Sentences with phrase «cycle peaked in»

Corporations have been languishing to sell their goods and services since the business cycle peaked in July of 2014.

Images show the sun's face changing from being nearly clear in 2010 to being dotted with maximum sunspots and bright flares as the cycle peaked in April 2014, and then clearing up again.

The world's largest plane maker is in the midst of its biggest peacetime boom, churning out 20 percent more planes than when the last big cycle peaked in the 1990s.

The attached graphic clearly demonstrates that this latest cycle peak in average new home size corresponds with the Fed's culmination of quantitative easing and intervention in the markets (the magical bubble - blowing machine).

Solar physicists have been looking at trends in sun - spot behavior and characteristics over the past decade and have raised the possibility that when the current sun - spot cycle peaks in the next few months, the sun could enter an unusually long period where it generates few, if any sunspots.

They are also all (including HadSST3) in general agreement about a circa 11y period peaking in 2001/2002; a circa 21y cylcle peaking in 2005/2006; and a circa 64y cycle peaking in 2010 - 2016 (more likely the end of that interval.)

Not exact matches

Governments, he says, need to be «very careful in not removing what has essentially been the only source of growth in the economy for years now and doing so a) potentially at the peak of the cycle, and b) with cavalier attitudes to the importance of facts and figures.»

(His timing was off, he says, as he got in at the peak of the juice concentrate market cycle — yes, there is such a thing.)

In the Vietnam War era the government's rapid increase of the federal deficit began the inflation cycle that peaked in the late»70In the Vietnam War era the government's rapid increase of the federal deficit began the inflation cycle that peaked in the late»70in the late»70s.

Stifel says Intel could face pressure as the upgrading cycle in its computer - server business peaks.

Jones said these commodity cycles run in roughly 30 - year cycles between peaks — 1999 was a valley, and April 2011 was the peak.

And with the device still early in its product cycle, Goyal thinks Nintendo's earnings have six to seven more years to grow before peaking.

But if this economic cycle indeed has another extended leg in — as plenty of indicators suggest — and companies can keep the profit machine running along with stock buybacks and mergers, there's no saying the market as a whole can't work its way a good deal higher before it reaches its ultimate peak.

Dubbed «The Cycle of Market Emotions,» the graph features an undulating line that represents peaks and troughs in the stock market.

I would argue, then, that both the maturity wall and the action in high - yield spreads this year suggest the credit cycle has probably already peaked.

The paper finds that junk bonds are, in fact, a very good indicator for forecasting economic peaks if not troughs, effectively warning ahead of eight of the last ten peaks in the business cycle.

Similarly, looking at it from an enterprise value basis, assuming a free cash flow margin of 25 % for FY18 (consensus estimates are at 24 %) on sales growth of 12 % (in - line with consensus) along with a EV / FCF multiple of 11x (in - line with the peak multiple leading up to the iPhone 6 cycle), we come up with a stock value in the mid $ 160s as well.

That decline in sentiment could be due to the fact that the real estate cycle is moving into a later stage when property values in some markets are nearing the peak and income growth and total returns are slowing.

In short, the arguments about the difficulties of influencing activity should make central bankers cautious and modest about their role as cyclical stabilisers, but do not excuse them from taking the cycle into account in setting policy, and doing what they can to lop peaks and fill troughIn short, the arguments about the difficulties of influencing activity should make central bankers cautious and modest about their role as cyclical stabilisers, but do not excuse them from taking the cycle into account in setting policy, and doing what they can to lop peaks and fill troughin setting policy, and doing what they can to lop peaks and fill troughs.

Being in a more mature phase of an economic expansion currently, however, the next market peak might come sooner than it did last cycle.

Mind, the probability seems low to us, but we want to keep an open mind about this, not least due to the fact that a truly gigantic amount of new money has been poured into the economy in the current cycle (note the three distinct growth peaks in TMS - 2 since 2008).

In recent cycles, because of relatively higher valuations at the market peak, the completion of the market cycle has wiped out years of prior market gains.

We can not even be certain that its cycle peak has been put in already — perhaps that is yet to come.

The exuberant buying frenzy in Bitcoin continues to dominate the cryptocurrency segment, as the current cycle has likely reached its peak.

That would be a relatively low level by historical standards; in the past two tightening cycles by the Fed, the federal funds rate peaked at around 6 per cent.

These rapid changes in the shape of the yield curve marked the peak in the business cycle.

By LEWIS JOHNSON — Co-Chief Investment Officer May 4, 2017 In December's Navigating Confused Seas, we noted our expectation that 2017 would likely experience a stronger first half of the year, followed by a mid-year peak in the inventory cyclIn December's Navigating Confused Seas, we noted our expectation that 2017 would likely experience a stronger first half of the year, followed by a mid-year peak in the inventory cyclin the inventory cycle.

