Long - term trends: tropical
cyclone activity low in recent years, perhaps edging upwards again.
Not exact matches
Since the climate response to the North Atlantic SST anomalies is primarily forced at the
low latitudes and the AWP is in the path of or a birthplace for Atlantic tropical
cyclones, the influence of the AMO on Atlantic tropical
cyclone activity may operate through the mechanism of the AWP - induced atmospheric changes.
A tropical
cyclone is the generic term for a non-frontal synoptic scale
low - pressure system over tropical or sub-tropical waters with organized convection (i.e. thunderstorm
activity) and definite cyclonic surface wind circulation (Holland 1993).
While it is «likely» that anthropogenic influences are behind the changes in cold days and warm days, there is only «medium confidence» that they are behind changes in extreme rainfall events, and «
low confidence» in attributing any changes in tropical
cyclone activity to greenhouse gas emissions or anything else humanity has done.
The uncertainties in the historical tropical
cyclone records, the incomplete understanding of the physical mechanisms linking tropical
cyclone metrics to climate change, and the degree of tropical
cyclone variability provide only
low confidence for the attribution of any detectable changes in tropical
cyclone activity to anthropogenic influences.
In looking at the accumulated
cyclone energy index, COAPS at Florida State University noted that this was the
lowest year for
activity in the Northern Hemisphere since 1977, as the Atlantic, western Pacific and Eastern Pacific were all below normal in their
activity.
Tropical
cyclone activity was
low everywhere, except in the Atlantic, where according to NOAA «near - record high hurricane
activity» was recorded.
Wang, X. L., Y. Feng, G. P. Compo, V. R. Swail, F. W. Zwiers, R. J. Allan, and P. D. Sardeshmukh, 2012: Trends and
low frequency variability of extra-tropical
cyclone activity in the ensemble of twentieth century reanalysis.
As the IPCC special report on extreme events put it «There is
low confidence in any observed long - term (i.e., 40 years or more) increases in tropical
cyclone activity (i.e., intensity, frequency, duration), after accounting for past changes in observing capabilities.»
In 2011, a new study found that «overall global tropical
cyclone activity has decreased to historically
low levels during the past five years.»
Global tropical
cyclone activity is near historic
lows, the frequency of major U.S. hurricanes has declined, and big tornados have dramatically declined since the 1970s.
Tied for fourth
lowest sea ice extent, in a three - way tie for
lowest sea ice volume, the fastest one month sea ice loss for the date, and unusual Arctic
cyclone activity affecting the decayed ice of the polar regions, focus just on the lake too trivializes what's happening in a region the size of the Arctic Ocean.
A tropical
cyclone is a
low pressure system over tropical or sub-tropical waters, with convection (i.e. thunderstorm
activity) and winds at
low levels, circulating either anti-clockwise (in the northern hemisphere) or clockwise (in the southern hemisphere).
The southern hemisphere tropical
cyclone season normally runs from November to April and so far this season
activity in the South Pacific Ocean has been relatively
low.