Not exact matches
The
current Landsea / Trenberth / Emanuel discussion has been parsed by many to mean that Landsea claims that the
number of
hurricanes is constant, and Trenberth is claiming that their intensity should increase as global warming heats the ocean surface.
The study looked at historical
hurricane activity across the entire tropical Atlantic basin to see if the
current peak in storm
numbers is... Read more
The study looked at historical
hurricane activity across the entire tropical Atlantic basin to see if the
current peak in storm
numbers is anomalous.
The
current Landsea / Trenberth / Emanuel discussion has been parsed by many to mean that Landsea claims that the
number of
hurricanes is constant, and Trenberth is claiming that their intensity should increase as global warming heats the ocean surface and these claims can both be true.
In other words, there is little evidence from
current dynamical models that 21st century climate warming will lead to large (~ 300 %) increases in tropical storm
numbers,
hurricane numbers, or PDI in the Atlantic.
In this article, I will review our
current understanding of Atlantic TC and
hurricane trends with respect to: A) the historical record of basin - wide TC
numbers; B) the historical record of
hurricanes and TC intensity; C) distant past proxy estimates of TC (primarily,
hurricane only) counts; and D) distant past proxy measures of TC /
hurricane intensity.