Sentences with phrase «current models of climate»

My problems with current models of climate are very fundamental.

Current models of climate change include sea level rise, land degradation, regional changes in temperature and precipitation patterns, and some consequences for agriculture, but without modeling the feedbacks that these significant impacts would have on the Human System, such as geographic and economic displacement, forced migration, destruction of infrastructure, increased economic inequality, nutritional sustenance, fertility, mortality, conflicts, and spread of diseases or other human health consequences [135,136].

Not exact matches

And now Variety comes out of nowhere with this report where the numbers just don't seem to make sense in the current climate, especially for ESPN for reasons already mentioned including the existing Fight Pass business model.

Some of the largest uncertainties in current climate models stem from their wide - ranging estimates of the size and number of dust particles in the atmosphere.

Despite that risk, current climate models do not include the risk of emissions from thawing permafrost, the UNEP analysis warned.

«Current climate developments are at the very worst end of the computer model predictions,» he says.

Climate models, which are central to attribution studies, have also improved and are able to represent the current climate and that of the recent past with considerable fiClimate models, which are central to attribution studies, have also improved and are able to represent the current climate and that of the recent past with considerable ficlimate and that of the recent past with considerable fidelity.

«Using a numerical climate model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could explain a significant fraction of the amplified warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes in long - range transport, atmospheric winds and ocean currents.

Three approaches were used to evaluate the outstanding «carbon budget» (the total amount of CO2 emissions compatible with a given global average warming) for 1.5 °C: re-assessing the evidence provided by complex Earth System Models, new experiments with an intermediate - complexity model, and evaluating the implications of current ranges of uncertainty in climate system properties using a simple model.

One area of rapid growth — and a good illustration of the current trends — is the increased focus on developing geographically precise climate models that can forecast conditions one to several years out.

Current climate change models indicate temperatures will increase as long as humans continue to emit greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, but the projections of future precipitation are far less certain.

Udall and Overpeck found all current climate models agree that temperatures in the Colorado River Basin will continue rising if the emission of greenhouse gases is not curbed.

The resulting outburst of methane produced effects similar to those predicted by current models of global climate change: a sudden, extreme rise in temperatures, combined with acidification of the oceans.

Using a hierarchical model, the authors combine information from these various sources to obtain an ensemble estimate of current and future climate along with an associated measure of uncertainty.

Unfortunately, current simulation models, which combine global climate models with aerosol transport models, consistently underestimate the amount of these aerosols in the Arctic compared to actual measurements during the spring and winter seasons, making it difficult to accurately assess the impact of these substances on the climate.

Most current climate models predict what will happen when the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere reaches twice preindustrial levels, or some 1.2 trillion tonnes of carbon.

The team also wanted to know whether the conditions on land interacted with the atmosphere to affect climate, because most of the current climate models don't simulate the Green Sahara period well, she said.

Our global climate models zoom down to finer and finer resolutions; our satellites reveal remote corners of the globe; we increase our understanding of the response of giant ice sheets and deep ocean currents to a warming planet.

«For scientists to create more accurate models of Earth's current and future climate, they'll have to include more accurate representations of clouds.»

«When we included projected Antarctic wind shifts in a detailed global ocean model, we found water up to 4 °C warmer than current temperatures rose up to meet the base of the Antarctic ice shelves,» said lead author Dr Paul Spence from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science (ARCCSS).

This projection is unlike what has been predicted as a drying period by the majority of current climate models.

In their current PNAS paper, the multidisciplinary team of Rodó, Burns, Dan Cayan, PhD, a climate researcher at UC San Diego Scripps Institution of Oceanography and co-authors in New York, Barcelona and Japan, say the new evidence suggests that the most likely cause of KD is a «preformed toxin or environmental molecule» originating from northeastern China, possibly related to Candida, which has been linked to Kawasaki - like coronary artery vasculitis in mouse models.

Noting that the timing of KD outbreaks in Japan coincides with certain wind patterns from Asia, climate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University inclimate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University inClimate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University in Japan.

Further, current models used to predict the release of climate - active CO2 from soils fail to account for these microscopic, oxygen - free zones present in many upland soils, they say.

