Cyclone Center's primary goal is to resolve discrepancies in the recent global TC record arising principally from inconsistent development of tropical
cyclone intensity data.
Not exact matches
Of course, since hurricanes and tropical storms are all just degrees of
intensity of the same type of storm — tropical
cyclones — and since there are a very limited number of
data points of one limits the
data to hurricanes, it makes sense to include tropical storms.
«The IPCC hierarchy had its mind made up years ago to make every attempt possible to link rising levels of CO2 with increases in global hurricane
intensity and frequency... Input from skeptics or any hypothesis or
data that did not link rises in CO2 to increases in tropical
cyclone activity was to be avoided, suppressed, or rejected.»
It's difficult to say what the trends are in
cyclone intensity in the South Pacific, as only limited
data are available since the 1980s.
Many previous studies» assertions about increases in global
cyclone intensity were made without taking into account the quality of the
data and have been largely dismissed.
Another presenter at the session, Paul Chang, a project scientist who studies satellite ocean surface wind
data at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Center for Weather and Climate Prediction in College Park, Md., said that the current method that is largely used by U.S. scientists in this area of research, known as the Dvorak technique, employs satellite imagery to estimate tropical
cyclone intensity but is imprecise and subjective.
However, relevant questions linking tropical
cyclones and lightning in the inner core remain: Considering the limitations of lightning
data, the importance of environmental factors, and the changing climate, how significant is the information provided by episodic discharges in the inner core for forecasting the
intensity change?
Together, the lightning and microwave
data can track a range of parameters, including
intensity changes in tropical
cyclones; past research has shown that
intensity changes are related to the density of lightning strokes [e.g., Solorzano et al., 2008; DeMaria et al., 2012].
While computer models suggested that global warming should cause an increase in
cyclone intensity, e.g., Evans et al., 1994 (Open access), the historical
data showed no obvious link between the
intensity of a tropical
cyclone and the temperatures where it formed, e.g., Evans, 1993 (Open access).
Similarly, as we mentioned in Section 2, Evans, 1993 (Open access) was unable to find any obvious link in the historical
data between the
intensity of a tropical
cyclone and the temperatures where it formed.
States trends in tropical
cyclone intensity of less obvious over the rest of the tropics due to
data limitations
The Potential
Intensity (PI) of tropical
cyclones (Emanuel, 2003) can be computed from observational
data based primarily on vertical profiles of temperature and humidity (see Box 3.5) and on SSTs.
The method is a way to estimate the maximum surface sustained wind over one minute which is the most significant
data of a
cyclone intensity.
«There is no compelling evidence to indicate that the characteristics of tropical and extratropical storms have changed... Owing to incomplete
data and limited and conflicting analyses, it is uncertain as to whether there have been any long - term and large - scale increases in the
intensity and frequency of extra-tropical
cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere.
[1981] demonstrated that even when numerous ships and buoys are in a strong tropical
cyclone, the actual
intensity is likely to be drastically underestimated without aircraft or satellite
data.