They used the NASA King Air aircraft to collect data profiles in the same regions the G - 1 aircraft sampled
data on aerosol properties.
The data on aerosols and non-CO2 GHG's are speculative and include some relatively short wavelength variation which confuses the analysis, in my view.
Not exact matches
By analyzing satellite
data and other measures, Daniel and his colleagues found that such
aerosols have been
on the rise in Earth's atmosphere in the past decade, nearly doubling in concentration.
The conclusions are based
on observed gas and
aerosol composition, humidity and temperature data collected at a site in rural Alabama as part of the Southern Oxidant and Aerosol Study
aerosol composition, humidity and temperature
data collected at a site in rural Alabama as part of the Southern Oxidant and
Aerosol Study
Aerosol Study (SOAS).
Yu and his colleagues analyzed dust transport estimates based
on data collected by NASA's Cloud -
Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observation (CALIPSO) satellite between 2007 and 2013.
This mission is fulfilled by operating atmospheric observatories around the world that collect massive amounts of atmospheric measurements to provide
data products that help scientists study the effects and interactions of clouds and
aerosols and their impact
on the earth's energy balance.
What's next: The team is working to gather additional field
data and perform further simulations to accurately address
aerosol effects
on clouds.
During ISDAC, they collected an unprecedented level of
data and detailed observations
on Arctic clouds and
aerosols, those tiny particles in the atmosphere that act as seeds for cloud droplets and ice crystals.
The ARM
data will provide more detailed measurements of both
aerosols and clouds to assist the research team in quantifying the impacts of
aerosols on precipitation under a variety of atmospheric and pollution conditions.
ICARUS is gathering
data on surface radiation, heat fluxes, and vertical profiles of the basic atmospheric state (temperature, humidity, and horizontal wind), as well as turbulence,
aerosol properties, and cloud properties.
The upper tail is particularly long in studies using diagnostics based
on large - scale mean
data because separation of the greenhouse gas response from that to
aerosols or climate variability is more difficult with such diagnostics (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Gregory et al., 2002a; Knutti et al., 2002, 2003).
Forster and Gregory (2006) estimate ECS based
on radiation budget
data from the ERBE combined with surface temperature observations based
on a regression approach, using the observation that there was little change in
aerosol forcing over that time.
As I said to Andy Revkin (and he published
on his blog), the additional decade of temperature
data from 2000 onwards (even the AR4 estimates typically ignored the post-2000 years) can only work to reduce estimates of sensitivity, and that's before we even consider the reduction in estimates of negative
aerosol forcing, and additional forcing from black carbon (the latter being very new, is not included in any calculations AIUI).
As to actual
data you may want to search
on the recent
data regarding the surface accumulation in the Canadian and Alaskan Arctic by NASA and the NOAA US Western coastline
aerosol detection stations regarding
aerosol precipitation fallout being detected there.
Either «something» caused that and, not being man - made GHGs or (obviously) sulphate
aerosols, it would be quite safe to call it a natural phenomenon Well, if you insist
on looking at individual years and * not * smoothing the
data at all, then given that interannual variability can quite easily be.15 oC, we can take.3 oC away as it is meaningless chaos and not indicative of a trend.
It's certainly a large black box if one must rely
on my knowlege of the existing
data about the role of
aerosols in forcing.
My longstanding concern has centered
on the sources of
aerosol data.
The meeting included focus sessions
on computational methods for modeling and handling large amounts of
data, characterizing uncertainty, research
on dust and
aerosols, soils, urban systems and individual topics that are too numerous to list, from science communication and stellar astrophysics to biogeochemistry.
Given our very short and spotty
data on the relative abundance (or importance) of the majority of these
aerosols, and given our very poor understanding of the direct, indirect, and side effects of the majority of these
aerosols, any numbers that anyone generates about their abundance, importance, or total radiative forcing are going to be a SWAG.
That means: in fairness, at a minimum, you need to give modelers credit for trying to provide true forcasts based
on the forcing estimates for
aerosols, and those forecasts were tested against
data.
In addition to producing full, up - to - date and compelling views of our planet, the images taken by EPIC will provide scientists with valuable atmospheric
data on the ozone, plant cover,
aerosols and clouds.
If analysis of historical
data on GHG rise and net effects of
aerosols establishes beta = 0.5, then TCR = 1.2 C. But, beta is uncertain and might be as low as 0.4, in which case TCR = 1.3 C. But, TCR (1 + beta) = 1.8 C and only has uncertainty introduced by uncertainty in the historical GMST and CO2 level rise.
We are more sure, given the total
data, of GHE and its dominant influence
on GMT when taken with
aerosols than we are of the Higgs boson, by far.
The optical thickness for Santa Maria (0.55 times that of Pinatubo) has comparable
aerosol amount in both hemispheres based
on ice core
data.
The emission
data on the RCPs were harmonized and downscaled (to a 0.5 × 0.5 grid) for air pollutants, i.e.
aerosols and tropospheric ozone precursors.
I may be missing something but, looking at these
data, I once again find myself unable to believe that the much more scattered industrial
aerosols may have had as strong an effect
on the global temperatures as the IPCC claims.
