Sentences with phrase «cyclical bear markets»

There were cyclical bear markets in 1977 and 1981 - 2 (both ~ 20 % drops in senior indexes), and in 1994 (DJI / SPX fell less than 10 %, but small caps were down 25 % + after the huge small cap bull cycle in 1991 - 3) and 1998 (over 20 % drop in SP in 4 months, with LTCM failure the final chord).

But he did say that he can't understand why investors are willing to accept the idea of cyclical bear markets (which last in the neighborhood of two and half years) but not secular ones.

«The bear market in valuations has already begun and supports our overall view that the next cyclical bear market in US equities may have already begun, but is being masked by an index price level that has fallen only 12 % thanks to the adrenaline shot to EPS from tax.»

It is altogether possible that we can have a cyclical downturn in the U.S. economy by early 2019, and a cyclical bear market in stocks this year, anticipating such a development.

A normal, run - of - the mill cyclical bear market wipes out more than half of the preceding bull market advance.

Instead, this is nothing more than a cyclical bear market within the confines of a multi-year secular bull market.

I feel that stocks are still one of the best investments available due real earnings and liquidity, but I need to adjust my strategy depending on the kind of market like cyclical bull market, cyclical bear market, secular bull market, and secular bear market.

Swing traders should act defensively through cyclical bear market conditions unless the intraday charts signal opportunities.

The key to knowing that the cyclical bear market was over was the higher low that occurred in January 2003.

Next look at the cyclical bear market that began in the Fall 2000 and ended in March 2003.

However, I suspect we are entering a new cyclical bear market, but we shall see soon.

The following chart is a classic example of a cyclical bear market starting in 1966 and lasting till 1982.

Is it just a pullback and the cyclical bull market will resume soon, or is this a new cyclical bear market?

The question is have we seen the end of this cyclical bull market and are we now entering a cyclical bear market?

A cyclical bear market is typically 18 - 24 months.

We then went into a cyclical bear market from 2000 to early 2003.

Not exact matches

«A bear market in bonds calls for more than a global cyclical upswing, as not all forces that dragged yields down over the past decades have suddenly vanished,» argued Peter van der Welle, a strategist at Robeco.

In all probability, December 2015 marked the bottom of the cyclical gold and silver bear market — a bear cycle that had been in play since silver topped in May 2011 and gold in September of the same year.

In fact, Mr. Ritholtz is one of several commentators who believe this rally has merely been a temporary cyclical swing in the midst of a longer - term bear market — one that began roughly a decade ago and is far from over.

Although the evidence is far from conclusive, when taken together a number of price - related developments since the beginning of this year suggest that the cyclical commodity bear market has ended.

However, after enormous bailouts of the largest financial institutions in the country, as well as the auto industry, and even more monetary ease than in 2003 (accompanied by TARP, the stimulus plan, QE, and QE2); we started another cyclical bull market within the secular bear market.

Obviously, with a cyclical asset you will find losses and the widest spread between price and financial operating metrics because a trough occurs in a bear market of declining product prices.

I'm fully aware of the cyclical nature of the commodities business, but clearly the greater the bull market, the more severe the bear market.

The counter to that is that this is merely a cyclical bull market in the context of the secular bear market that started in 2000.

Well, Slater is really talking here about to spot a bear market bottom, rather than a turning point in the middle of a cyclical recovery.

Moreover, dividend stocks are often more stable, less - cyclical stocks which mean they hold up better than high - flying growth stocks in a bear market.

If July turns out to be the low point for this bear market, it will then mark the second highest level of valuation that a cyclical bull has ever started from (the highest starting valuation level was in 2003).

Essentially, a secular bull period comprises several cyclical bull - bear cycles, where each bull market achieves a successively higher level of market valuation at its peak.

As the guys at Nautilus Capital note, cyclical bull markets within secular bears have tended to average just 26 months, with an average gain of 85 %, while cyclical bears within secular bears have averaged 19 months, with steep average losses of -39 %.

Bull and Bear markets tend to be cyclical.

My own controversial perspective is that we are in a cyclical bull market, which is a part of a larger secular bear market.

Grand bear markets can span decades and embed multiple cyclical bull - bear swings.

During secular bear markets, there are shorter - term cyclical bull (upside) moves, but the general trend is sideways and down.

This page provides the percentage weights of high - cyclical sectors for all Bear Market Strategy Funds.

They want to max out their RRSPs and TFSAs so they can retire at a young age, not because they have any interest in asset allocation, rebalancing, or cyclical bull / bear markets.

The 1966 through 1982 bear market would see a total of nine separate cyclical phases — four bullish and five bearish.

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Within a secular trend, there may be a number of shorter cyclical bear and bull markets.

Yet, if we accept the notion that secular bear markets include cyclical bull markets within them, and if we recognize the epic nature of the risk - off movement of capital, «secular» is a more accurate descriptor (than «cyclical»).

Anyone who thinks that the bounce means that the current bear market is over would do well to study the behavior of bear markets past (quite aside from simply looking at the plethora of data about the economy in general, the cyclical nature of long - run corporate earnings and price - earnings multiples over the same cycle).

Notice how it began at about 1000 and ended at about 800 while encountering several good cyclical bull and bear markets.

Within these long trends there are shorter cyclical bull and bear market trends that generally last 2 - 3 years.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) seems to be a good indicator of the cyclical bull and bear markets.

However, there were shorter term cyclical bull and bear markets that could be traded.

As you can see, there were cyclical bull and bear markets during this long term secular bear market.

Understanding whether we are in a cyclical bull or bear market greatly enhances our chances for success.

As you can see, this secular bear market was typical of most secular bear markets, such as the one from 1966 - 1982, composed of mostly vicious cyclical bull and bear markets that result in a mostly sideways long term movement.

We may have cyclical (shorter - term) bull and bear markets within that period (as we have seen), but the odds are another great bull (as from 1982 — 2000) won't be here until, you read it correctly, 2017.

A cyclical bull or bear market typically is much shorter.

Within a secular bull or bear market there can be several cyclical bull markets AND bear markets.