Sentences with phrase «decadal climate»
The phrase "decadal climate" refers to the climate patterns and changes that occur over a period of ten years. It helps scientists understand long-term trends, such as temperature, rainfall, or wind patterns, by looking at the average conditions over each decade. This term helps us study and predict how the climate might change in the coming years. Full definition
Evidence of decadal climate prediction skill resulting from changes in anthropogenic forcing
pnas.org
Back around 2007/8, two high - profile papers claimed to produce, for the first time, skilful predictions of decadal climate change, based on new techniques of ocean state initialization in climate models.
«Predictions of decadal climate change and variability, on the other hand, can be assessed in tests for past cases.
Thanks to the availability of data from satellite altimetry, Argo floats, and moored buoys in the tropical Pacific, this decadal phase change is the best - observed decadal climate shift in history.
Component C, Predictability, mechanisms, and case studies: the organization and coordination of decadal climate predictability studies and of case studies of particular climate shifts and variations, including the study of the mechanisms that determine these behaviours
Meehl, G. A., Hu, A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. T. & Trenberth, K. E. Externally forced and internally generated decadal climate variability associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation.
This hindcast setting roughly follows the experimental design of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP5) for decadal climate prediction (Taylor et al. 2009; Murphy et al. 2010).
«Antarctic Sea - Ice Expansion between 2000 and 2014 Driven by Tropical Pacific Decadal Climate Variability.»
CLIVAR - ICTP Workshop on Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability: Challenge and Opportunity
Translate the knowledge developed about AMOC variability and predictability mechanisms into reliable decadal climate forecasts.
«Such decadal climate fluctuations are superimposed on the general warming trend, so that at times it seems as if the warming trend slowed or even stopped.
Pohlmann, H., Jungclaus, J. H., Kohl, A., Stammer, D. & Marotzke, J. Initializing decadal climate predictions with the GECCO oceanic synthesis: Effects on the North Atlantic.
According to IPCC AR5, the mismatch between models and observations during both 1984 - 1998 and 1998 - 2012 may be due to «internal decadal climate variability, which sometimes enhances and sometimes counteracts the long - term externally forced trend» (Chapter 9, p. 769).
Among the scientific advances that will be required is better integration of weather and climate models to improve decadal climate information to help people plan,» Moss said.
Ice - sheet responses to decadal - scale ocean forcing appear to be less important, possibly indicating that the future response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet will be governed more by long - term anthropogenic warming combined with multi-centennial natural variability than by annual or decadal climate oscillations.»
«NASA's examination of ocean observations has provided its own unique contribution to our knowledge of decadal climate trends and global warming,» said Veronica Nieves, a researcher at JPL and the University of California, Los Angeles and co-author of the new study.
Strong decadal climate variability is a signature of the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean, which is also home to the global overturning circulation.
In particular, the models struggle to accurately reproduce observed connections between El Niño in the tropical Pacific and PDO in the North Pacific, which leads to poorly simulated decadal climate variability in the models.
Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, P. Chang, N. H. Naik, J. Miller, and W. Hazeleger, 2001: Looking for the role of the ocean in tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability.
An improved dynamical understanding of how the tropical Pacific Ocean transitions into hiatus events, including its seasonal structure, may help to improve future prediction of decadal climate variations.
The results of the DCPP are a contribution to the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), to the WCRP Grand Challenge on Near Term Climate Prediction (NTCP), potentially to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), to the Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS), and as one of the bases for the development of a WMO Commission for Basic Systems (CBS) Global Decadal Climate Outlook (GDCO) in support of applications.
Component B, Forecasts: the ongoing production of experimental quasi-operational decadal climate predictions in support of multi-model annual to decadal forecasting and the application of the forecasts to societal needs
«The new Met Office Decadal Climate Prediction System (DePreSys) potentially provides very valuable guidance to help planners and businesses adapt to climate change.»
The ability to predict retrospectively this slowdown not only strengthens our confidence in the robustness of our climate models, but also enhances the socio - economic relevance of operational decadal climate predictions.
For more forecasting work from the UK Met Office and by scientists from the Met Office and 12 other international research centres: «Real - time multi-model decadal climate predictions ``, Doug M. Smith, Climate Dynamics, December 2012 — Red emphasis added.
While the CERES instruments are the most accurate broadband instruments yet flown, they are still not accurate enough to observe the subtle but critical decadal climate change signals unless the instruments are overlapped for at least 6 months in orbit according to the GCOS climate - monitoring principles.13 For this reason it is crucial that measurement record gaps are avoided.
Understanding the role of the ocean in climate change and making decadal climate forecasts will be greatly enhanced by observations planned as part of an international Global Ocean Observing System.
There has been a lot of discussion about decadal climate predictions in recent months.
We examined the potential skill of decadal predictions using the newly developed Decadal Climate Prediction System (DePreSys), based on the Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)(17), a dynamical global climate model (GCM).
This work is supported through NSF Award No. 1049219, Investigation of Decadal Climate Predictability and Hydroclimate impacts (IDCPI) on the Western US.
Meehl, G. A., Hu, A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. Y. & Trenberth, K. E. Externally forced and internally generated decadal climate variability associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation.
The recognition of decadal climate shifts are an example of better science — the new paradigm of dynamical complexity in climate.
The value of this information is illustrated by the results of a study published May 19 in the journal Geophysical Research Letters by Oster's group, working with colleagues from the Berkeley Geochronology Center, the Smithsonian Institution National Museum of Natural History and the University of Cambridge titled «Northeast Indian stalagmite records Pacific decadal climate change: Implications for moisture transport and drought in India.»
I currently co-chair the CLIVAR working group on Decadal Climate Variability and Predictability and the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) scientific team responsible for the Grand Challenge on Near Term Climate Prediction.
Develop a framework for understanding decadal variability through metrics that can be used as a strategy to assess and validate decadal climate predictions simulations.
* Funny, when the IPCC's 2001 Third Assessment Report (TAR) was proclaiming the 1990s the warmest decade and 1998 the warmest year of the millennium, I don't recall the IPCC giving any credit to internal decadal climate variability.
Tommasi D., C. A. Stock, A. J. Hobday, R. Methot,..., M. A. Alexander, et al. (March 2017): Managing living marine resources in a dynamic environment: The role of seasonal to decadal climate forecasts.
«Externally Forced and Internally Generated Decadal Climate Variability Associated with the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation.»