This work is supported through NSF Award No. 1049219, Investigation of
Decadal Climate Predictability and Hydroclimate impacts (IDCPI) on the Western US.
Component C, Predictability, mechanisms, and case studies: the organization and coordination of
decadal climate predictability studies and of case studies of particular climate shifts and variations, including the study of the mechanisms that determine these behaviours
Using the adjoint of an ocean general circulation model, I try to understand the local and remote processes that generate temperature anomalies in the Nordic Seas on different timescales and their potential contribution to
decadal climate predictability.
Not exact matches
scientific program under the auspices of the world
climate research program to realize the full
decadal predictability.
CLIVAR - ICTP Workshop on
Decadal Climate Variability and
Predictability: Challenge and Opportunity
Parker, D.E., Folland C.K., A.A. Scaife, A. Colman, J. Knight, D. Fereday, P. Baines and D. Smith, 2007:
Decadal to interdecadal
climate variability and
predictability and the background of
climate change.
Building on previous efforts, this three - day workshop will use the outcomes to guide synthesis efforts, coordinate on - going research to fill out key gaps, and provide specific recommendations for accelerating scientific progress — with the aim to improve our understanding and
predictability of 1) high - to mid-latitude
climate variability on subseasonal - to - seasonal and on interannual - to -
decadal timescales and 2)
climate extremes.
To describe and understand the physical processes responsible for
climate variability and
predictability on seasonal, interannual,
decadal, and centennial time - scales, through the collection and analysis of observations and the development and application of models of the coupled
climate system, in cooperation with other relevant
climate - research and observing programmes.
«The authors write that North Pacific
Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in
predictability studies of both regional and global
climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global
climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of
predictability of these two modes in coupled
climate models is an important «open question in
climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century
climate... conclude that «for implications on future
climate change, the coupled
climate models show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
Branstator, Grant, and H. Teng, 2010: Two Limits of Initial - value
Decadal Predictability in a CGCM, Journal of
Climate, submitted.
Boer, G. J., 2009: Changes in interannual variability and
decadal potential
predictability under global waming, J.
Climate, to appear.
Latif, M., M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A review of
predictability studies of Atlantic sector
climate on
decadal time scales.
US CLIVAR
Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2011: Distinguishing the roles of natural and anthropogenically forced decadal climate variability: Implications for prediction
Decadal Predictability Working Group, 2011: Distinguishing the roles of natural and anthropogenically forced
decadal climate variability: Implications for prediction
decadal climate variability: Implications for prediction, Bull.
The US CLIVAR PPAI Panel seeks new panelists with expertise in one or more of the following areas: (a)
predictability of weather /
climate extremes, (b) multi-model ensembles, (c)
decadal prediction; (d) application, impact, and mitigation strategies for marine ecosystems or (e) agricultural products; or (f) interactions with stakeholders and / or stakeholder boundary organizations.
Understanding the nature and
predictability of
decadal variability in SPNA temperatures has thus been a major goal in
climate studies, and various hypotheses have been submitted to explain this
decadal variability apparent in
climate models and data records.
I currently co-chair the CLIVAR working group on
Decadal Climate Variability and
Predictability and the World
Climate Research Program (WCRP) scientific team responsible for the Grand Challenge on Near Term
Climate Prediction.
Although the potential
predictability in our idealized modeling framework would overestimate the real
predictability of the coupled
climate - land - vegetation system, the
decadal climate prediction may become beneficial for water resource management, forestry, and agriculture.
One of the objectives was to provide evidence of the
decadal climate variability and
predictability in the Nordic Region with the aim to assess the impact on forest growth, and energy production and demand.
The
decadal prediction experiments are designed to assess the
predictability of
climate (natural and forced) changes on time scales up to 10 years.
Translate the knowledge developed about AMOC variability and
predictability mechanisms into reliable
decadal climate forecasts.
Current research interests are in
decadal variability and
predictability of
climate.
Mechanisms,
Predictability, Prediction, and Regional and Societal Impact of
Decadal Climate Variability