The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire predictions are based on a series of computer modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system model, the most detailed data on current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.

The international research initiative IceGeoHeat led by the GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences establishes in the current online issue of Nature Geoscience that this effect can not be neglected when modeling the ice sheet as part of a climate study.

Most current models of forests under climate change can not predict when or where forests might die from temperature and drought stress.

Wiedinmyer also wants to put her estimates into models of climate and air movement and see if they match up with current air observations.

This new information can be incorporated into current climate models to predict future changes in the magnitude and pattern of the Walker Circulation due to increased greenhouse gas emissions.

A new scientific paper by a University of Maryland - led international team of distinguished scientists, including five members of the National Academies, argues that there are critical two - way feedbacks missing from current climate models that are used to inform environmental, climate, and economic policies.

This fog layer is induced by the large nighttime precipitation, missed by current climate models, which underestimated the effect of clouds and precipitation.

Climate models do not predict an even warming of the whole planet: changes in wind patterns and ocean currents can change the way heat is distributed, leading to some parts warming much faster than average, while a few may cool, at least at first.

Current climate models do not take into account glacial flow and therefore underestimate the impact of glacial melt and the calving of ice flows, the researchers argue in a paper detailing the findings in today's Science.

For the study, Gentine and Lemordant took Earth system models with decoupled surface (vegetation physiology) and atmospheric (radiative) CO2 responses and used a multi-model statistical analysis from CMIP5, the most current set of coordinated climate model experiments set up as an international cooperation project for the International Panel on Climate climate model experiments set up as an international cooperation project for the International Panel on Climate Climate Change.

While trees possess the genetic diversity to adjust to current conditions, climate models suggest that temperature and precipitation patterns in many parts of the world may expose trees to more stressful conditions in the future.

By using climate models to simulate what air pollution was like in 1850 and 2000, Jason West at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and his colleagues have estimated its effect on current death rates.

The analysis uses methods that have already been peer - reviewed, including examining the change in occurrence of such extreme rains in the historical record and in climate models, as well as using finer - scale regional climate models to compare the current climate to one without warming.

The research made use of the weather@home citizen - science project, part of Oxford's climateprediction.net climate modelling experiment, to model possible weather for January 2014 in both the current climate and one in which there was no human influence on the atmosphere.

Some climate models suggest that, at current CO2 emissions levels, 80 percent of Arctic waters could prove corrosive to clams, pteropods and other species at the base of the polar food chain by 2060, the new statement said.

Previously, computer models of climate didn't predict that a shutdown in this current would occur.

To identify the present and future state of deep - sea ecosystems, we used a combination of expert opinion, current literature, and the output of the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) models.

Research using climate models suggests that the combined effects of higher temperatures and lower oxygen will drive many marine animals away from their current habitats to areas with more oxygen, according to in a recent press release...

Second, the current generation of climate models seem to do a pretty good job, based on already - known physics.

January 2004: «Directions for Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.Climate Research» Here, ExxonMobil outlines areas where it deemed more research was necessary, such as «natural climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.climate variability, ocean currents and heat transfer, the hydrological cycle, and the ability of climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.climate models to predict changes on a regional and local scale.»

Just for the sake of illustration, though, here's one scenario where higher Holocene variability could go along with lower climate sensitivity: Suppose that some unknown stabilizing mechanism makes the real world less sensitive to radiative forcing than our current models.

In addition, exclusion of human - related impacts such as irrigation, land use, and water diversion from most current climate models makes reliable projection of drought even less certain (Sheffield and Wood 2008).

«Current global climate models have failed to predict the rapid Arctic warming, and clouds are one of the largest uncertainties.

Though irrigation is one of the major human practices that alters the Earth, it is not often accounted for in current climate models or climate change projections.

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

Mission The mission of PNNL's Aerosol Climate Initiative is to advance the current scientific understanding and parameterization of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of aeClimate Initiative is to advance the current scientific understanding and parameterization of aerosol processes and properties to improve comprehensive climate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of aeclimate modeling frameworks and to inform policy decisions related to global climate change and the environmental impacts of aeclimate change and the environmental impacts of aerosols.