The amount of warming c.q. climate sensitivity will not much interest politicians, until they understand that it's very very very probable that it will remain below their self - defined
danger threshold of 2 C.
When I was tested for arsenic, my level was 12 parts per billion, safely under the official
danger threshold of 23 ppb.
Not exact matches
Under current policies, the IEA puts the chances
of holding global temperature increases to less than 2 degrees — the
threshold at which global warming tips us into the
danger zone — at a scant 2 percent.
But aside from this factor, individuals have different
thresholds, even with regard to acting and reacting in the face
of grave
danger.
Are we going to be prepared as we find ourselves at the
threshold of the century fast approaching us with its opportunities and
dangers?
The new report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), published on Sunday in Berlin, Germany, says «widespread» use
of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) will probably be needed to stop the world warming by 2 °C, the politically agreed
danger threshold.
Larval oysters and mussels are so sensitive to the saturation state (which is lowered by increasing CO2) that the
threshold for
danger will be crossed «decades to centuries,» says Waldbusser, ahead
of when CO2 increases (and pH decreases) alone would pose a threat to bivalve larvae.
Now a study has identified what appears to be a universal
threshold for
danger: when the biomass
of so - called forage fish drops below one - third
of its maximum, seabirds
of many species start to have fewer chicks.
Species loss has pushed ecosystems past a
danger threshold across more than half
of the terrestrial world
Richard Betts, the head
of the climate impacts section
of Britain's Met Office, recently left a comment on the «skeptic» * blog Bishop Hill stating that
thresholds for climate
danger, such as the much ballyhooed 2 - degree limit enshrined in recent climate pledges, were not determined by science:
This is the difference between countries» pledged commitments to reduce emissions
of heat - trapping greenhouse gases after 2020 and scientifically calculated trajectories giving good odds
of keeping global warming below the
threshold for
danger countries pledged to try to avoid in climate talks in 2010 (to «hold the increase in global average temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels»).
The declaration said that the I.P.C.C. and other studies pointed to clear - cut ecological and social
dangers above a
threshold of about 3 degrees Fahrenheit
of additional warming.
Called the Newfoundland Offshore Burn Experiment, the joint Canadian and American project concluded that combustion consumed most
of the more problematic compounds and the levels
of harmful compounds in smoke were below
danger thresholds outside 150 yards
of so
of the fire zone.
Both papers come to the same broad conclusion, summarized in our figure, that unless humankind puts on the brakes very quickly and aggressively (i.e. global reductions
of 80 % by 2050), we face a high probability
of driving climate beyond a 2 °C
threshold taken by both studies as a «
danger limit».
Of course, most of these results also underscore that even the aspirational 2 ° threshold raises danger levels substantiall
Of course, most
of these results also underscore that even the aspirational 2 ° threshold raises danger levels substantiall
of these results also underscore that even the aspirational 2 °
threshold raises
danger levels substantially.
Species loss has pushed ecosystems past a
danger threshold across more than half
of the terrestrial world
Threshold Reliability: Paragraphs 26 — 32
Threshold reliability is established when the hearsay «is sufficiently reliable to overcome the
dangers arising from the difficulty
of testing it» (Paragraph 26 AND Khelawon, at para. 49).