In addition, climate change is very likely to lead to more frequent extreme heat events and
daily precipitation extremes over most areas of North America, more frequent low snow years, and shifts towards earlier snowmelt runoff over much of the western US and Canada (high confidence).
«We show that at the present - day warming of 0.85 °C about 18 % of the moderate
daily precipitation extremes over land are attributable to the observed temperature increase since pre-industrial times, which in turn primarily results from human influence,» the research team said.
Not exact matches
Durman, C.F., et al., 2001: A comparison of
extreme European
daily precipitation simulated by a global model and regional climate model for present and future climates.
Because of the limited availability of
daily observations, however, most previous studies have examined only the potential detectability of changes in
extreme precipitation through model — model comparisons (12 — 15).
In particular, the report authors predicted that with climate change there would be an increase in certain types of
extreme weather, including
daily high temperatures, heat waves, heavy
precipitation and droughts, in some places.
The
extremes considered are for weather elements that are monitored
daily, such as temperature and
precipitation.
Figure 9.6: Maps show the increase in frequency of
extreme daily precipitation events (a
daily amount that now occurs just once in 20 years) by the later part of this century (2081 - 2100) compared to the latter part of the last century (1981 - 2000).
Evidence that
extreme precipitation is increasing is based primarily on analysis1, 2,3 of hourly and
daily precipitation observations from the U.S. Cooperative Observer Network, and is supported by observed increases in atmospheric water vapor.4 Recent publications have projected an increase in
extreme precipitation events, 1,5 with some areas getting larger increases6 and some getting decreases.7, 2
Yearly maxima of the
daily precipitation and wadi flow for varying return periods were compared for observed and projected data by fitting the generalized
extreme value (GEV) distribution function.
Figure 2.19: Maps show the increase in frequency of
extreme daily precipitation events (a
daily amount that now occurs once in 20 years) by the later part of this century (2081 - 2100) compared to the later part of last century (1981 - 2000).
A summary of the report released in November predicts an increase in certain types of
extreme weather, including
daily high temperatures, heat waves, heavy
precipitation and droughts, in some places.
Presents the trends in
daily and
extreme temperature and
precipitation indices in the Caribbean region for records spanning the 1961 — 2010 and 1986 — 2010 intervals
We examine a range of climate
extremes, comprising the 10th and 90th percentiles of daily maximum (TX) and minimum (TN) temperatures, the 90th percentile of daily precipitation (PR90), and the 27 core Climate Daily Extremes (CLIMDEX)
extremes, comprising the 10th and 90th percentiles of
daily maximum (TX) and minimum (TN) temperatures, the 90th percentile of daily precipitation (PR90), and the 27 core Climate Daily Extremes (CLIMDEX) ind
daily maximum (TX) and minimum (TN) temperatures, the 90th percentile of
daily precipitation (PR90), and the 27 core Climate Daily Extremes (CLIMDEX) ind
daily precipitation (PR90), and the 27 core Climate
Daily Extremes (CLIMDEX) ind
Daily Extremes (CLIMDEX)
Extremes (CLIMDEX) indices.
In
extreme seasons — when
precipitation falls infrequently — July and August
daily high temperatures could average between 100 and 110 degrees Fahrenheit in cities such as Chicago, Washington, and Atlanta.
A set of long, nearly complete
daily precipitation series for Alaska spanning the latter half of the 20th century has been analyzed for seasonal relationships between variations in mean, heavy, and
extreme precipitation and large - scale atmospheric circulation variations at interannual, decadal, and secular timescales.
Indicators based on
daily precipitation data show more mixed patterns of change but significant increases have been seen in the
extreme amount derived from wet spells and number of heavy rainfall events.
Wang, J. & Zhang, X. Downscaling and projection of winter
extreme daily precipitation over North America.
The recurrence of
extreme - to - heavy
precipitation is notoriously hard to predict, yet cost — benefit estimates of mitigation and successful climate adaptation will need reliable information about percentiles for
daily precipitation.
Analysis of
extreme precipitation simulated by climate models has included the
daily variability of anomalous
precipitation (Zwiers and Kharin, 1998; McGuffie et al., 1999; Kharin and Zwiers, 2000), patterns of heavy rainfall (Bhaskran and Mitchell, 1998; Zhao et al., 2000b), as well as wet and dry spells (Thorncroft and Rowell, 1998; McGuffie et al., 1999).