The extension of
cyclone seasons by weeks or months?
But about the cooling upper ocean, I took Stephen's comment to be referring to the fact that cyclones funtion as gigantic heat engines that draw heat from the upper ocean, so perhaps the ultimate effect of highly active
cyclone seasons is a cooler SST.
Cody, your explanation exactly states my premise: «But about the cooling upper ocean, I took Stephen's comment to be referring to the fact that cyclones funtion as gigantic heat engines that draw heat from the upper ocean, so perhaps the ultimate effect of highly active
cyclone seasons is a cooler SST.»
Accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) is a measure used by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to express the activity of individual tropical cyclones and entire tropical
cyclone seasons, * particularly the North Atlantic hurricane season.
Adam Lea @ 293, I was careful only to set out the coincidence of AGW arriving with a period containing more - than - average stormy Atlantic
cyclone seasons.
It is the strongest storm of the 2005 - 06 Southern Hemisphere tropical
cyclone season thus far, and one of the strongest tropical cyclones ever recorded in the Southern Hemisphere.
The Central Pacific also saw an above - average tropical
cyclone season, with 14 named storms, eight hurricanes, and five major hurricanes, the most active season since reliable record - keeping began in 1971.
If in Brunei try to surf during
cyclone season because even when the spot is working well, it is likely to be very quiet.
These events included historic droughts in East Africa, the southern United States and northern Mexico; an above - average tropical
cyclone season in the North Atlantic hurricane basin and a below - average season in the eastern North Pacific; and the wettest two - year period (2010 — 2011) on record in Australia.
TheWashington Post's Jason Samenow described it as «the most extreme tropical
cyclone season on record in the Northern Hemisphere.»
Figure 1: (A) Average surge index over
the cyclone season.
It has been an unusually quiet tropical
cyclone season in the Southern Hemisphere this year, as we discussed in detail in a February 28 post.
(12/16/2009) In the midst of
cyclone season, a «dead» period for tourism to Madagascar's east coast, Vohémar, a sleepy town dominated by the vanilla trade, is abuzz.
«We foresee another very active Atlantic basin tropical
cyclone season in 2006,» states a report from a team including long - time forecasting guru William Gray of Colorado State University.
The southern hemisphere tropical
cyclone season normally runs from November to April and so far this season activity in the South Pacific Ocean has been relatively low.
Not exact matches
In advance of the upcoming
season of heavy rain and
cyclones, Canada's contribution...
While the Longhorns swept the
season series, dropping this one to the
Cyclones in Kansas City would be the dreaded «late bad loss» all bubble teams seek to avoid.
The
Cyclones wore black armbands the rest of the 1923 football
season, and Coach Willaman posthumously awarded Trice a varsity letter, which he mailed to Jack's mother.
Though the
Cyclones were without their third leading scorer, Georges Niang, Kane had his best game of the
season, recording a near triple double (24 points, 10 boards, 7 assists).
All
season, Lazard played like he had a chip on his shoulder with the
Cyclones, shucking off bump - and - run coverage and engaging physical corners.
Kansas St. continues their undefeated
season as they survive a scare in Iowa as the Iowa St.
Cyclones give the Wildcats all they could handle.
Tonight they head into the post
season for the first time since 1999, they will play the Brooklyn
Cyclones.
Gabriele Villarini, UI associate professor of civil and environmental engineering and corresponding author on the paper, says researchers honed in on predicting the impacts of tropical
cyclones because that information is generally more useful than typical forecasts that predict how many storms are expected in a
season.
Webster is now studying the duration of the hurricane
season each year, from the first tropical
cyclone to the last.
With the Nov. 30 end of the 2014 hurricane
season just weeks away, a University of Iowa researcher and his colleagues have found that North Atlantic tropical
cyclones in fact have a significant effect on the Midwest.
There could still be a late surprise in the June 1 - November 30
season, since the
cyclone that mushroomed into Superstorm Sandy was just revving up at this time last year.
The ACE index is used to calculate the intensity of the hurricane
season and is a function of the wind speed and duration of each tropical
cyclone.
The Accumulated
Cyclone Energy (ACE) index of tropical
cyclone activity also indicated a below - average
season in the North Atlantic.
