It's hard to imagine how Cowtan and Way could determine with any degree of certainty how «the hybrid method works best over land and most importantly sea ice» when there is so little surface air temperature
data over sea ice.
Not exact matches
«We can also combine that
data with projections of
sea ice, to predict how much more or less it will cost these animals to make a living
over the next century,» Fischbach says.
That corresponds to a roughly 3 1/2 week shift at either end — and seven weeks of total loss of good
sea ice habitat for polar bears —
over the 35 years of Arctic
sea ice data.
Pettersen is hopeful that, with more
data analysis
over longer periods of time, researchers will find more answers yet to account for the melting
ice sheet and the subsequent
sea level rise that has already had an impact on regions across the planet.
«The unmanned SRB buoy we built made it possible for the first time to generate continuous
data on albedo and other properties of
sea ice over a long period,» says Dr Gerland.
Satellites from NASA and other agencies have been tracking
sea ice changes since 1979, and the
data show that Arctic
sea ice has been shrinking at an average rate of about 20,500 square miles (53,100 square kilometers) per year
over the 1979 - 2015 period.
Scientists have decades of
data documenting the bears, and Lentfer says that the bears» weights have been dropping
over the past 25 years, indicating that they're having trouble hunting seals on
sea ice.
The GRACE observations
over Antarctica suggest a near - zero change due to combined
ice and solid earth mass redistribution; the magnitude of our GIA correction is substantially smaller than previous models have suggested and hence we produce a systematically lower estimate of
ice mass change from GRACE
data: we estimate that Antarctica has lost 69 ± 18 Gigatonnes per year (Gt / yr) into the oceans
over 2002 - 2010 — equivalent to +0.19 mm / yr globally - averaged
sea level change, or about 6 % of the
sea - level change during that period.
Data taken
over the past decade indicate that when a lot of Arctic
sea ice disappears in the summer, the vortex has a tendency to weaken
over the subsequent winter.»
Over the past three decades, the summer Arctic
sea ice extent has declined roughly 40 percent, and the
ice has lost significant volume, according to
data from the Polar Science Center.
A new paper that combines paleoclimatology
data for the last 56 million years with molecular genetic evidence concludes there were no biological extinctions [of Arctic marine animals]
over the last 1.5 M years despite profound Arctic
sea ice changes that included
ice - free summers: polar bears, seals, walrus and other species successfully adapted to habitat changes that exceeded those predicted by USGS and US Fish and Wildlife polar bear biologists
over the next 100 years.
NEW evidence has cast doubt on claims that the world's
ice - caps are melting, it emerged last night. Satellite
data shows that concerns
over the levels of
sea ice may have been premature. It was feared that the polar caps were vanishing because of the effects of global warming. But figures from the respected US National -LSB-...]
And remember, the satellite
data are one small part of a vast amount of
data that overwhelmingly show our planet is warming up: retreating glaciers, huge amounts of
ice melting at both poles, the «death spiral» of arctic
ice every year at the summer minimum
over time, earlier annual starts of warm weather and later starts of cold weather, warming oceans, rising
sea levels, ocean acidification, more extreme weather, changing weather patterns overall, earlier snow melts, and lower snow cover in the spring...
In addition to extending ICESat's
data record
over land and
sea ice, IceBridge will also help set the stage for ICESat - 2 by measuring
ice the satellite will fly
over.
Meanwhile, global
sea ice has remained virtually unchanged for the last 30 years of satellite
data, and has increased in the arctic
over the last three years, making one wonder where the «enormous» heating is taking place.
They applied a new method that fills in missing temperatures
over sea ice by combining satellite
data for missing areas with a method known as «kriging,» which calculates missing
data by checking nearby temperature station readings.
Actually Fielding's use of that graph is quite informative of how denialist arguments are framed — the selected bit of a selected graph (and don't mention the fastest warming region on the planet being left out of that
data set), or the complete passing
over of short term variability vs longer term trends, or the other measures and indicators of climate change from ocean heat content and
sea levels to changes in
ice sheets and minimum
sea ice levels, or the passing
over of issues like lag time between emissions and effects on temperatures... etc..
Arctic «
sea ice extent has varied naturally
over the decades with some Russian
data suggesting similar or even greater
ice loss in some local areas in the 1930s» — Analysis of Arctic
ice: «Russian
data shows that the [Arctic]
ice was just as thin in 1940 as it is now.
