Sentences with phrase «cyclical trends in»

There is a counter cyclical trend in Israel than what you describe: it's become more conservative over time.

Data from Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) confirms this cyclical trend in furnishings and durable household equipment purchases.

Not exact matches

Comments: «We continue to believe that prospects remain good for economic growth to reassert itself as challenges are persistently met by concerted efforts of country officials and central bankers around the world aided and abetted by secular trends larger than the cyclical hurdles in the immediate path.

While most of his proposals — «to abandon the gold standard, let international exchange rates float, use federal surpluses and deficits as macroeconomic policy tools that could counter cyclical trends, and establish bureaus of economic statistics (including a consumer price index) in order to facilitate this effort» — are now conventional practice, his critique of fractional - reserve banking still «remains outside the bounds of conventional wisdom» although a recent paper by the IMF reinvigorated his proposals.

I would like to say a little more about it today and will divide the subject into two aspects: the shorter - term cyclical fluctuations in household credit growth, and the fact that various debt ratios have trended upwards over time.

The trend can be seen in both the supply of and demand for market - making services, and reflects both post-crisis cyclical conditions (such as diminished bank risk appetite and strong bond issuance) and structural changes in the markets themselves (such as tighter risk management or regulatory constraints).

After the third longest bull market advance on record, fresh deterioration in key trend - following components within our measures of market internals (see Support Drops Away) recently joined this extended, overvalued, overbought, overbullish peak, even as the S&P 500 hovers at the top of its monthly Bollinger bands (two standard deviations above the 20 - period average) and cyclical momentum rolls over from a 9 - year high.

The starting point is the cyclical view, and while the PMI has been in and out of contraction, the unemployment rate has fallen to 20 year lows so there is some positive trends underway in Japan's economy and this is likely part of the reason.

But even during this decade of underperformance, Japan has gone through cyclical fluctuations around that trend, and it is at least clear that they are in the upward phase of one of these cycles at the moment.

Even so, this rate remains 1.9 percentage points under the previous cyclical low early in 1994, reflecting the trend decline in bond yields over recent years.

The effects of interest rate changes in the 1990s are visible as cyclical rises and falls in debt servicing, around a slowly rising trend, caused by the increase in debt levels.

Cyclical markets, which often follow the business cycle, are shorter in duration and can move in opposition to the broader trend.

The trend in toys seems to be cyclical; many toys which I had as a child I've seen come back again and again, just with a modern take on them each time.

Fashion is nothing if not cyclical and there's no shortage of trends in the space, whether seemingly everywhere or micro ones that come and go in the blink of an eye.

And indeed, the brand's approach to making apparel has more in common with the iterative approach to product development embraced by the technology industry than the cyclical, trend - driven rhythm of the fashion industry.

Just as fashion is cyclical, trends in education reform return.

Expert analyses, provided by some of the most reputable names in the business, help identify perceived market trends, cyclical opportunities, and / or risks in the markets.

And while there are cyclical gyrations in the volatility of inflation and economic performance, there are also secular trends.

CWP actively manages sector allocation and opportunities to participate in defensive and cyclical trends given the relevant economic cycle

I analyze cyclical stocks by using Chuck Carnevale's F.A.S.T. Graphs to view earnings trends in multiple time frames, covering more than one business cycle.

However, trend following systems can capture cyclical opportunities in commodities because only price can respond to balance supply and demand.

Factors that could cause Blizzard Entertainment's actual future results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward - looking statements set forth in this release include, but are not limited to, sales of Blizzard Entertainment's titles, shifts in consumer spending trends, the seasonal and cyclical nature of the interactive game market, Blizzard Entertainment's ability to predict consumer preferences among competing hardware platforms (including next - generation hardware), declines in software pricing, product returns and price protection, product delays, retail acceptance of Blizzard Entertainment's products, adoption rate and availability of new hardware and related software, industry competition, rapid changes in technology and industry standards, protection of proprietary rights, litigation against Blizzard Entertainment, maintenance of relationships with key personnel, customers, vendors and third - party developers, domestic and international economic, financial and political conditions and policies, foreign exchange rates, integration of recent acquisitions and the identification of suitable future acquisition opportunities, Activision Blizzard's success in integrating the operations of Activision Publishing and Vivendi Games in a timely manner, or at all, and the combined company's ability to realize the anticipated benefits and synergies of the transaction to the extent, or in the timeframe, anticipated.