The number of tropical
cyclones was more than the eight that occurred during the 2014
season.
NOAA has issued its annual forecast for the hurricane
season, along with its now - standard explanation that there is a natural cycle of multidecadal (40 - 60 year) length in the North Atlantic circulation (often referred to as the «Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation» — see Figure), that is varying the frequency of Atlantic tropical
cyclones, and that the present high level of activity is due to a concurrent positive peak in this oscillation.
Those conditions just tend to be more favorable during the officially recognized six - month
season, which encompasses about 97 percent of tropical
cyclone activity in the Atlantic.
March is still part of the peak rainy
season, although there is a lesser risk of being caught in a
cyclone.
According to Accuweather, however, hurricane
season in the Central Pacific lasts from approximately June 1 to November 3, with the chances of a tropical
cyclone peaking in August.
This is also rainy
season and December to March carries a greater risk of
cyclones.
Summer (Green
Season): December - February These months sometimes experience the highest rainfall, and can also be accompanied by thunderstorms and the occasional tropical
cyclone.
They add that this slow pace currently makes the trend undetectable due to inadequate long - term records and the considerable variance in
cyclone activity from
season to
season.
The clear seasonality in TCs («hurricane
season») with highest activities during the summer is one of the strongest pieces of empirical evidence that higher temperatures give more favourable conditions for tropical
cyclones (After all, TCs only form in the warm tropics...).
NOAA also forecasts a high hurricane activity for the remainder of the
season, and time will show if this
season will match the 2004 in terms of number of tropical
cyclones.
I can't find good numbers, but I'd guess that cold -
season extratropical
cyclones probably cause > US$ 2B in damage a year and, with the exception of the years with Camille, Agnes, and Katrina, have killed more people almost every year in the last 40 years.
I wonder if the fact the higher SSTs will lead to somewhat longer
seasons (and 2005 certainly had that), and larger sea - surface area where TCs might form, would serve to counteract the effect you describe, and still lead, net - net, to an increase in the number of tropical
cyclones with higher SSTs.
In addition, statistics on the
seasons of tropical
cyclone genesis and their landfall locations from AD 1945 — 2013 in the Northwest Pacific Ocean region reveal that in summer, tropical
cyclones tend to make landfall along coastal regions north of Fujian Province, eastern China; however, in autumn and winter,
cyclones tend to be guided further southward to make landfall in southern China (Hainan), Vietnam, and the Philippines.
For example, as I mentioned in the earlier post, wind shear can cap the rising air in a
cyclone, choking it off, preventing a full - blown tropical
cyclone from forming — this is one reason we've seen fewer hurricanes in the Atlantic this
season.
«In the North Atlantic region, where tropical
cyclone records are longer and generally of better quality than elsewhere, power dissipation by tropical
cyclones is highly correlated with sea surface temperature during hurricane
season in the regions where storms typically develop»
As NOAA explains «The ACE index is used to calculate the intensity of the hurricane
season and is a function of the wind speed and duration of each tropical
cyclone.»
The team then compared the oxygen isotope ratio for each year's wet
season from 1990 to 2010 with a
cyclone activity index of the average accumulated energy expended, based on factors such as number of
cyclones,
cyclone strength, size and time on storm track.
When we get a arctic
season with great
cyclones, those
cyclones can lead to a break up of the ice (more lateral melting), If currents conspire we end up with more transport out of the arctic (ice then melts in the warmer water), and we get Eckmen pumping and more ice melts.
Except for 2012 (monster winter
cyclone storm broke up the ice pushing it into warmer waters — NASA concurs), 2007 marked a turning point — a reversal in the long downward trend of the summer melt
season.
It could be a simple event such as extreme precipitation or a tropical
cyclone or a more complex sequence of a late onset of the monsoon coupled with prolonged dry spells within the rainy
season.
2013: The first
cyclone only formed in earnest by May 25th after which the cyclonic weather pattern dominated most of the remaining melting
season.
As the ITCZ migrates more than 500 kilometres (300 mi) from the equator during the respective hemisphere's summer
season, increasing Coriolis force makes the formation of tropical
cyclones within this zone more possible.