Sentences with phrase «cyclical bull markets»

Within a secular bull or bear market there can be several cyclical bull markets AND bear markets.

Yet, if we accept the notion that secular bear markets include cyclical bull markets within them, and if we recognize the epic nature of the risk - off movement of capital, «secular» is a more accurate descriptor (than «cyclical»).

As the guys at Nautilus Capital note, cyclical bull markets within secular bears have tended to average just 26 months, with an average gain of 85 %, while cyclical bears within secular bears have averaged 19 months, with steep average losses of -39 %.

What it really did was prevent people from embracing one of the best cyclical bull markets of our lifetime — in both stocks and bonds.

«It is now the longest cyclical bull market on record.

World growth will remain low on average but negative in the UK and Europe; price inflation will remain sufficiently subdued for a while longer so as to impose no constraint on monetary expansion; central banks will sustain a regime of negative real interest rates and rapid monetary expansion; the risk of a eurozone collapse is off the table for now; finally, stock markets should continue to perform better than expected, even though the four - year old cyclical bull market is long by historical standards.

April 4 - Omar Aguilar of Charles Schwab says U.S. stocks are still in a cyclical bull market and feels that retail investors will get back in the market as the housing and labor markets stabilize.

However, there should still be good returns to be had before the end of this cyclical bull market.

Nevertheless, the birth of a new cyclical bull market suggests the potential for a multi-year up move to come.

The benchmark index SPX, -0.23 % has posted a record close 151 times so far during the latest cyclical bull market, which is about half of the number of all - time highs during the 1990 - 2000 cycle, according to Stovall, who said the high number of all - time highs is not an indication of future disappointments.

Investment Analyst Gary Tanashian has identified a 5 - year cyclical bull market in US stocks.

It also suggests to us that the cyclical bull market is more likely to end via a gradual rolling - over than an upside blow - off, because upside blow - offs in major financial markets require exuberance from the general public.

The price action is the other reason for the uncertainty as to whether this year's rally marked the start of a cyclical bull market.

I've seen a lot of commentary in which the author assumes that this year's rally in the gold price is the first rally in a new cyclical bull market.

However, after enormous bailouts of the largest financial institutions in the country, as well as the auto industry, and even more monetary ease than in 2003 (accompanied by TARP, the stimulus plan, QE, and QE2); we started another cyclical bull market within the secular bear market.

The counter to that is that this is merely a cyclical bull market in the context of the secular bear market that started in 2000.

As we discussed a few moments ago, crude oil is most likely in a cyclical bull market which began in 2016.

An average cyclical bull market will last 4 to 5 years.

-- I am firmly in the «Cyclical Bull Market» camp.

Are we in a short - term cyclical bull market, one that is already long in the tooth and coming to an end?

But the fact that they coincide with so many important cyclical bull market peaks says something about how those peaks are formed.

I feel that stocks are still one of the best investments available due real earnings and liquidity, but I need to adjust my strategy depending on the kind of market like cyclical bull market, cyclical bear market, secular bull market, and secular bear market.

My own controversial perspective is that we are in a cyclical bull market, which is a part of a larger secular bear market.

Even between here and there, market action would likely include perfectly reasonable cyclical bull market opportunities along the way.

A cyclical bull market followed the low returns of 1933, and secular bull markets followed the low returns of the early 1940's and early 1980's.

There are those who think that we are simply experiencing a healthy pullback that is part of the wall of worry just like we saw in 2004, during that cyclical bull market.

Despite my view we are in a cyclical bull market, the fact remains that we have covered a lot of ground in a short amount of time since February.

Is it just a pullback and the cyclical bull market will resume soon, or is this a new cyclical bear market?

The question is have we seen the end of this cyclical bull market and are we now entering a cyclical bear market?

A cyclical bull market, on average, is about 4 - 5 years.

What began as a cyclical bull market in 1996, has surpassed even the most positive market predictions of industry observers, as the real estate market goes from strength to strength.

Not exact matches

It's why Wilson stressed that although we're seeing a cyclical top for US stocks, we're still in the middle of a secular bull market.

A normal, run - of - the mill cyclical bear market wipes out more than half of the preceding bull market advance.

Instead, this is nothing more than a cyclical bear market within the confines of a multi-year secular bull market.

After the third longest bull market advance on record, fresh deterioration in key trend - following components within our measures of market internals (see Support Drops Away) recently joined this extended, overvalued, overbought, overbullish peak, even as the S&P 500 hovers at the top of its monthly Bollinger bands (two standard deviations above the 20 - period average) and cyclical momentum rolls over from a 9 - year high.

The public generally believes that a new bull market began early this year after having sat out the first 4 years of the still - ongoing cyclical bull that began in March of 2009.

Clearly, silver underperformed gold during the first two years of each of the last three cyclical precious - metals bull markets that occurred within secular bull markets.

The boxes labeled A, B and C on this chart indicate the first two years of the cyclical precious - metals bull markets of 1971 - 1974, 1976 - 1980 and 2001 - 2011, respectively.

Precious metals prices have been in a cyclical decline since mid-2011 — not unlike the last secular bull market in the 1970's — before gold's eight-fold rise less than two years later.

We believe a case can be made that the recent market peak signals the end of this historic cyclical bull run.

However, the age of this bull market does suggest risks are rising, and that to expect it to last much longer without a cyclical downturn would be stretching historical probability.

I'm fully aware of the cyclical nature of the commodities business, but clearly the greater the bull market, the more severe the bear market.

Such markets aren't steady declines; rather, it's an ongoing decline that's punctuated by furious short - term market rallies — called «cyclical bulls» — that fizzle out.

If July turns out to be the low point for this bear market, it will then mark the second highest level of valuation that a cyclical bull has ever started from (the highest starting valuation level was in 2003).

Essentially, a secular bull period comprises several cyclical bull - bear cycles, where each bull market achieves a successively higher level of market valuation at its peak.

Rick Rieder and Russ Brownback examine the more volatile cyclical dynamics we're likely to encounter in 2018, even as the secular risk - asset bull market remains in place.

Bull and Bear markets tend to be cyclical.

We view rapid flows into passive strategies as a cyclical phenomenon which invariably distorts equity valuations in the later stages of a bull market.

Grand bear markets can span decades and embed multiple cyclical bull - bear swings.

During secular bear markets, there are shorter - term cyclical bull (upside) moves, but the general trend is sideways and down.