The Medium Term Debt Strategy and
Debt Sustainability Analysis 97.
As for the Minister's claim that the Debt - to - GDP ratio has declined in percentage terms from 72 % to 63 %, he presents no data to back this computation whichcontroverts
the debt sustainability analysis his own Ministry has been conducting with the IMF.
One official last year called
its Debt Sustainability Analysis, ««a joke,» a [European] commission official described it «a fairy tale to put children to sleep» and a Greek finance ministry official said it was «scientifically ridiculous.
One factor that may have incensed Greeks to vote «No» was the revelation that an internal IMF
Debt Sustainability Analysis — which Lagarde had sought to suppress — had endorsed what Syriza's leader Alexis Tsipras has been saying all along: Greece needs a debt writedown.
This conclusion was based on indefensible economic logic and the absence of the IMF's
debt sustainability analysis intentionally biased the negotiations.
IMF sources confirmed that an updated
debt sustainability analysis had been prepared by staff and would be discussed by the organisation's executive board.
Here are the key points of the updated
debt sustainability analysis, which takes into account the events of recent weeks.
The IMF said that is was releasing its preliminary draft
debt sustainability analysis as a result of the leaks of documents reported in the Guardian earlier this week.
The draft proposal of Greece's creditors consists of two documents with the first called «Reforms for the Completion of the Current Program and Beyond» and the second document is called «Preliminary
Debt Sustainability Analysis», the Greek government said in its proposed question.
Three days before Greeks were due to go to the polls to say Yes or No to a now defunct bail - out deal, the IMF released its «
debt sustainability analysis» for the country.
India, Brazil and China all expressed misgivings about the original bailout in 2010 and - on the basis of
the debt sustainability analysis - will see the latest plan as throwing good money after bad.
Not exact matches
Poloz echoed those conclusions, saying last week that any
analysis of the
sustainability of
debt must take into consideration that policy makers have learned a great deal about how to manage it.
The latest grim prognosis from the Washington - based fund represents a significant deterioration from a fortnight ago, when the IMF published an
analysis of Greece's
debt sustainability ahead of the referendum that said no to the creditors» proposals.
The IMF
analysis states that «the dramatic deterioration in [Greece's]
debt sustainability points to the need for
debt relief on a scale that would need to go well beyond what has been under consideration to date — and what has been proposed by the ESM [the European stability mechanism ie by eurozone member states]».
Of course, the usual temptation here is to rely primarily on quantitative
analysis — let the numbers do the talking — focusing on the consistency &
sustainability of strong free cash flow (as a % of net income), high net margins, high return on equity (though not dependent on excessive
debt), and good return on assets (in excess of WACC).