Sentences with phrase «day forecast period»

The HFIP aims to cut the average errors of hurricane track and intensity forecasts by 20 percent within five years and by 50 percent by 2019, within a seven - day forecast period.

Not exact matches

«With more than $ 2 billion in online buying on Cyber Monday to cap an exceptionally strong 5 - day period since Thanksgiving, the online holiday shopping season is clearly going very well at the moment and is currently running ahead of forecast,» said comScore chairman emeritus Gian Fulgoni.

This approach complements traditional forecast simulations, which are very accurate for a short period of time but lose their reliability on timescales that are required to understand the fate of the spill on the scale from days to weeks.»

Also called fertility awareness, natural family planning (NFP) is an umbrella term for various ways to forecast the time in your cycle when you are most likely to get pregnant — such as monitoring your daily temperature, checking for changes in cervical mucus and counting the days since your last period.

Moviegoing will receive another major boost over the Presidents Day weekend with Disney - Marvel's «Black Panther» forecasted to take in as much as $ 150 million during the Friday - Monday period.

Compare the daily local forecast to the actual weather data over a period of days or weeks.

We can define periods of economic and market agreement and periods of discord by using timely variables, such as the New Orders series from the monthly Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Report, to forecast the probability, at any time, of agreement between the economy and the market.5 Typically macro-based measures suffer from a significant lag in reporting as well as frequent revisions, making them inferior to the immediacy of observing market data, month by month, day by day, even tick by tick.

For their safety, we do not accept feral cats in traps for surgery if it is 40 degrees or below on the day you trap OR if it is forecasted to be 40 degrees or below during the week after trapping (the surgery recovery period).

And while that might make sense for the current situation, it is much harder to understand for forecasts one week out (where the chance of precipitation might change from 80 % to 40 % to 20 % to 60 % in a one - hour span for a period six days in the future).

With hurricane Arthur headlining the news as throwing a possible wet blanket on 4th of July fireworks shows along the Northeast coast and with a new record being set each passing day for the longest period between major (Category 3 or greater) hurricane landfalls anywhere in the U.S. (3,173 days and counting), we thought that now would be a good time to discuss a new paper which makes a tentative forecast as to what we can expect in terms of the number of Atlantic hurricanes in the near future (next 3 - 5 years).

To solve this problem I looked at three patterns of the 6558 day period, overlaid them at the daily weather data level, and plotted the resultant combined signal for Precipitation, and temperature patterns for the USA, extended that cyclic interpenetration for a six year period, and plotted out maps to show the repeating reoccurring patterns in the global circulation, as a (6 year long stretch, we are now ~ 40 months into the posted 6 years long) forecast for part of the current repeat of the 6558 day long cycle.

The Earth has a synod conjunction with each of the four major gas planets with a little over a year between impulses, (~ +2 days for Neptune, ~ +4 days for Uranus, ~ +13 days for Saturn, ~ +34 days for Jupiter) these past almost annual periods could be segmented and applied into the composite forecast as an adjustment algorithm to further enhance the pattern match, to increase the accuracy (~ 85 %) of the inner planet 6558 day pattern to closer to 95 % with the addition of the compensation for the outer planet interactive influences.

If the model is as good at forecasting as hindcasting, then the populations of (model - hindcast) and (model - forecast), for the same time period around day zero should be the same.

They make a five - day forecast and then change it every six hours up to the actual time period.

The forecasts, which are spelled out in three - and four - day periods for each region, are prepared by the almanac's reclusive prognosticator Caleb Weatherbee, who uses a secret formula based on sunspots, the position of the planets and the tidal action of the moon.

My experience concerning SST measurements, covering the time period from about 1955 to 1964, is that they may have well served preparing weather forecasts for the next few days, and that even when all care and precautions had been taken, the result was at best plus / minus 0.5 °C.

Once again, our 5 - day forecasts gave accurate guidance and warnings throughout the period.

According to NOAA, the specific goals of the HFIP are to reduce the average errors of both hurricane track and intensity forecasts by 20 % within five years and 50 % in 10 years, with a forecast period out to seven days.

Remember that the day before yesterday I used simulation to calculate my forecasting confidence interval in 2008, considering only the information available in the period 1880 - 1935.