Investigating the quality of modelled
aerosol profiles based
on combined lidar and sunphotometer
data
Siomos, N., Balis, D. S., Poupkou, A., Liora, N., Dimopoulos, S., Melas, D., Giannakaki, E., Filioglou, M., Basart, S., and Chaikovsky, A.: Investigating the quality of modeled
aerosol profiles based
on combined lidar and sunphotometer
data, Atmos.
The 2014 Biogenic
Aerosols — Effects
on Clouds and Climate (BAECC) field campaign in Finland has provided rich
data on processes related to
aerosol, cloud, and snow formation.
One of the persistent problems with the models is that the
aerosol forcing history is not only made up based
on flimsy evidence (just take a look at it in the IPCC reports — does that look like
data to you?)
Data on non-sulphur
aerosols are sparse and highly speculative, but in terms of global sulphur emissions, these appear to have declined from a range of 75 ± 10 MtS in 1990 to 55 — 62 MtS in 2000.
lindaserena said «Isn't the Aldrin paper based
on AR4
aerosol forcing
data and wouldn't their sensitivity estimate require a further reduction for the new
data?
lindaserena «Isn't the Aldrin paper based
on AR4
aerosol forcing
data and wouldn't their sensitivity estimate require a further reduction for the new
data?
Given bounds
on volcanic /
aerosols, solar, and GHG concentrations, some completely unknown cause is needed for the MWP to have been as warm as now... That is, at least by eyeball, the higher edges of M&W's MWP uncertainty ranges either require throwing out a lot of
data or maybe bending conservation of energy.
Isn't the Aldrin paper based
on AR4
aerosol forcing
data and wouldn't their sensitivity estimate require a further reduction for the new
data?
-- the behaviour of large influences
on temperature has to be guessed (e.g. clouds)-- historical
data are inadequate to estimate the size of other influences (
aerosols)-- we don't know if we have even identified all the factors (forcings) involved, and of those already identified, not all are included in the models.
1) There is insufficient information available
on things like ocean heat uptake in 1950 and
data on the actual
aerosol offsets at that time to make a reliable estimate of the attribution to CO2.
The net impact
on temperature attributed to each different forcing, solar, ghg (co2, methane), volcanic,
aerosol, albedo whatever are based
on historical temp
data and checked for accuracy against models yes?
This mission is fulfilled by operating atmospheric observatories around the world that collect massive amounts of atmospheric measurements to provide
data products that help scientists study the effects and interactions of clouds and
aerosols and their impact
on the earth's energy balance.
In the article «Global atmospheric particle formation from CERN CLOUD measurements,» sciencemag.org, 49 authors concluded «Atmospheric
aerosol nucleation has been studied for over 20 years, but the difficulty of performing laboratory nucleation - rate measurements close to atmospheric conditions means that global model simulations have not been directly based
on experimental
data.....
The added value of this scenario is the continuation of the
aerosol data record, with the ability to lunar - calibrate APS
on the free flyer.
three are based
on global - mean only
data (with two of them assuming an ECS of 3 °C when estimating
aerosol forcing).
Novakov, T., S. Menon, T.W. Kirchstetter, D. Koch, and J.E. Hansen, 2007: Reply to comment by R.L. Tanner and D.J. Eatough
on «
Aerosol organic carbon to black carbon ratios: Analysis of published
data and implications for climate forcing».
«When the
data are adjusted to remove the estimated impact of known factors
on short - term temperature variations (El Nino / southern oscillation, volcanic
aerosols and solar variability), the global warming signal becomes even more evident as noise is reduced.»
Ken, I agree your slope trends apart from Anthro
aerosol, where I think you may have made some mistake, based
on regressing
on annual 1900 - 2005
data.
In addition to the
data from the radiometers, the Berkeley Lab scientists will get supplemental
data by taking advantage of a separate, in - depth DOE climate study at the same location, which is using additional instruments and a balloon - borne sounding system to get information
on temperature, cloud cover, the density and types of
aerosols or pollution particles, heat fluxes and other climate variables like precipitation.
If you see such claims followed up by similar
aerosol - based claims
on hurricanes and SSTs in a science express paper, using apparently out - of - date methods and models and
data, you have to wonder why — and why didn't the reviewers raise these questions?
The climate feedbacks involved with these changes, which are key in understanding the climate system as a whole, include: + the importance of
aerosol absorption
on climate + the impact of
aerosol deposition which affects biology and, hence, emissions of
aerosols and
aerosol precursors via organic nitrogen, organic phosphorus and iron fertilization + the importance of land use and land use changes
on natural and anthropogenic
aerosol sources + the SOA sources and impact
on climate, with special attention
on the impact human activities have
on natural SOA formation In order to quantitatively answer such questions I perform simulations of the past, present and future atmospheres, and make comparisons with measurements and remote sensing
data, all of which help understand, evaluate and improve the model's parameterizations and performance, and our understanding of the Earth system.
Global
data on anthropogenic
aerosols is poor to non-existent, but I would content that reductions in
aerosols were a significant driver of low level cloud decreases over the 1975 to 2000 period, and hence atmospheric temperatures.
Now there were two papers put out by a Swiss team (you should know who)
on consideration of European warming where they argued that natural effects could be ruled out; the first paper argued for strong water vapour feedback causing the 1980 to 1998 temperature rise and the later paper, using exactly the same
data, argued for a reduction in
aerosols causing a recovery in temperatures over the same period.