The level of sunlight is very predictable as it varies with
cyclical changes in the shape of the Earth's orbit around the Sun and in the tilt of the Earth's axis, called Milankovitch cycles.
I probably need the Complete Idiot's Guide, but what I get out of this is, using the mean of the whole data set (if it does have an actual hocky stick
shape) as zero creates a higher horizontal line from which all the data vary
in various amounts & it tends to «pull up» the negative differences & makes the positive differences look not so big (or it makes all the data look on average equally large
in distance from the mean, both
in pos & neg directions), making the whole thing look like nothing much is happening, aside from
cyclical changes.