Sentences with phrase «current temperature projections»

Not exact matches

Current climate change models indicate temperatures will increase as long as humans continue to emit greenhouse gases into the atmosphere, but the projections of future precipitation are far less certain.
Udall said, «I was surprised at the extent to which the uncertain precipitation aspects of the current projections hid the temperature - induced flow declines.»
Could GCM projections substantially overestimate temperature trends for the western US if PDO shifts from its current warm phase to a cool phase?
What we really want is to see some simple comparison of temperature data since 1988 with projections circa 1988 beyond 2010 and hindcasts from 1988 with current (2010) understanding beyond 2010.
-- A line stressing that «the current temperature plateau» does not undercut projections of long - term warming:
Current projections point to average world temperatures to rise between 1.1 C and 6.41 C between 1990 and 2100.
The one thing that stands out for me in the Hansen projections is the [snip] claim that current temperatures are in the same range of a few degrees as the altithermal and Eemian periods.
When we can not even agree on what the temperature projections REALLY ARE (taking into account all known feedbacks and current measurements), then how can we EVER expect there to be meaningful climate action when we keep spouting nonsense about how hot it's going to get?
This would also mean that many of the alarmist projections are significantly overstated since much of the heating from added CO2 is simply holding our current temperature steady.
The findings are also worrisome because the scenario imagined in the study — that is, a temperature increase of 5.4 degrees F (3 degrees C) above pre-industrial levels — is not much more extreme than current climate change projections, the researchers said.
And if you're going to present that, it might be relevant to note that current temperatures have been bumping along down at the bottom of the range of most previous projections.
The current version of the figure gives the impression that the IPCC expected temperature to warm continuously year on year, which of course was not the expectation — the projections shown here are just the long - term trend either from averaging the GCMs or using simple climate models.
In the meantime, their results have tentatively breathed a small hint of life back into the climate models, basically buying them a bit more time — time for either the observed temperatures to start rising rapidly as current models expect, or, time for the modelers to try to fix / improve cloud processes, oceanic processes, and other process of variability (both natural and anthropogenic) that lie behind what would be the clearly overheated projections.
[55] According to the World Climate Report, «Dr. MIchaels» general message was that the recent behavior of global temperatures is starting to push the (lower) bounds of climate models» expectations of such behavior and that if the current slowdown in the rate of global warming continues for much longer, we must start to question the reliability of climate projections of the future state of our climate.»
Thus, if the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere doubles (which is supposed to happen in 2080, according to current emission projections), the global temperature will rise only 1.8 degrees Celsius.
The presentation at http://brneurosci.org/co2.html, particularly the section of Linear Climate Projection, shows the difficulties in reconciling any of the IPCC scenarios with the current temperatures.
Even with 30 years, how are we doing when I have seen graphs that current temperatures are running BELOW Hansen's 1988 No CO2 growth projection?
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