Some investors now fear that the first quarter will be the peak earnings quarter of the cycle, given some one - off impacts from US tax reform and a modest slowdown in global economic growth.

The cycle in rail car orders from peak to trough is seven years in duration.

At this level, rates remain below the 4.18 cycle peak level recorded in February.

The S&P 500 registered a record high after an advancing half - cycle since 2009 that is historically long - in - the - tooth and already exceeds the valuation peaks set at every cyclical extreme in history but 2000 on the S&P 500 (across all stocks, current median price / earnings, price / revenue and enterprise value / EBITDA multiples already exceed the 2000 extreme).

Extremes in observable conditions that we associate with some of the worst moments in history to invest include: Aug 1929 (with the October crash within 10 weeks of that instance), Aug - Oct 1972 (with an immediate retreat of less than 4 %, followed a few months later by the start of a 50 % bear market collapse), Aug 1987 (with the October crash within 10 weeks), July 1999 (associated with a quick 10 % market plunge within 10 weeks), another signal in March 2000 (with a 10 % loss within 10 weeks, a recovery into September of that year, and then a 50 % market collapse), July - Oct 2007 (followed by an immediate plunge of about 10 % in July, a recovery into October, and another signal that marked the market peak and the beginning of a 55 % market loss), two earlier signals in the recent half - cycle, one in July - early Oct of 2013 and another in Nov 2013 - Mar 2014, both associated with sideways market consolidations, and the present extreme.

As we saw in multiple early selloffs and recoveries near the 2007, 2000, and 1929 bull market peaks (the only peaks that rival the present one), the «buy the dip» mentality can introduce periodic recovery attempts even in markets that are quite precarious from a full cycle perspective.

Still, our stumble in the recent cycle, though far smaller than what the market itself experienced in 2000 - 2002 and 2007 - 2009, was quite awful in relative terms, as the speculation encouraged in this half - cycle by Fed - induced yield seeking has seen no equal outside of the run to the 1929 and 2000 peaks.

A couple of people I know bought houses at the peak of the boom cycle in 2000, 2004 and 2007.

The fear of a peak earnings cycle surfaced with this headline and certainly with Apple being such a huge component (14.60 % of the Nasdaq 100), its stock price action carries a lot of sway as to the investor sentiment in the tech sector.

Once rock - solid corporate balance sheets have weakened of late as debt as a percentage of assets and debt as a multiple of available cash flow have both risen to levels last seen before the peak of the US housing cycle in 2007.

Not to mention, we also saw legendary investor and former manager of the Quantum Fund Jim Rogers start some short positions and we also started to see emotional reactions often found in the investor psychology cycle as the market booms from peak to trough and back again.

The S&P 500 was up over 300 points from the February and March lows largely in anticipation of «earnings season» but in the past two weeks, both the S&P and the NASDAQ have been hobbled by a «sell the news» behavioral quirk, which, for me, is a sure - fire signal that bigger investors are viewing Q1 / 2018 as the peak for the business cycle.

The dollar index (DXY) peaked in December 2016 and has subsequently lost nearly 13 per cent, shrugging off what should have been positive effects from U.S. tax reform and a Federal Reserve about to embark on a tightening cycle.

Patty Clayton, a senior market analyst at DairyCo told this publication that the decrease in prices represented a natural peak of the supply and demand cycle.

It stumped up $ 1.9 billion at the peak of the cycle in 2003 to buy what was then known as BRL Hardy.

Usually in life the wise know when the cycle of their work has found it's peak and starts to wane and decrease.

We have become used to a cycle in which clubs» financial performance peaks in the first year of the three - year period covered by each successive set of broadcasting deals.

To the tiny team of devoted, craft - loving beauties holed up in an old mill in Sheffield, who between «making», cycling the Derbyshire Peaks, drinking tea (always from a pot) and nurturing their own families / cats / homebrews, devote a whole chunk of their brains to making Folksy wonderful.

Kearns said the bureaus are entering peak times in the eight - year cycle of license renewals, and have already seen the frequency of those transactions increase more than 300 percent from last year.

In fact, a Common Cause New York analysis of campaign finance records from 2006 - 2015 found that housekeeping expenditures spike each election cycle, peaking in OctobeIn fact, a Common Cause New York analysis of campaign finance records from 2006 - 2015 found that housekeeping expenditures spike each election cycle, peaking in Octobein October.

«These findings that auditory perception also goes through peaks and troughs supports the theory that perception is not passive but in fact our understanding of the world goes through cycles,» said Professor Alais from the University of Sydney.

They looked at hourly observations of sea level between 1948 and 2008, which confirmed that the number of extreme tides followed peaks in the solar cycle (Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, DOI: 10.1029 / 2009JD013114).

Using the sediment samples from the Qaidam Basin, Nie and Garzione show that the East Asian monsoon patterns in the late Miocene also follow similar 100,000 year cycles, with stronger monsoons peaking at 100,000 years and diminishing in the periods in between.