From 1992 to 2003,
the decadal ocean heat content changes (blue), along with the contributions from melting glaciers, ice sheets, and sea ice and small contributions from land and atmosphere warming, suggest a total warming (red) for the planet of 0.6 ± 0.2 W / m2 (95 % error bars).
From 1992 to 2003,
the decadal ocean heat content changes (blue), along with the contributions from melting glaciers, ice sheets, and sea ice and small contributions from land and atmosphere warming, suggest a total warming (red) for the planet of 0.6 ± 0.2 W / m2 (95 % error bars).
Not exact matches
If you can't keep up with annual -
decadal changes in the TOA radiative imbalance or
ocean heat content (because of failure to correctly model
changes in the atmosphere and
ocean due to natural variability), then your climate model lacks fidelity to the real world system it is tasked to represent.
While rereading the
ocean heat content changes by Levitus 2005 at http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/OC5/PDF/PAPERS/grlheat05.pdf a remarkable sentence was noticed: «However, the large decrease in
ocean heat content starting around 1980 suggests that internal variability of the Earth system significantly affects Earth's
heat balance on
decadal time - scales.»
«TCR and ECS are calculated by regressing ensemble - average
decadal mean forcing or forcing minus
ocean heat content change rate against ensemble - average temperature
change.»
Ensemble
decadal prediction simulations using the Community Earth System Model (CESM) can skillfully predict past
decadal rates of Atlantic winter sea ice
change because they do well at predicting THC - driven
ocean heat content change in the vicinity of the winter sea ice edge in the Labrador, Greenland, Irminger, and Barents Seas.