Sentences with phrase «cyclical factors»

The improvement in pension solvency is not simply a function of cyclical factors.
I have said that if a model is set up to match a certain signal (not just climate) yet matches a signal that contains an additional cyclical factor which can change that signal significantly over the short and medium term then you would not expect it to show great accuracy over the short to medium term.
There may be little improvement to Britain's underlying structural deficit as well, with figures at the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) warning that the current upturn is caused mostly by cyclical factors.
The main reason is that the recent fall in inflation — to an underlying rate of 3 to 3 1/2 per cent — reflects structural as well as cyclical factors.
The labor force participation rate has fallen due to cyclical factors such as workers temporarily dropping out of the workforce because of discouragement over job prospects, but also due to structural forces such as the Baby Boomers reaching retirement age and younger workers staying in school longer.
Two key cyclical factors have affected business investment in Canada since the Great Recession: sharp movements in commodity prices and the subdued pace of the US recovery.
The second cyclical factor that has had a major impact on our exports and business investment is the protracted recovery of the US economy — the slowest in the postwar period.10 When oil and other commodity prices rose in the years before the 2014 oil price shock, so did our dollar, making our non-commodity exports to the United States less competitive and reinforcing the ongoing shift from manufacturing to services.
While cyclical factors are supporting job creation, the drop in participation and slow wage growth are a multi-decade phenomenon.
«Without a doubt the industry has a large cyclical factor and investment of capital must be carefully monitored, but adequate returns can be earned if marketing and promotion of brands is correctly handled and capital not wasted,» he said.
«But some probably reflects cyclical factors, particularly the contraction of China's most energy - intensive sectors, which are unlikely to keep being repeated and may well unwind in future years,» he added.
It's proving in terms of broad conditions [such as, ocean average temperature which takes centuries to change and / or some other long cyclical factors], we are in a very cold part of our current Holocene.
While structural factors such as technological change - related disruptions and globalization will put a cap on underlying price pressures, the strength of cyclical factors will outweigh the structural factors, in our view.
Other than the supposed man - made linear trend L&S apply in Case 2 starting in 1950, and the two cyclical factors which cause zero long - term trend, this «natural» linear trend is the only factor included in the L&S model.
CREA is forecasting a record - setting year for residential real estate in Canada, but a new report from Scotia Economics says short - term cyclical factors are...
Estimating the CABB requires breaking down the budget balance into two components: the «structural balance» we would observe if the economy was operating at capacity and the cyclical factor.
Still, as I just noted, cyclical factors can explain only about half of the trade slowdown, so we have more explaining to do.
5) Four external forces will further impede U.S. growth: «a worsening eurozone crisis; an increasingly hard landing for China; a generalized slowdown of emerging - market economies, owing to cyclical factors (weak advanced - country growth) and structural causes (a state - capitalist model that reduces potential growth); and the risk of higher oil prices in 2013 as negotiations and sanctions fail to convince Iran to abandon its nuclear program.»
Many investors seem to believe that the cyclical factors that have brought valuations to the current precipice will maintain valuations at a permanently high plateau, or even allow them to advance indefinitely.
If the deficit were due to a recession, cyclical factors would return the budget to balance.
A third reason for the weaker than expected recovery likely lies in the interplay between secular and cyclical factors.
Cyclical factors are also affecting youth labor force participation.
The slowing of trade growth for countries in the region was dramatic, reflecting a combination of structural and cyclical factors.
«Cyclical factors have also hurt our current look - through earnings, but these factors do not reduce intrinsic value.»
The slow and halting recovery is partly the result of a number of cyclical factors that are taking years to sort out, including deleveraging in the private and public sectors.
It was a tough business in which to make profits consistently because of the cyclical factors involved in an agricultural industry, but adequate returns would come from well - managed businesses.
Felix has a new book soon to be published that addresses magnetic reversals, another cyclical factor affecting life on Earth.
CREA is forecasting a record - setting year for residential real estate in Canada, but a new report from Scotia Economics says short - term cyclical factors are consistent with a gradual cooling off in Canada's housing market over the next several years.
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