Given how much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere over short - term cool and hot spells in relation to global warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long graph of global temperature trends accounting for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers from the cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.

Quite a contrast to notable skeptics such as Joe Bastardi, who continues to suggest that the current downward trend in Arctic sea ice is simple cyclical thing and that there is no ice - free Arctic anywhere in our future whether it be 40 years or 240 years.

In particular, in the presence of a linear trend, low frequency (long period) cyclical features are obscureIn particular, in the presence of a linear trend, low frequency (long period) cyclical features are obscurein the presence of a linear trend, low frequency (long period) cyclical features are obscured.

It may help identify some cyclical signals buried in the noise, but using it as a tool to identify an overall trend is risky business.

My opinion expressed elsewhere is that almost all the temperature changes we observe over periods of less than a century are caused by cyclical changes in the rate of energy emission from the oceans with the solar effect only providing a slow background trend of warming or cooling for several centuries at a time.

If we look at the trends since records began, noting that there are longitudinal problems (changes in locations of weather stations, + UHI effects) and contamination by human analysts (data trickery), the trends seem cyclical in periods of around 60 years.

I mean, given the noise in the temperature data + assorted cyclical phenomena of various time scales, shouldn't someone have given a numerical estimate as to how long it would be before any warming trend could be detected with any statistical reliability?

However, the message was loud and clear, a cyclical global warming trend may be coming to an end for a variety of reasons, and a new cooling cycle could impact the energy markets in a big way.

As I look at the global mean temperature trend for the 20th century, I see a cyclical pattern as shown in the following graph.

But in each case those cyclical temperature trends were homogenized to look like the linear urbanized trend at Marysville.

UNless of couirse the climate is cyclical, in which case any sort of linear trend is wholly misleading.

Illulissat, Greenland) show a cyclical trend over the 20th century, with peaks reached in the late 1930s and 1940s.

Despite cyclical ups and downs, temps today are substantially lower than in the 1930s — a period of 80 years, not 10 years, of an overall downward trend in temps.

Other than the supposed man - made linear trend L&S apply in Case 2 starting in 1950, and the two cyclical factors which cause zero long - term trend, this «natural» linear trend is the only factor included in the L&S model.

The thing is that as regards the sequence of observed events leading to changes in tropospheric temperature trends and the cyclical poleward and equatorward shifts in the air circulation systems the NCM is pretty robust.

In fact, despite a certain warming trend is reproduced in the model, which appears to agree with the observations, the model simulation clearly fail in reproducing the cyclical dynamics of the climate that presents an evident quasi 60 - year cycle with peaks around 1880, 1940 and 200In fact, despite a certain warming trend is reproduced in the model, which appears to agree with the observations, the model simulation clearly fail in reproducing the cyclical dynamics of the climate that presents an evident quasi 60 - year cycle with peaks around 1880, 1940 and 200in the model, which appears to agree with the observations, the model simulation clearly fail in reproducing the cyclical dynamics of the climate that presents an evident quasi 60 - year cycle with peaks around 1880, 1940 and 200in reproducing the cyclical dynamics of the climate that presents an evident quasi 60 - year cycle with peaks around 1880, 1940 and 2000.

Instead, this analysis can easily end up attributing to a cyclical pattern what is more appropriately a part of a growing non-cyclical trend that might have in fact been properly identified by the IPCC.

The Second Supplement to Petition states: Adjustments that impart an ever - steeper upward trend in the data by removing the natural cyclical temperature patterns present in the data deprive the GAST products from NOAA, NASA and Hadley CRU of the credibility required for policymaking or climate modeling, particularly when they are relied on to drive trillions of dollars in expenditures.

His unspoken argument is that you have to take a temperature trend over complete cycle (s) in order to remove the cyclical effect: «To remove the warming rate due to the multidecadal oscillation of about 60 years cycle, least squares trend of 60 years period from 1945 to 2004 is calculated ``.

If a clean and transparent record still shows the kind of multi-decadal cyclical warming trends we see in the current surface records, then they are likely to have been meaningful, and we should try to understand them, rather than simply concentrating essentially all of our efforts on the last warming cycle.

Although it has been trending between 1.8 % and 2.1 % during the past year, the number of units under construction as of 1Q11 is down 57 % from its cyclical peak in 1Q08.

Unsold inventory has trended down from a record 4.04 million in July 2007; supplies reached a cyclical peak of 12.1 months in July 2010.

The share of homes sold without professional representation has trended lower since last reaching a cyclical peak of 18 percent in 1997.