For example, when the CEI (blue dotted line) is adjusted for growth in population (red dotted line) or the labor force (black dotted line), the stock market's failure to sustainably break out above its Apr 26 high in the S&P 500 index (SPX) at 1220 is understandable, as it has been predictable by our business
cycle model explained our email to you four days ago (copied in below).
Not exact matches
Unless the
model captures the forces
explaining the underlying
cycle pretty accurately, there seems a fair bit of room for slippage between cup and lip, in the estimation process.
Elliott Main, M.D. who is the medical director of the CMQCC and the presenter of the study at the SMFM annual meeting,
explained, «The keys for success were (1) multi-partner engagement, (2) rapid
cycle data and (3) use of a novel quality improvement
model involving pairing physician and nurse mentors working with five to eight hospitals at a time, all within the construct of a large statewide project.»
A mathematician by training, and now a Linus Pauling postdoctoral fellow in the Microbiology Group, Todd - Brown designs computer
models of soil carbon
cycling - or «how dirt breathes,» she
explained in a #WomenInSTEM YouTube feature.
The changes Spencer saw in his
model are
explained by El Niño / La Niña
cycles, Dessler said, not caused by clouds.
The
cycle (illustrated in Figure 1.6, p. 22) begins during the lesson's introduction as the teacher
models and
explains the learning target and continues as the teacher provides guided practice.
The Toyota exec
explained that the last three generations of the Prius have averaged a six - year life
cycle and the current
model was introduced in 2009, suggesting that the fourth generation is coming in 2015.
The Economist features a simple symmetric
model to try to
explain cycles in the financial markets.
D.P. O'Brien and R. G. Currie, «Observations of the 18.6 - year
cycle of air pressure and a theoretical
model to
explain certain aspects of this signal», Climate Dynamics Volume 8, Number 6, 287 - 298 (1993)
To Stefan: The ability to construct simple non-chaotic phenomenological
models that «
explain» D - O events or Milankovich
cycle doesn't prove that the events are not chaotic in their nature.
By comparing
modelled and observed changes in such indices, which include the global mean surface temperature, the land - ocean temperature contrast, the temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual
cycle in temperature over land and the mean meridional temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004) estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas warming between 1896 and 1945 is
explained by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.
We introduce a carbon
cycle model that would
explain the PETM by global warming following a bolide impact, leading to the oxidation of terrestrial organic carbon stores built up during the late Paleocene.
Looking at past
models, however, the Milankovich
Cycles can not
explain this sudden warming.
That is why the early 20th century warming
cycle (~ 1910 to ~ 1940), which is statistically indistinguishable from the late 20th century warming
cycle (~ 1970 to ~ 2000) is difficult for the climate
models to
explain.
The SSM (standard solar
model) does not
explain solar flares, sunspots, coronal mass ejections, solar
cycles or changes in Earth's climate that arise from these solar events.
The scientists
explain that the known natural
cycles and processes are accounted for in climate
models.
His response just now is still selective e.g. a claim the rise will be only 1.2 C without
explaining why it should stop there or accounting for feedback
cycles and thermal inertia or the fact that all
models have us on course for 3 C or more by 2100.
our
models for instance don't seem to even attempt to
explain and illustrate by recreating many of the natural flucuations of the last say, 9000 years — they lack understanding of many of the known cyclics and how they and the less - understood undiscovered
cycles effect and interact.)
Now forced to
explain the warming hiatus, Trenberth has flipped flopped about the PDO's importance writing «One of the things emerging from several lines is that the IPCC has not paid enough attention to natural variability, on several time scales,» «especially El Niños and La Niñas, the Pacific Ocean phenomena that are not yet captured by climate
models, and the longer term Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) which have
cycle lengths of about 60 years.»
There you go again with our
models can't
explain paleo - climate changes (glacial
cycles) unless we interject a 2xCO2 climate sensitivity of 3C.
It doesn't happen in a linear, reasoned way — we don't have time to stop and think about attachment, interaction
cycles or internal working
models — and perhaps not in a way we fully understand or can
explain why or how, but in a powerful way nonetheless.