The area of Arctic
sea ice was nearly 30 % greater in August than a year ago, according to recent satellite
data, though projections based on longer - term trends suggest the
sea ice will continue its decline
over time.
Only about 818,000 square miles of the ocean around Antarctica was frozen
over with
sea ice on March 1, according to data analyzed and published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSID
ice on March 1, according to
data analyzed and published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSI
data analyzed and published by the National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSID
Ice Data Center (NSI
Data Center (NSIDC).
Snow depth
over sea ice data You might be surprised to find out how few
data on snow depth
over sea ice exists (i.e., actual observations or measurements), apart from measurements that ringed seal researchers have collected.
Satellite
data reveal how the new record low Arctic
sea ice extent, from Sept. 16, 2012, compares to the average minimum extent
over the past 30 years (in yellow).
Snow depth
over sea ice in spring affects the hunting success of polar bears on ringed seal (Phoca hispida) pups, but the relationship is more complicated than you might think and there is less
data on this phenomenon than you would believe.
Onshore measurements had to be used as a proxy for on -
ice snow depth, since there are no
data for snow depth
over sea ice on Hudson Bay.
However the model structure, assumptions, and
data assimilation methods, whatever their uncertainties and differences, are better than extrapolation or kriging
over long distances or across land /
sea /
ice boundaries.
A look at the plotted
data over the past 20 years tells us that the mean Antarctic
sea ice has been solidly above the long - term mean:
This is such an utter non-story — amounting to no more than «NSIDC have another year's worth of winter Arctic
ice data» — that the only reason we can see for the BBC giving it the time of day is to guard against the possibility that people start filling their pretty heads with silly notions that the extent of summer Arctic
sea ice varies from year to year, and that while it seems to have been reducing a bit
over the last few decades, it hardly follows that it spells the end of the world as we know it.
While Goddard's anecdotes are interesting there's plenty of more concrete compiled
data covering the last 100 years, which suggest
sea ice levels today are lowest for
over 100 years:
The issue, beyond the core
data representing but a single geospacial location and thus by itself not representative of the whole (and much larger) region in which it resides, is that the core is near the Greenland summit (in order to get the deepest profile of the
ice possible) and therefore at an elevation of
over 2 miles above
sea level.
For example, satellite
data provides estimates of the
sea ice cover on the Arctic Ocean as well as weather patterns
over the Arctic.
Historically, lack of satellite
data directly
over the North Pole has not concerned scientists; they have always assumed that the area underneath is covered with
sea ice.
Using Envisat radar altimeter
data, scientists from the Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling at University College London (UCL) measured
sea ice thickness
over the Arctic from 2002 to 2008 and found that it had been fairly constant until the record loss of
ice in the summer of 2007.
Despite its areas of inaccuracy, near - real - time
data are still useful for assessing changes in
sea ice coverage, particularly when averaged
over an entire month.
However, detecting acceleration is difficult because of (i) interannual variability in GMSL largely driven by changes in terrestrial water storage (TWS)(7 ⇓ — 9), (ii) decadal variability in TWS (10), thermosteric
sea level, and
ice sheet mass loss (11) that might masquerade as a long - term acceleration
over a 25 - y record, (iii) episodic variability driven by large volcanic eruptions (12), and (iv) errors in the altimeter
data, in particular, potential drifts in the instruments
over time (13).
Ignoring the possible increase of «methane from permafrost» with warming for now, it appears that NSIDC
data tell us a) that northern hemisphere snow cover has not shown any statistical change since the 1980s, b) that Arctic
sea ice has shrunk since measurements started in 1979 and c) that Antarctic
sea ice has grown gradually
over this period.
The AARI charts therefore add significantly to our understanding of the variability of Arctic
sea ice over the last 8 decades, and we recommend their inclusion in future historical
data sets of Arctic
sea ice.
OT, but just read (
over at Neven's ASIB) that Walsh and co, at the University of Alaska Fairbanks, have done a massive
data rescue, digitization and preparation job, to create an historical
sea ice atlas of Alaskan waters.
IMO, the strongest argument for
sea ice decline
over the last decade for being unusual and at least in part attributable to global warming is this (from Polyakov et al.): The severity of present
ice loss can be highlighted by the breakup of
ice shelves at the northern coast of Ellesmere Island, which have been stable until recently for at least several thousand years based on geological
data.