Sentences with phrase «decadal climate predictions»

Guidelines for Component C Pacemaker Experiments TECHNICAL TECHNICAL NOTE 3, DECADAL CLIMATE PREDICTION PROJECT (DCPP)- Component C

The coordination of the scientific and practical aspects of decadal climate prediction research within WCRP is undertaken by the DCPP Panel under the guidance of the Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction (WGSIP).

Component B, Forecasts: the ongoing production of experimental quasi-operational decadal climate predictions in support of multi-model annual to decadal forecasting and the application of the forecasts to societal needs

This hindcast setting roughly follows the experimental design of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP5) for decadal climate prediction (Taylor et al. 2009; Murphy et al. 2010).

Develop a framework for understanding decadal variability through metrics that can be used as a strategy to assess and validate decadal climate predictions simulations.

«The new Met Office Decadal Climate Prediction System (DePreSys) potentially provides very valuable guidance to help planners and businesses adapt to climate change.»

Do seasonal - to - decadal climate predictions underestimate the predictability of the real world?

The European Climate Observations, Modelling & Services Initiative (ECOMS) will provide leadership to the European Commission on future priorities and ensure close coordination between projects and activities in Europe in the area of seasonal to decadal climate predictions towards climate services.

Pohlmann, H., Jungclaus, J. H., Kohl, A., Stammer, D. & Marotzke, J. Initializing decadal climate predictions with the GECCO oceanic synthesis: Effects on the North Atlantic.

The ability to predict retrospectively this slowdown not only strengthens our confidence in the robustness of our climate models, but also enhances the socio - economic relevance of operational decadal climate predictions.

For more forecasting work from the UK Met Office and by scientists from the Met Office and 12 other international research centres: «Real - time multi-model decadal climate predictions ``, Doug M. Smith, Climate Dynamics, December 2012 — Red emphasis added.

Evidence of decadal climate prediction skill resulting from changes in anthropogenic forcing

There has been a lot of discussion about decadal climate predictions in recent months.

We examined the potential skill of decadal predictions using the newly developed Decadal Climate Prediction System (DePreSys), based on the Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)(17), a dynamical global climate model (GCM).

I. Definition of the Anomalous Sea Surface Temperature patterns TECHNICAL NOTE 1, DECADAL CLIMATE PREDICTION PROJECT (DCPP)- Component C

DECADE (2011 - 2015) Decadal climate prediction in adaptation to climate change.

Using data available in the mid-1990s, they also apply a recently - developed climate prediction technique that uses modern global climate models (GCM), initialized with observations, to make so - called «decadal climate predictions» and find that both the negative phase of the IPO and the surface temperature hiatus could be predicted with this method, using only data that was available prior to the hiatus.

Jan 15, 2018: For the MiKlip II project (short for «decadal climate predictions»), a magnetic tape library has been put into operation at the DKRZ to store the resulting project data.

For the MiKlip II project (short for «decadal climate predictions»), a magnetic tape library has been put into operation at the DKRZ to store the resulting project data.

Improving this understanding can help advance the prediction of the AMV impacts and, hence, decadal climate predictions.

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project addresses a range of scientific issues involving the ability of the climate system to be predicted on annual to decadal timescales, the skill that is currently and potentially available, the mechanisms involved in long timescale variability, and the production of forecasts of benefit to both science and society

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) is a coordinated multi-model investigation into decadal climate prediction, predictability, and variability.

You can get a quick overview of definitions, and the performance of seasonal and decadal climate predictions in these SPECS factsheets:

This study demonstrates a unique application of decadal climate prediction to the drought and wildfire conditions in the southwestern US.

A new study published in Scientific Reports has developed a state - of - the - art drought and wildfire prediction system based on the decadal climate prediction approach using the NCAR Community Earth System Model.

Decadal climate prediction of annual mean variations in total water storage (left), vegetation carbon (center), and fire season length (right panels) over the Northern US.

Although our results are based on an idealized modeling framework that captures only naturally occurring climate variations, they clearly suggest that decadal climate predictions for soil hydrological conditions are feasible and may become beneficial for forestry, water management, and agriculture.

Although the potential predictability in our idealized modeling framework would overestimate the real predictability of the coupled climate - land - vegetation system, the decadal climate prediction may become beneficial for water resource management, forestry, and agriculture.

There is currently less skill in predicting precipitation and other variables compared to temperature although progress is expected to be made as a consequence of the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) and other projects and investigations.

Questions and comments concerning the DCPP may be conveyed via the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) Participant Forum.

The experimental protocol for the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6 is described in detail in Boer et al. (2016).

If the transition zone indeed controls decadal AMOC variability, monitoring this region may enable scientists to measure and perhaps predict AMOC variability, with potential impacts for interannual - to - decadal climate predictions.

Recommendations for ocean restoring and ensemble generation TECHNICAL NOTE 2, DECADAL CLIMATE PREDICTION PROJECT (DCPP)- Component C

Decadal climate prediction is immature, and uncertainties in future forcings, model responses to forcings, or initialisation shocks could easily cause large errors in forecasts.