You make a very clear well reasoned case for the irrationality of using
current numerical climate models fitted to past average temperature data to predict or project future average temperatures let alone temperature distributions or extreme weather events.
It's importance is that it is a highly consistent general result across
current numerical climate models.
Not exact matches
«Using a
numerical climate model we found that sulfate reductions over Europe between 1980 and 2005 could explain a significant fraction of the amplified warming in the Arctic region during that period due to changes in long - range transport, atmospheric winds and ocean
currents.
New research by Misra and Mishra in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres shows that differences in the ocean bathymetry (or topography) of two novel
numerical climate model integrations can influence the ocean
currents and their impact on regional
climate.
One of the issues that puzzle me with the
current climate models is that they do not follow the protocols of
numerical models used in other earth sciences such as hydrogeology for example.