I have usually estimated that it would reach
debt capacity limits around 2016 - 18 but now I think it is likely to happen earlier.
When that happens, debt rises at an unsustainable pace until we reach
debt capacity limits, in which case the country will have a debt crisis.
What I hope happens is that we never find out how China reaches
debt capacity limits because Beijing reins in credit growth well before this happens.
Assume, for example, that a disorderly rebalancing occurs because Beijing waits so long to force through the reforms that it runs into
debt capacity limits (i.e. the growth in debt can not exceed the growth in the amount of bad debt that must continually be rolled over).
Debt capacity limits are the major constraint on China's adjustment.
New York is expected to remain under
its debt capacity limit even as it continues to borrow heavily for new capital projects, according to the state Division of Budget's enacted budget plan released on Friday.
Not exact matches
«Japan is already undergoing rapid population aging, which will likely
limit the market's future absorptive
capacity of public
debt,» wrote IMF economist Kiichi Tokuoka in a paper this year.
Given the State's
limited resources, shrinking statutory
debt capacity and unmet capital needs, it is critical that the State prioritize its use of
debt and capital resources — including the (windfall) resources deposited in the (infrastructure fund)-- to ensure that they are used as effectively as possible, and with appropriate levels of transparency and accountability.
Among the strategies for adhering to the
capacity limit will be transferring and spending up to $ 500 million from the
debt reduction reserve fund, the report said.
«Given the State's
limited resources, shrinking statutory
debt capacity and unmet capital needs, it is critical that New York prioritize its use of
debt and capital resources, including the resources deposited in the DIIF and the other settlement resources, to ensure that they are used as effectively as possible,» the report found.
If a government can't «print money» to pay off it's own
debts, then its borrowing
capacity is becomes much more
limited.
High
debt among consumers
limits growth in another way — they have less borrowing
capacity and many feel less comfortable borrowing anyway.
Considerations include, but are not
limited to, whether or not one spouse will receive alimony payments, the earning
capacity of both spouses, length of the marriage, contribution of the homemaker if applicable, custody arrangements, and
debts and age.
However, the challenges of tight credit,
limited inventory, eroding affordability, and high
debt loads have
limited the
capacity of young people to own.»
Traditional
debt providers such as large banking institutions are
limited in the
capacity to refinance commercial
debt due to regulations requiring lower LTV ratios and a continued aversion to the asset class from the Great Recession.