In
the current warming episode, it is clear that CO2 and other human - induced heat - trapping gases are driving the warming.
However, in
this current warming episode, the increase in CO2 is largely due to human emissions from the burning of oil, coal, and gas (IPCC Fifth Assessment Report).
So even though past warm episodes may have been initiated by orbital changes that caused warming and thus caused CO2 to rise, which then led to more warming, we know that
the current warm episode is being driven by increasing CO2 due to the burning of fossil fuels and the clearing of forests.
Not exact matches
The authors write that their observation that the modern collapse of the LIS - B is a unique event supports the hypothesis that the
current warming trend in the northwestern Weddell Sea is longer and bigger than past
warm episodes.
[Response: And note that the abstract linked says «Although the rarity of the
current episode of high average sunspot numbers may indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong
warming during the past three decades.»
Important factors in the
current anthropogenic
warming episode is that the
warming in ecological terms is substantial faster then other known
episodes and temperatures could be higher then they have been in millions of years.
What evidence from past
warming episodes establises that this is unique to the
current warming.
«When the internal variability that is responsible for the
current hiatus switches sign, as it inevitably will, another
episode of accelerated global
warming should ensue,» the paper's authors write.
However, Solanki et al made the same point as we do: «This comparison shows without requiring any recourse to modeling that since roughly 1970 the solar influence on climate (through the channels considered here) can not have been dominant» (Solanki et al., 2003), and: «Although the rarity of the
current episode of high average sunspot numbers may indicate that the Sun has contributed to the unusual climate change during the twentieth century, we point out that solar variability is unlikely to have been the dominant cause of the strong
warming during the past three decades.»
The point that the more skeptical would make is that given some unnatural character with the
current warming could we use the Marcott paper's analyses and evidence to rule out that previous
warming episodes were as intense or more so than the modern one.
Based on the best analyses to date, the
current episode of global
warming began around 1900.
J. Sperry, you cite Roy Spencer in your message, saying that the view that the
current episode of global
warming is caused by human activities is not the consensus view.
For example, mainstream science not only correctly predicted the
current ocean
warming, but accounts all previous Earth
warming episodes that involved increased atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases - due to the fact that over 90 % of heat goes into the oceans.