading for even larger warming than the
highest projections from the IPCC.»
One thing that the public aren't widely aware of — even though
emissions in China are anticipated to rise rapidly, their
current plans lead to 1 gigaton [billion metric tons] of carbon less being emitted by about 2030 than under the previous
high growth path.
Brazil and Indonesia have
high levels of deforestation and are responsible for much of the
current carbon
emissions from the land.
Some further increases in
emission controls for
high - income countries are assumed, with larger increases in developing countries as incomes rise toward
current OECD levels.
However, contrary to some statements in recent publications1 — 3,
current emissions are not
higher than covered in the climate change scenarios used by the last two Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments4, 5.
This
current research has definitively stated the likely importance of blue carbon conversions and the unaccounted
emissions that have very much
higher estimates.
The scientists warned, however, that when the
current cooling phase turns, the upward march of temperatures is likely to resume, perhaps at faster rates than before as greenhouse gas
emission rates are
higher.
So far, the CCC has not called for
higher UK targets in response to Paris, saying action to meet
current targets was more urgent and that more evidence is needed before deciding when the UK should aim for net - zero
emissions.
Most worrisome, if humanity stays near its
current path of greenhouse gas
emissions, the IPCC warns with «
high confidence» that «the combination of
high temperature and humidity in some areas for parts of the year is projected to compromise normal human activities, including growing food or working outdoors.»
This is true because most mainstream scientists have concluded that the world must reduce total global
emissions by at the very least 60 to 80 percent below existing levels to stabilize GHG atmospheric concentrations at minimally safe atmospheric GHG concentrations and the United States is a huge emitter both in historical terms and in comparison to
current emissions levels of other
high emitting nations.
Current U.S. dietary guidelines and many health professionals have recommended diets
higher in fruits and vegetables and lower in red meat as a means of helping to reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease and some cancers.316, 319,320,321,322,323,324 These changes in food consumption, and related changes to food production, could have co-benefits in terms of reducing greenhouse gas
emissions.
Only in the past few decades have scientists begun the measurements necessary to establish a relationship between
current carbon levels and temperatures, and the science conducted since then has consistently pointed in one direction: that rising greenhouse gas
emissions, arising from our use of fossil fuels and our industries, lead to
higher temperatures.
The UN explained this, saying «Recognizing that developed countries are principally responsible for the
current high levels of GHG
emissions in the atmosphere as a result of more than 150 years of industrial activity, the Protocol places a heavier burden on developed nations under the principle of «common but differentiated responsibilities.
But Hansen and his co-authors argue this
emissions» limit must be cut in half to draw carbon dioxide levels down to 350 parts per million from their
current level of 395 ppm (the
highest they have been in 3 million years) and to stabilize global temperatures.
The ramping up of business action on climate change should give the government confidence it can achieve more
emissions reductions and set policies that aim considerably
higher than the
current targets.
The energy system reference cases used for future greenhouse gas (GHG)
emission pathways in climate change research are a case in point: baseline
emission scenarios commonly project levels of coal combustion many times
higher than
current reserve estimates by the year 2100.